Presentation Transcript
Project Navigator:Harnessing the Quest for Viral WiFi: Project Navigator: Harnessing the Quest for Viral WiFi Spring 2003
Project Navigator: Project Navigator Project Navigator will be an easy to use software application that will enable users to share, manage and securely control their high speed WiFi wireless networks.
The application will aggregate shared WiFi Networks into a widespread community of Navigator users and access points. Project Navigator users will be able to utilize shared wireless networks wherever other willing Project Navigator users reside.
WiFi Overview: WiFi Overview First mainstream wireless networking technology
Based on 802.11 IEEE standard for wireless LANs
Various specifications
B – operates up 11 Mbps in the 2.4 GHz spectrum
A – operates up to 54 Mbps in the 5 GHz spectrum
G – operates up to 54 Mbps in the 5 GHz spectrum; backward compatibility with the B specification
Operates as extension to standard Ethernet networks
WiFi Overview: WiFi Overview Roaming
Enabled by opening public Wireless or WiFi Access Point (“WAP” or “Hotspot”)
Any 802.11 NIC and WAP can interoperate
Cross-network authentication impossible without third party authentication
Weak and difficult security makes open (roam-able) WAPs either open or closed
WiFi Ecosystem: WiFi Ecosystem Internet
Service
Provider Laptops
Apple
Sony
HP
IBM
Toshiba
Dell
PDAs
Palm
HP
Sony
Toshiba
Dell WiFi Network Equipment
Enterprise
Cisco
Lucent
HP
Consumer
Linksys
Netgear
Dlink
HP ISP
Enterprise
Telcos
Worldcom
Level 3
Consumer
DSL
RBOCs
Earthlink
Cable
Comcast
Time Warner
Cox Inside the Home or Workplace Wireless
Internet
Service
Provider Outside Work or
Home Infrastructure
WISPs
Cometa
Wayport
T-Mobile
Surf and Sip
Aggregators/
Resellers
Boingo
Joltage
Sputnik
WiFi Overview: WiFi Overview Market – Large and Quickly Growing
20-30% of laptop users have adopted WiFi
Estimated 3,600 public WiFi Hotspots today.
1.2 million active WiFi users in the US currently Growing quickly
30% growth in users
Top 5 most popular electronic products at Amazon.com are WiFi network gear
WiFi equipment sales topped $2B in 2002 growing to over $6B by 2007.
WiFi Device Adoption: WiFi Device Adoption Source: Gartner Group WiFi crosses mainstream market penetration threshold in 2003 for Laptops 20% Mainstream Threshold
Commercial WiFi Service Market: Commercial WiFi Service Market Commercial WiFi Service Market is projected to grow substantially despite limited commercial location penetration
Projected 21 million subscribers in 2007
40,000+ Public WAP Hotspots (out of potential 800,000 restuarants, 100,000 hotels, and other publics places)
WiFi Demographics: WiFi Demographics Laptops are currently Primary Access Device
PDAs will grow considerably
40% of businesses with 500 PCs or more have deployed WiFi
71% of business will have deployed within 18 months.
70% of deployments will be made available to entire workgroups or organizations
3% of all Homes have WiFi
20% of Broadband Enabled Homes
14% of Homes famaliar with WiFi plan on acquiring WiFi in the next 12 months Source – Taylor Nelson Sofres Intersearch
WiFi Use Drivers and Barriers for Businesses: WiFi Use Drivers and Barriers for Businesses Drivers
Standards based
Easy to deploy
Cheap especially compared to wiring business or home with Cat5 wiring
Enhanced computing environment and productivity
Flexibility
Cons
Security
Difficult to manage Source – Taylor Nelson Sofres Intersearch
WiFi Use Drivers and Barriers for End Users: WiFi Use Drivers and Barriers for End Users Drivers
Cheap
Widely supported by computer OEMs and OS developers
Easy to install
Open standard
Popular Source – ???
