Transitions: New Realities, Rules and Oportunities

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Transitions: New Realities, Rules and Oportunities Is right time for Web 2.0?:

Transitions: New Realities, Rules and Oportunities Is right time for Web 2.0? Petar Kocovic Gartner-Serbia Smart e-government Hotel Continental , Oct 2 8 , 2010

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Wachovia Northern Rock Fortis $700 Bn bailout Hypo Real Estate Bradford & Bingley Lehman Dexia Merril Lynch Freddie & Fannie HBOS Storm Image: MS Clipart WaMu Glitner Bear Stearns Indy Mac AIG

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. Recession

Cost cutting :

Cost cutting

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Sustainable Growth Return to…

From Ed Thorp to Jim Simons – No More Gambling:

From Ed Thorp to Jim Simons – No More Gambling

Worldwide End-User IT Spending on IT (Trillion USD):

Worldwide End-User IT Spending on IT (Trillion USD) IT spending - 3-4% per year on the Global level (2010-2015)

Tree Industries will not recover to the level of 2008 - until 2012:

Tree Industries will not recover to the level of 2008 - until 2012 Financial Transportation Manufacturing

Asia and Latin America – Locomotives of Industrial Growth.:

Asia and Latin America – Locomotives of Industrial Growth . + 1. 3 % + 2.4 % + 3 .0 % + 4.5 % - 1 . 0 % + 2.6 % + 3.7 % + 3.5 % + 8.6 % + 3.3 % + 1.2 % + 8. 6 % + 4.0 % + 3.7 % Est. 2011 4.0% 5.7%

One way trip to IT-driven Intelligence Society :

One way trip to IT-driven Intelligence Society

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We are in the Universe of Data

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31 billion Google search – September 2010 V s. 2.6 billions in whole 2007

Who are Content Creators on the Web? :

Who are Content Creators on the Web? Did you know that : 50 percent of 21-year olds have created content on the Web 7 0 percent of four-year olds have used a computer “These are not technologies, but trends that will impact our lives in I&O,” “Some are technological in nature, others are social , and others are things that we may have missed.”

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In 2012 Internet will be 75 Times Larger than in 2002

December 2009 – 40 years of Internet:

December 2009 – 40 years of Internet Jon Postel , Steve Crocker , Vint Cerf , Newsweek , Aug 8 , 1994 . ARPA Net Project – Napkin Plan

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Up to 2030 – Web will be M a in Channel of Communication for the 1/3 Word Population

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IP Data Traffic D o ubling every 2 year. We had 275 Exabytes per year (2008) We expect 275 Exabytes per day up to 2020.

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Sept 2010+Oct 2010 Like 3 TV station from 1948 up Today

Wikipedia.com (founded 2001) 4,300 New Articels per Day:

Wikipedia.com (founded 2001) 4,300 New Articels per Day

Country “Facebook” – 500 Mil users July 2009:

Country “Facebook” – 500 Mil users July 2009

Computer in Cell Phone is::

C o mputer in Cell Phone is: than IBM 360 in MIT, 1965 1,000,000 Time C heaper 1,000 More P o werful 100,000 Smaller

Ray Kurzweil:

Ray Kurzweil “So, what if what used to fit into a building, now fits in your pocket, and what fits in your pocket now, will fit inside a blood cell in 25 years? We haven’t seen anything yet.”

Cloud Computing:

Cloud Computing If we compare C l oud Computing in next decade <=> Like DOS 2.0 compared to W i ndows 7. In 2010 -we are at DOS 2.0 phase

G-Cloud (Government Cloud) definition by National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST):

G-Cloud (Government C l oud) definition by N ational Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST ) T hree main different deployment models exists : Private cloud . The cloud infrastructure is operated solely for an organization. It may be managed by the organization or a third party and may exist on premise or off premise. Community cloud. The cloud infrastructure is shared by several organizations and supports a specific community that has shared concerns (e.g., mission, security requirements, policy, and compliance considerations). It may be managed by the organizations or a third party and may exist on premise or off premise. Public cloud . The cloud infrastructure is made available to the general public or a large industry group and is owned by an organization selling cloud services. (there is also a fourth model, hybrid cloud,which is a combination of the other three)

Government 2.0:

Government 2.0 Government 2.0 - the use of information technology to socialize and commoditize government services, processes and data. (Gartner)

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Do's and Don'ts in Goverfnment 2.0 DoNot Do not overdo it. Do not just create your agency's page on Facebook or a page or account on any other mainstream social-media platform (such as LinkedIn or Twitter). Do not believe that you can bend social norms and behaviors. Do not preach to the converted. Do not believe that open government is enough. Do not strategize before understanding your audience. Do not focus too much on citizens. Do not overstate or understate risks. To Do Set expectations. Listen. Let’s go Start small and scale (as) fast (as you can). Choose the combination of internal, external, commercial, open source and consumer tools that makes the most sense, and deploy it to support internal collaboration. Take a comprehensive approach to social-media policies. Monitor the impact of open data.

Conclusion:

Conclusion

Next Events From Gartner:

Next Events From Gartner Gartner Symposium – Cannes, France, November 8-11, 2010

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