logging in or signing up modTrend v12 pauliniguez Download Post to : URL : Related Presentations : Share Add to Flag Embed Email Send to Blogs and Networks Add to Channel Uploaded from authorPOINT lite Insert YouTube videos in PowerPont slides with aS Desktop Copy embed code: (To copy code, click on the text box) Embed: URL: Thumbnail: WordPress Embed Customize Embed The presentation is successfully added In Your Favorites. Views: 63 Category: Entertainment License: All Rights Reserved Like it (0) Dislike it (0) Added: December 08, 2011 This Presentation is Public Favorites: 0 Presentation Description No description available. Comments Posting comment... Premium member Presentation Transcript modTrend Paul Iñiguez Operational Meteorologist NOAA/NWS Phoenix, AZ: modTrend Paul Iñiguez Operational Meteorologist NOAA/NWS Phoenix, AZWhat is modTrend?: What is modTrend ? A model diagnostic tool used to determine how a model (GFS) has trended over time. Previous version was subjective whereas latest major upgrade makes trend analysis objective. modTrend depicts three pieces of data: Mean Spread Trend Work Together; Trend Describes Spread }PowerPoint Presentation: F384 Fxx F12 F06 F00 Climowx.com/ modTrend /modTrend.phpPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 Weights by Model Run F84 F216 84: 59.3% 216: 30.4% 90: 24.1% 228: 21.2% 96: 9.8% 240: 14.8 % 102: 4.0% 252: 10.3% 108: 1.6% 264: 7.2% 114: 0.7% 276: 5.0% 288: 3.5% 300: 2.4% 312: 1.7% 324: 1.2% 336: 0.8% 348: 0.6%PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 Grand Canyon 36°N 112°WPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 Slope: -2.5 dm /run Grand Canyon 36°N 112°WPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 Grand Canyon 36°N 112°WPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 8.9 dmPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 – Example Grand Canyon 36°N 112°W Slope St. Dev.PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 – Example Grand Canyon 36°N 112°W Slope St. Dev.PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 – Example Grand Canyon 36°N 112°W Slope St. Dev.PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 – Example Grand Canyon 36°N 112°W Slope St. Dev.PowerPoint Presentation: Using Trend Data to Recognize PatternsPowerPoint Presentation: L Speed ChangesPowerPoint Presentation: L “Depth” ShiftingPowerPoint Presentation: L System DevelopmentPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend adds very valuable information not available from other ensemble guidance! Tightening Gradient Implies Stronger JetWhen/how is modTrend useful?: When/how is modTrend useful? Forecasting for Days 4-14. Forecasting “cold ” (off for several days). Operational GFS “flip-flopping”. Uncertainty in other models/ensembles. Get ahead of emerging patterns in GFS.modTrend 1.0 – now available on-line Potential Future Work: modTrend 1.0 – now available on-line Potential Future Work Standardize spread (Winter 2011). Add thumbnails of individual runs (Winter 2011). Additional parameters? (PWAT, T, Td/Mixing Ratio, MSLP) (On-Going) Weather.gov/Phoenix/modTrend/ You do not have the permission to view this presentation. In order to view it, please contact the author of the presentation.
modTrend v12 pauliniguez Download Post to : URL : Related Presentations : Share Add to Flag Embed Email Send to Blogs and Networks Add to Channel Uploaded from authorPOINT lite Insert YouTube videos in PowerPont slides with aS Desktop Copy embed code: (To copy code, click on the text box) Embed: URL: Thumbnail: WordPress Embed Customize Embed The presentation is successfully added In Your Favorites. Views: 63 Category: Entertainment License: All Rights Reserved Like it (0) Dislike it (0) Added: December 08, 2011 This Presentation is Public Favorites: 0 Presentation Description No description available. Comments Posting comment... Premium member Presentation Transcript modTrend Paul Iñiguez Operational Meteorologist NOAA/NWS Phoenix, AZ: modTrend Paul Iñiguez Operational Meteorologist NOAA/NWS Phoenix, AZWhat is modTrend?: What is modTrend ? A model diagnostic tool used to determine how a model (GFS) has trended over time. Previous version was subjective whereas latest major upgrade makes trend analysis objective. modTrend depicts three pieces of data: Mean Spread Trend Work Together; Trend Describes Spread }PowerPoint Presentation: F384 Fxx F12 F06 F00 Climowx.com/ modTrend /modTrend.phpPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 Weights by Model Run F84 F216 84: 59.3% 216: 30.4% 90: 24.1% 228: 21.2% 96: 9.8% 240: 14.8 % 102: 4.0% 252: 10.3% 108: 1.6% 264: 7.2% 114: 0.7% 276: 5.0% 288: 3.5% 300: 2.4% 312: 1.7% 324: 1.2% 336: 0.8% 348: 0.6%PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 Grand Canyon 36°N 112°WPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 Slope: -2.5 dm /run Grand Canyon 36°N 112°WPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 Grand Canyon 36°N 112°WPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 8.9 dmPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 – Example Grand Canyon 36°N 112°W Slope St. Dev.PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 – Example Grand Canyon 36°N 112°W Slope St. Dev.PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 – Example Grand Canyon 36°N 112°W Slope St. Dev.PowerPoint Presentation: modTrend v1.0 – Example Grand Canyon 36°N 112°W Slope St. Dev.PowerPoint Presentation: Using Trend Data to Recognize PatternsPowerPoint Presentation: L Speed ChangesPowerPoint Presentation: L “Depth” ShiftingPowerPoint Presentation: L System DevelopmentPowerPoint Presentation: modTrend adds very valuable information not available from other ensemble guidance! Tightening Gradient Implies Stronger JetWhen/how is modTrend useful?: When/how is modTrend useful? Forecasting for Days 4-14. Forecasting “cold ” (off for several days). Operational GFS “flip-flopping”. Uncertainty in other models/ensembles. Get ahead of emerging patterns in GFS.modTrend 1.0 – now available on-line Potential Future Work: modTrend 1.0 – now available on-line Potential Future Work Standardize spread (Winter 2011). Add thumbnails of individual runs (Winter 2011). Additional parameters? (PWAT, T, Td/Mixing Ratio, MSLP) (On-Going) Weather.gov/Phoenix/modTrend/