WiFi Consumer Drivers: WiFi Consumer Drivers Source – Taylor Nelson Sofres Intersearch
Consumer WiFi Problems Today: Consumer WiFi Problems Today Security
Limited options today require high techinical capabilities
Network Administration
Proprietary extensions on 802.11 standards by various WiFi Hardware OEMs
Limited Roaming Coverage
High Price for Roaming
Limited Providers
Especially limited geography
Silo or Island effect – need accounts with multiple providers for best coverage Source – ???
Competitive Landscape: Competitive Landscape WISPs
Infrastructure – Own Public Hotspots (Publically accessible WAPs)
Aggregator/Resellers – Resellers of Infrastructure WISPs to roaming subscribers
Broadband ISPs
Currently consumers are not licensed to resell or share their broadband DSL or Cable Internet service
Cellular
High speed data services not on the near term horizon with delayed 3G buildouts
Free “community” WiFi networks (Warchalking)
Public utiliy model - local government owned and operated free systems proposed in locales like Long Beach, CA
Free user based networks in San Francisco, Seattle, and New York
Limited security, coverage and support
Network Management Application Providers
Market is currently enterprise oriented
Commercial Wireless ISPs (WISPs): Commercial Wireless ISPs (WISPs) Two primary models – infrastructure or virtual
Infrastructure WISPs build out publicly accessible WiFi networks (aka Hotspots)
Buildouts with high fixed cost per location
$50,000 per airport or hotel
$5,000 - $7,000 per retaurant or single room facility
Limited to subscribers who can access network
Uncertain ROI timeframe
Virtual
Bundle multiple infrastructure WISPs to create larger network
Manage customer acquisition, authentication, support and billing
Use client and backend software to aggregate physical WISP hotspots
Applications are targeted at commercial users
WISPs: WISPs
WISPs: WISPs
WISPs: WISPs
Community-Free WISPs orWarchalkers: Community-Free WISPs or Warchalkers Public works model – local government organization builds out WiFi network for public use in downtown or other high density areas
Warchalkers
Individuals or businesses who are willing to share their private WAP with others
Refers to chalk mark on side walks that signify open WAP available at this location
Grass roots organizations emerging to organize Warchalkers
Groups in San Francisco, New York and Seattle
Promote available locations
Demonstrates interest in low cost means of sharing WiFi access amongst the general public
Competitive Landscape: Competitive Landscape Boingo Price Reliability Navigator Wayport T-Mobile Boingo Price Coverage Navigator Wayport T-Mobile Boingo Reliability Coverage Navigator Wayport T-Mobile Boingo Infrastructure Virtual Navigator Wayport T-Mobile Sputnik Boingo Enterprise Consumer Navigator Wayport T-Mobile Sputnik Warchalker Warchalker Warchalker Warchalker Warchalker
Aggregating End Users to Share WiFi: Aggregating End Users to Share WiFi Current aggregation software difficult to use and requires additional hardware
Not a simple add-on to typical end user environment (device/WAP/Router/Broadband Modem)
Requires technical networking know-how
Always on computer attached to network
Users and groups can not establish independent rules
Free vs Sometimes Free vs Charge
Friends & Family vs. Strangers
Broadband ISP Cooperation
Current applications do not verify broadband connection for end users
Current solutions promote freeloaders
Broadband ISPs need to have interest in selling more subscriptions protected
Navigator Solution : Navigator Solution Software application that resides on end user devices and WAPs and enables easy to use, low cost network management and sharing without additional hardware requirements.
Slide23: WiFi Share App WiFi Share App WiFi Share App Broadband
Provider Broadband
Provider Broadband
Provider Internet WiFi Share App Authen-
tication Network
Admin Billing Security Regulation Navigator Networks WiFi User/
Device WiFi Share App WiFi User/
Device WiFi Share App
Navigator Requirements: Navigator Requirements No new hardware
Works with no PC attached to the network
Software only
Multiple Rule Scenarios (Share, Charge, Manage, etc)
Local Network Management (Authentication, Regulation, & Security)
Navigator Business Model: Navigator Business Model Distribute Software for Free
Low cost provider of WiFi Roaming
Restrict Sharing to those who have broadband ISPs
Partner with Broadband ISP
Charge for Services
Network Management for Businesses
Roaming Fees
Revenue Share
Navigator Value Proposition: Overall: Navigator Value Proposition: Overall Managed Large scale trusted community of wireless users
Easy to use personal wireless network management tools for security, sharing and configuration.
