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The Future of Industrial Food/ Production and Delivery in Phoenix- Metro Area:

The Future of Industrial Food/ Production and Delivery in Phoenix- Metro Area Halima Alshehhi SOS311

Focal Question:

How will the industrial food production and delivery in Phoenix-Metro look like in 25 years given advanced farming technology and food productivity skills? Focal Question

Overview:

The importance of Scenario planning Current trends Interview findings Developed scenarios for future food development The SWOT analysis Overview

Scenario Planning:

Scenario planning is a strategic planning method that some organizations use to anticipate and predict what could happen in the future. It encourages the involvement of stakeholders It exposes uncertainties It assesses involved risks It is less formalized, thus, easy to use It tests for consistency It assesses pros and cons of the agricultural methods Scenario Planning

Trends in the Industrial Food Production and Delivery:

Population growth in the Greater Phoenix-Metro Area Increasing demand for natural and healthy foods due to lifestyle diseases. The depletion of various metal ores may influence the sustainability of food preservation. Other trends are: Globalization Specialization Changing Habits Trends in the Industrial Food Production and Delivery

Interview Research Findings:

What is important Surface water infrastructure Global increase in commodity prices Elimination of trading barriers External open trade with international community Climate change and policy responses Advanced research and technology Large specialized production units Globalization in terms of rapid technological transmission Interview Research Findings

Drivers - Matrix:

DRIVER ONE (Globalization) Low (Increased operational costs) High (Increased profits) DRIVER TWO (Specialization and changing consumption habits) Low(Increased losses) Regular upgrade of machinery to meet needs Sustainability of increasing customer needs A large market for Increased profits Advanced knowledge for large scale food production High(Increased investments and profits) Specialization profits large-scale agriculture companies. Large-scale Agriculture enhances market demand. Stiff competition from imports. Susceptibility of Phoenix-Metro Area to global food market shocks. Drivers - Matrix

Scenario 1 : A Large Market and increased Profits:

The elimination of trading barriers would help increase the market for agricultural products from the area. The demand for products has also increased over the past few years, thereby resulting to enhanced demand of more farmland to cater for this large production . Creating a large market and increased profits. Scenario 1 : A Large Market and increased Profits

Scenario 2 : Rising prices of commodity leads to farmland loss:

The rising prices of commodities and advancements of machinery required for farming would be a concern in the industry A global increase in commodity prices would lead to an underscoring concern that farmland will be lost while on the other hand the global food and fiber demands are on the rise. Scenario 2 : Rising prices of commodity leads to farmland loss

Scenario 3 : Imports Diminish Profits:

Scenario 3 : Imports Diminish Profits The open border to external markets will increase competition of agricultural products from similar imports. The outcome will diminish profits.

Scenario 4 : Specialization Profits Large-scale Agricultural Companies:

Scenario 4 : Specialization Profits Large-scale Agricultural Companies Large scale farming increases profits for large agricultural companies Advanced Knowledge for Large Scale Food Production enhances competitiveness

SWOT Analysis:

Strengths Weaknesses A gricultural Training and Consultation program. Safety equipment by the department. Air quality, nutrient management and waste water management policies A pest management office Poor implementation of planned strategies Inadequate human resources Insufficient funding Inadequacy of physical resources Opportunities Ability to hire its agricultural machineries Export/import policies Improving agricultural produce standards Strict product inspections Threats Competition from rival firms. Expansion of plant pathogens and diseases. formation of the several divisions (coordination) SWOT Analysis

The Way Forward:

Increased efforts in water conservation Improve Agricultural standards Large scale production to minimize costs Establish competitive advantage in quality and low cost Steps include : Establish priorities in policy formulation Acquire advanced farming machinery Put tough inspection measures to improve quality and competitiveness Utilize long planning tactics by involving all stakeholders for future agricultural planning The Way Forward

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