SIO_Video_Jan_2011

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Strategic Investment Overview Q1 2011:

Strategic Investment Overview Q1 2011

Slide 2:

How Did 2010 Turn Out? Asia and Emerging Market equities Credit markets (esp. Corporate and Emerging) 3. Prepare for Inflation (via Commodities & Energy)

The Fear Index vs. Global Stockmarkets :

The Fear Index vs. Global Stockmarkets

The Fear Index vs. Global Stockmarkets :

The Fear Index vs. Global Stockmarkets

Slide 5:

How Did 2010 Turn Out? Asia and Emerging Market equities Credit markets (esp. Corporate and Emerging) 3. Prepare for Inflation (via Commodities & Energy)

Slide 6:

Asian Equity Markets Emerging Equity Markets + 14.3% + 16.5% How Did 2010 Turn Out? Credit Markets + 8.9% Commodities + 19.0% 2010 % Return Asset Class

Currencies, Currencies, Currencies:

Shift in the Economic Centre of gravity Currencies, Currencies, Currencies

Slide 8:

Currencies, Currencies, Currencies Euro Asian Currencies Sterling - 7.2% + 5.3% - 4.7% Currency against the USD for 2010

Slide 9:

Currencies, Currencies, Currencies Euro Asian Currencies Sterling - 7.2% + 5.3% - 4.7% Currency against the USD for 2010

‘Developed’ and ‘Emerging’ Economies:

Developed: ‘Developed’ and ‘Emerging’ Economies US, Europe, Japan

‘Developed’ and ‘Emerging’ Economies:

Developed: ‘Developed’ and ‘Emerging’ Economies US, Europe, Japan Emerging: Modern ‘Growth’ economies b) ‘Emerging’ economies

“Growth” and “Emerging” Economies:

Growth Economies “Growth” and “Emerging” Economies Emerging Economies: Substantial size: > 1% of Global GDP Still small: <1% of Global GDP Economies are big enough to have their own dynamics Still dependant on other countries’ economic cycles

“Growth” and “Emerging” Economies:

Growth Economies “Growth” and “Emerging” Economies Emerging Economies: South American Countries Indonesia Eastern Europe Mexico South Korea Turkey Asian Tigers African Lions Brazil, Russia, India, China

“Growth” and “Emerging” Economies:

Growth Economies “Growth” and “Emerging” Economies Indonesia Mexico South Korea Turkey Brazil, Russia, India, China

Growth Economies:

Growth Economies

“Growth” and “Emerging” Economies:

“Growth” and “Emerging” Economies Emerging Economies: South American Countries Eastern Europe Asian Tigers African Lions

Slide 18:

Angola China Myanmar Nigeria Ethiopia Kazakhstan Chad Mozambique Cambodia Rwanda 11.1% 10.3% 10.3% 8.9% 8.4% 8.2% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7% 7.6% World’s Fastest Growing Economies 2001 - 2010

Slide 19:

Angola China Myanmar Nigeria Ethiopia Kazakhstan Chad Mozambique Cambodia Rwanda 11.1% 10.3% 10.3% 8.9% 8.4% 8.2% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7% 7.6% World’s Fastest Growing Economies 2001 - 2010

Slide 20:

Asian and Emerging Equity + 6 – 7 % + 16 % Add Capital 2010 Return 2011 GDP Forecast Action Required Positioning into 2011

Developed Economies:

Improved outlook for the US Developed Economies

Slide 22:

Asian and Emerging Equity + 6 – 7 % + 16 % Add Capital 2010 Return 2011 GDP Forecast Action Required United States Equity Add capital to Multinationals + 13 % > 3 % Positioning into 2011

Developed Economies:

Shaky Europe Developed Economies

Slide 24:

Asian and Emerging Equity + 6 – 7 % + 16 % Add Capital 2010 Return 2011 GDP Forecast Action Required United States Equity Add capital to Multinationals + 13 % Europe + 2 % + 7 % Remain underweight > 3 % Positioning into 2011

Credit Markets:

Corporate and Emerging Bonds still strong Credit Markets

Slide 26:

Inflation Defense:

Via Commodities and Energy Inflation Defense

2010 Commodities Returns:

2010 Commodities Returns

2010 Commodities Returns:

2010 Commodities Returns

Slide 30:

Asian and Emerging Equity + 6 – 7 % + 16 % Add Capital 2010 Return 2011 GDP Forecast Action Required United States Equity Add capital to Multinationals + 13 % Europe + 2 % Commodities + 19 % + 7 % Remain underweight Credit markets + 9 % Maintain weighting > 3 % 15 – 20% Allocation Positioning into 2011 N/A N/A