Presentation Transcript
Slide 1:March 14, 2007
NCDEX – 6th largest commodity exchange in the world :2 NCDEX – 6th largest commodity exchange in the world Source: UNCTAD, SFOA “ The world’s commodity exchanges – September 2006
NCDEX- 3rd largest agro-commodity exchange in the world :3 NCDEX- 3rd largest agro-commodity exchange in the world Source: UNCTAD, SFOA “ The world’s commodity exchanges – September 2006
Market growth of 265% over FY05 volumes; 56% growth over FY06 :4 Market growth of 265% over FY05 volumes; 56% growth over FY06 Unlike developed markets, participation in Indian market is more retail & individual and not institutional
Present volumes a fraction of the potential :5 * Bullion Metals etc Agriculture Energy Total Farmers
Agents
Wholesalers
Processors
Retailers Present volumes a fraction of the potential USD Bn Source: NCDEX
Present legal & regulatory environment :6 Present legal & regulatory environment
Market Structure- Futures and Spot :7 Market Structure- Futures and Spot Spot markets Futures Market Forward Markets
Commission Ministry of consumer
Affairs Unlike Forex and Stock markets; Spot markets in commodities
are not within the purview of the Exchanges/Regulators State Government
Regulatory Structure in India :8 Regulatory Structure in India Banking /
NBFCs RBI Ministry of Finance SEBI Capital
Markets NABARD Co-operative Banks &
Regional Rural Banks Ministry of Consumer
Affairs FMC Commodity
Exchanges Insurance Regulatory
Development Authority
(IRDA) Insurance Pension
Funds SIDBI State Financial
Institutions National
Housing Bank Housing Finance
Companies Company
Law Board Corporates Pension Funds Regulatory
Development Authority
(PFRDA)
Slide 9:9 20 Other Regional Exchanges NMCE Commodity Exchanges MCX Structure of Indian Commodity Futures Exchanges National exchanges Regional exchanges FMC NBOT NCDEX
Going forward … :10 Going forward …
New Products :11 New Products Market would move towards trading more exotic products
Index based products
Commodity Indices
Rainfall & other weather indices
Spread Trading
Electricity
Real Estate
Emission Credits ..Idea will be to forge closer links with global commodities
Instruments to be introduced :12 Instruments to be introduced Options
Provide up-side benefits to the market participants
Offer a market driven MSP to the farmers
Indices
Built-in diversification
Exchange for Physicals (EFPs)
Easy of trade for hedgers who would like to take or make deliveries ..new instruments to attract new market participants
Attracting new participants :13 Attracting new participants Farmers
Offering them pre & post harvest risk mitigation platform
Ease of trade through aggregators
Banks
Role of aggregators
Proprietary trade
Mutual Funds
Attracting retail trade to the commodity exchanges
FIIs
FDIs
Risk Mitigation: Pre-harvest :14 Risk Mitigation: Pre-harvest Small Farmers Small Farmers Aggregators Banks
Insurance
NCDEX
NCMSL Future price ensured Liquidity enhanced Weather derivatives /Crop Insurance Bank lending Large Farmers
Risk Mitigation: Post-harvest :15 Risk Mitigation: Post-harvest Small Farmers Sell forward Storage facility Assaying & grading Commodity backed bank finance (WR) Large Farmers Banks
NCDEX
NCMSL
Survey carried out by A C Nielsen :16 Survey carried out by A C Nielsen Wide Area Sample, Sample Size - 255 Narrow Area Sample, Sample Size - 473 Over 78 % of farmers from NAS & 12 % of WAS agreed that they have benefited out of the price discovery taking place through commodity exchanges
As NAS respondents are well aware of market dynamics ( including futures market, they are able benefit through better price realization)
Increase in awareness level in interior areas about commodity futures will help the farmers
Typical farmers awareness programmes :17 Typical farmers awareness programmes A large number of participants
Alwar, Rajasthan on 27 February 2007 Speakers include the regulators – FMC; key officials of NCDEX; important officials of the government machinery
Increased bank participation on the exchange platform :18 Increased bank participation on the exchange platform farmer farmer farmer Bank branch Banks takes consolidated position on behalf of its customers Bank branch Exchange farmer farmer Bank to also take proprietary positions
Facilitating lending against commodities :19 Facilitating lending against commodities Banks’ lending against commodities in FY06 was USD 1,334 million
NCMSL facilitated finance against commodities to the tune of about  USD 80 million as on 31st March, 2006Â
ICICIÂ Bank:Â USD 50 million
HDFC Bank:Â USD 22 million
Other banks:Â USD 8 millionÂ
