Sub Prime - by Santosh

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Sub Prime - A Primer

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Slide 1: 

1 Sub-prime & its repercussions Santosh Gopala FIC CAF / RPL Team

MBS – Mortgage Backed Securities : 

2 MBS – Mortgage Backed Securities

Investment Banks : 

3 Investment Banks An investment bank uses its proprietary book (own money) to lend others and invest. It started with the sub prime crisis. Banks like Lehman, buy mortgage loans from other banks, and then package them to sell bonds against the loan pool. Often they add cash to make the loan pool more attractive, so that the bonds can be sold at a higher price. Suppose a mortgage was earning 6%, these bonds are sold at 4%. The difference is the spread which the investment bank earns. By selling these structured bonds, it raises money and frees capital. But when homebuyers started defaulting, these bonds lost their value. It all began like this, and then the virus spreads across markets.

Sectors : 

4 Sectors Banking Investment Banking Asset Management Funds Insurance Stock Market Currency Commodities Liquidity & Interest Rate Fund Raising issues Losses on various Investments Losses on Invt & Low Risk appetite Losses on Insured Investment assets Liquidity & Low Risk appetite Appreciation on hard currencies Gold – chosen Invt vehicle, Oil – Drops coz of lower expected demand Effects

Credit Default Swap : A way to insure against default by Bond Issuers : 

5 Credit Default Swap : A way to insure against default by Bond Issuers Bank X Bank Y Company A Pays $ 10 Million & Buys Bonds Receives 5% Interest Annually Buys Protection Against Default by Company A & Pays Premium Sells Protection

INDIA : 

6 INDIA FII pullout USD appreciation Interest Rate hike & Inflation ECB/ Money Market Liquidity Crisis Low Risk appetite Outstanding deals with gone-bust banks IT / ITES – Contracts are stalled Other exports – Positive due to USD appreciation, but getting orders could be tough

Slide 7: 

7 THANK YOU Santosh Gopala FIC CAF / RPL Team