A Simple Explanation of the OPM

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A Simple Explanationof theOption Pricing Method : 

A Simple Explanationof theOption Pricing Method

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Equity value today Future equity value Preferred only Common & Preferred

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Equity value today Preferred only Common & Preferred Future equity value The current value method assumes no change in equity value.

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Equity value today Preferred only Common & Preferred Future equity value The probability-weighted expected returns method assumes equity value will change estimates each future value associates a probability with each outcome.

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Preferred only Common & Preferred Future equity value The option-pricing method follows the same logic as PWERM but considers many more outcomes. Equity value today

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Preferred only Common & Preferred Future equity value The OPM generates a normal distribution of outcomes. The most likely outcomes are values close to today’s equity value.

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Preferred only Common & Preferred Future equity value Equity value today Volatility is one factor which determines the range of outcomes.

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Preferred only Common & Preferred Future equity value Equity value today Increasing the assumed level of volatility increases the payout to common.

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Preferred only Common & Preferred Future equity value Equity value today Increasing the life of the option also increases the payout to common.

In summary : 

In summary The OPM and PWERM estimate common value based on a range of future values which are weighted by probability. The OPM considers a larger number of outcomes than PWERM and the probabilities are assumed to be normally distributed. Higher volatility and longer option lives increase the value of common.

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