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How Articial Intelligence is Changing
the Global Economy
USM systems
Oct 18 · 4 min read
Artificial intelligence AI and machine learning ML are increasingly being embraced
by individuals businesses and governments as increasing efficiency and productivity
allow exponential growth in some sectors of the global economy. However the gap
between efficiency and productivity among those sectors and businesses that benefit
from AI and ML is also widening. This leaves those at the bottom with less and less
chance of meeting leaders.
Many countries are beginning to think seriously about the future of their own AI with
the world’s largest economies only announcing their own AI programs in 2017 and
2018.
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Others should think about the future of becoming a domain of a few countries with
technological economic and military domination deep pockets the best AI-services
based talent and the size of state resources that can guide AI to dominate.
The implications of having a handful of countries that control sophisticated AI in the
future are profound. On the one hand these technologically advanced countries may
become the true guardians of AI with considerable resources being allocated to its
development on a long-term basis. It is also certain that the leading companies in these
countries will achieve a more significant lead in the global financial sector giving them a
considerable competitive advantage. The militaries of these countries will become the
primary beneficiaries of AI technology in the future promoting the global race for
superior autonomous weapons and steering the world toward dangerous new ways of
war.
The single dominant economic polarity basic technology and the familiar economic
model of popular governance are slowly being replaced by multi-polarity. Companies
need to largely fix patterns technologies and governance rules. Data highways are
becoming new shipping routes. Cloud storage is gradually replacing shipping containers
and warehouses. Decentralization and digitization similarly replace traditional
communications and transactions.
How do we transform from the level of our collective familiarity and comfort to a
world dominated by what we cannot see or feel with tangible physical objects
Silicon’s exponential progress-driven new global financial flows are already creating
major disruptions in economies around the world. Online platforms are more important
than physical products.
For example the world’s largest currency repository is run by cryptocurrencies and there
are no buildings or physical safeguards. All are driven by software which is based on
knowledge and processes captured by automation.
The globally optimized value chain — a familiar feature of current globalization — gives
way to value chains that combine digital technology with older low-cost technologies
enabling greater integration of products and services and impacting the growth of
independent global platforms.
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In the ML era the realm of science fiction in recent times is how to transform from the
current economic model — conventional manufacturing and fossil fuels — into a
technology-driven new model.
How do we transform from the level of our collective familiarity and comfort to a world
dominated by what we cannot see or feel with tangible physical objects We are already
moving into the cyber world where virtual reality is not only upon us but for many of us.
We are attracted to this brave new world because it equals us with opportunities. The
world of AI that awaits us does the same.
Traditional knowledge suggests that AI benefits highly skilled workers with greater
flexibility creativity and stronger problem-solving skills but it is certainly possible —
and even so — that AI-powered robots can displace highly educated and skilled
professionals such as doctors architects and computer programmers.
Much more thought and research need to be devoted to exploring the links between the
technological revolution and other important global trends including demographic
changes such as aging and migration climate change and sustainable development.
Many of these topics have not yet been broached or become a meaningful topic of
discussion in the Global Forum.
Instead of being used to flatten the level of global equality the AI-dominated future
leads to the greatest concentration of resources and energy the world has ever known.
While AI’s growing ability to automatically solve complex problems is fundamentally
clear to be able to rebuild our economies and societies the impact that AI will have on
overall problems is unknown for many years to come. While the answers seem to be in
focus AI is on par with the amoeba a state of constant transformation forever changing
its shape and aligning with its surroundings.
As the implications of the AI revolution on the global order begin to be contemplated it
is not difficult to imagine a future where power resources and technology are more
concentrated than they already are.
Future wars may not just involve land natural resources and populations but will
determine the fate of the human race. Instead of being used to flatten the level of global
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equality the AI-dominated future leads to the greatest concentration of resources and
energy the world has ever known.
Nature cannot afford to take her own path or make governments and corporations feel
comfortable with the world when it considers it convenient for them to solve complex
problems of governance regulation and rule of law with respect to AI. The multilateral
system has an important role to play in helping to drive the future of the new global
economy. That is why multilateral organizations address how to shape and control our
collective AI future through better communication resource allocation and action.
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