Navigator Value Proposition: Consumers: Navigator Value Proposition: Consumers Inexpensive WiFi Sharing & Roaming
Easy to use personal wireless network management tools for security, sharing and configuration
Navigator Value Proposition: Small Businesses (Third Places): Navigator Value Proposition: Small Businesses (Third Places) Cost control
Easy to use, outsourced solution for managing costumers/users
Access regulation
Potential revenue generation
Navigator Value Proposition: Broadband ISPs: Reduce Freeloading
Increase subscriber sales
Regulate sharing and potential for increase incremental revenue per subscriber
Additional revenue without increased network utilization
Makes home network management easier
Reduced customer support through easy to use network management software from Project Navigator
Navigator Value Proposition: Broadband ISPs
Navigator Value Proposition: WiFi Hardware OEMs: Sell More Units – increased end user benefits
Reduced Firmware Development expenses with third party Project Navigator Firmware
Co-Development on future products Navigator Value Proposition: WiFi Hardware OEMs
Navigator Business Model: Provide free software application
Monthly subscription fees for upsell services
WiFi Roaming
Enhanced Network Management Features
Private user clubs (small business customer lists)
Navigator Business Model
Navigator Business Model: WiFi Roaming
Free for early adopters until critical mass of affiliated WAPs provides effective network coverage
Charge low monthly fee
$4.95 up sell to existing broadband ISP monthly subscription fee
Revenue share – split 50/50 with broadband ISP
Navigator Business Model
Navigator Business Model: WiFi Roaming
Critical Mass
The notion of needing enough affiliated WAPs with enabled sharing in an area to provide effective roaming coverage
Number of affiliated WAPs required
Assuming 100ft coverage radius per WAP
Assuming population density of x
Need x per major metropolitan area
Navigator Business Model
Navigator Competitive Positioning: Low cost WISP
Network effect switching costs
Broadband ISP relationships
WAP software
Economics of Scaling
The more you pay to buildout WAPs, the more expensive your network is and the lower your ROI
Navigator Competitive Positioning
Competitive Buildout Costs: Competitive Buildout Costs Assumes $10 per WAP Assumes $5,000 per WAP
Navigator Financial Model: Navigator Financial Model
Navigator User Potential: Navigator User Potential
Navigator Use Case: Navigator Use Case End User Roaming
Sharing WiFi network with trusted community
Friends and Family
Gaming
Preferred Member Club
Coffee shops
Clubs or other organizations
Navigator Use Case:End Users: Navigator Use Case: End Users Automated Network Configuration
Setup WiFi Network for regulation, security and sharing
Solves the problem of the default open to the world configuration of WiFi networks
Sharing
Allow the network to be used by a defined community of known users
Allow the network to be shared by other broadband connected WiFi networks
Solves the problem of open vs shared (commons problem)
Roaming
Use wireless connectivity outside the home
Leverages existing infrastructure for low cost solution
Startup Requirements: Startup Requirements Staff
Management
1-2 founders
Network Engineers
1-2
Software Developers
3-5
Facilities
Office
Development Computers/ Test Environment
Colocation
Authentication/Registration/Network Management Software
Funding Requirements: Funding Requirements Phase 1 (12 to 18 months)
Milestones
Proof of Concept – 90 days
Alpha Service – 120 days
Beta Service/Application – 6 months
Recruitment of critical mass of users – 12 months
Phase 2 (1.5 to 3 years)
Milestones
Profitability
Largest network of users and WAPs
Critical Path Issues: Critical Path Issues Broadband ISP Relationships
WiFi Equipment OEM Relationships
Multi OEM Device Compatibility
WAP interference management
Development Team
Sr. Development Manager
Firmware Developer