Slide3:
Progression of easterly wave in Caribbean toward the west, with wave dividing into two. NHC says the northern part has “some potential for further development.” Hmm
Slide5:
Dry slot has moved eastward and gotten smaller as Panama bight and Caribbean convection has gotten stronger.
9:
9
Slide9:
6 hour prog does not show the enhanced moisture and
Convection in the Caribbean north of Panama, though
Development in Panama bight is somewhat simulated
Slide11:
We expect an active ITCZ tomorrow, with activity in the
Panama bight. PLEASE don’t take the position of these
Blobs too literally.
Slide15:
Sunday and Monday have a less active ITCZ.
Surface Weather conditions:
Surface Weather conditions Tomorrow: Dry condition over us, with easterlies at 925 mb weakening through the day. Wind shift in late morning. Expect very isolated showers after about 3 PM. Along landing flight path to the west convective systems moving northwestward along the coast may pose a problem.
Surface Weather Conditions:
Surface Weather Conditions Sunday we have weaker easterlies and more PW over us. Expect showers by around 2-3 PM. Rain should be more significant than yesterday, today, and tomorrow.
Monday expect rain possibly by midday
Conditions improving later in the week.