Average Interest rate charged: 9.5% - 10.5%
Number of defaults so far: NIL
Facilitation required :20 Facilitation required RBI Working Group Recommendations
Banks to be allowed to have proprietary positions in agricultural commodity derivatives
Evolution of a system for warehouse receipts which would be freely transferable
Banks to be granted general permission to become PCMs of commodity exchanges
Foreign Access :21 Foreign Access Foreign access permitted in securities market- equities & bonds under regulation
Currently can access commodity markets by setting up a domestic entity – for broking & investment
Require prior approval from FIPB
Precedents: Permission granted for Proprietary trade only
No precedents for Client trade
RBI/SEBI notification dated 22.12.2006 :22 Permits Foreign Investment in infrastructure companies in Indian Stock Exchange to the tune of 49%, of which
26% - FDI (Foreign Direct Investment)
With specific prior approval of FIPB
23% - FII (Foreign Institutional Investment)
FII will be allowed purchases in secondary market
FII shall not seek & will not get representation on the Board
No foreign investor, including persons acting in concert, will hold more than 5% of the equity capital Similar notification expected for commodity markets… RBI/SEBI notification dated 22.12.2006
Regulatory Action in Jan-Feb 2007 :23 Regulatory Action in Jan-Feb 2007
Sudden delisting of important cereals & pulses - Jan-Feb 2007 :24 Sudden delisting of important cereals & pulses - Jan-Feb 2007 Delisting of Urad & Tur contracts – Jan 07
Suspension of Rice & Wheat contracts – Feb 07 Urad: Crop arrivals from Andhra & Burma expected in Feb-March
Tur: Arrivals in March; 30-40% expected production shortage
NCDEX wheat price movements :25 NCDEX wheat price movements Temporary ban on wheat imposed Temporary ban; expected to be lifted soon…
Innovations by NCDEX :26 Innovations by NCDEX
Spot price polling :27 Spot price polling Commission
Agents Manufacturers Refiner Mill owners Traders Mandi Statistical
Cleansing
of
raw data Polled Prices Exchange Website Trading Terminals Info-vendor terminals Media– electronic & print Near real-time nationwide prices Polling done independently by CMIE & Crisil MW
Dematerialized holding of commodity balances :28 Dematerialized holding of commodity balances CLIENT DP NSDL R&T AGENT WH WH WH WH - Open Demat a/c
With DP
Gets goods to the WH, fills in Demat Request form for Demat credit Empanelled DPs in which members/clients open Demat account -Holds commodity balances in electronic form
Facilitates transactions in commodities Link between the warehouse and the Depository.
Standardized
Screens Accepts goods
for storage/ delivery
Assaying done and information given to NSDL via R&T
Collateral management :29 Collateral management Set up National Collateral Management Services Ltd. (NCMSL)
Warehousing, assaying
Collateral Management
Commodity backed financing
Food procurement for FCI
2005-06 Paddy procurement project
1.2 lakh MTs paddy from MP, Orissa
2006-07 Paddy project
80,000 farmers involved
600,000 MTs of paddy
Price Dissemination :30 Price Dissemination
Automatic weather stations :31 Automatic weather stations Cabled Vantage Pro 2 Plus Collecting & disseminating data over multiple weather parameters
About NCDEX :32 About NCDEX
Our Shareholders :33 Our Shareholders
Ncdex’ market share in total volumes of key agri-commodities (April 2006 -Jan 2007) :34 Ncdex’ market share in total volumes of key agri-commodities (April 2006 -Jan 2007)
Exchange Profile :35 Exchange Profile
Thank You :36 Thank You
Market Share – Agri. Commodities :37 Market Share – Agri. Commodities
Large number of Physical Deliveries taking place on NCDEX Platform :38 Large number of Physical Deliveries taking place on NCDEX Platform Globally less than 2% volumes result in deliveries
Physical deliveries are incidental
Exchanges not delivery platform
However, NCDEX has seen an average delivery of 40-50,000 MT per month Exchange’s are a platform for better prices discovery
Strategic Partners :39 Strategic Partners Global Business Warehouse & others Grading & Standards Tokyo Grain Exchange (TGE)
Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE)
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Bharat Petroleum
Gas Authority of India Ltd (GAIL)
Bombay Bullion Association (BBA) Central Institute for Research on Cotton Technology (CIRCOT)
Indian Agriculture Research Institute (IARI) Food Corporation of India (FCI)
CRIDA
Punjab State Cooperative Supply & Marketing Federation
Number of contracts traded - Economic Survey :40 Number of contracts traded - Economic Survey In millions