G1: Conclusions

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Slides "G1: Conclusions" for a one-day workshop on "Preparing for the Future: Technological Challenges and Beyond" by Brian Kelly and Tony Hirst at the ILI 2015 conference. Held on Monday 19 October 2015. For further information see http://ukwebfocus.com/events/ili-2015-preparing-for-the-future


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Preparing for the Future: Technological Challenges and Beyond G: Conclusions:

Preparing for the Future: Technological Challenges and Beyond G: Conclusions Brian Kelly Independent researcher/consultant at UK Web Focus Ltd. Tony Hirst Senior lecturer at The Open University Contact Details Brian Kelly Tony Hirst Email: ukwebfocus@gmail.com Email : tony.hirst@gmail.com Twitter : @briankelly Twitter: @ psychemedia Blog : http://ukwebfocus.com/ Blog: http://blog.ouseful.info/ Slides and further information available at http://ukwebfocus.com/events/ili-2015-preparing-for-the-future/ UK Web Focus Event hashtag: #ili2015fut

Contents :

Contents Recap: Thinking differently Delphi process Risk and opportunities framework Action brief Business case Other sources of information Your feedback 2

Thinking Differently:

Thinking Differently Some tools and techniques “What did you notice for the first time?” Trend analyses (pros and cons) How did we get here? The history of the world backwards “Did you try the library?” Listening to experts Asking the audience 3 Slides available which describe these tools Recap

Delphi Process:

Delphi Process Open methodology. Used by: NMC Horizon reports Cetis workshops … 4 Recap Two page summary

Risk and Opportunities Framework:

Risk and Opportunities Framework Remember: There are risks and opportunities There are risks in doing nothing (missed opportunities) There are risks in continuing to use existing technologies (remember mainframe computers, dBase, …) Need to explicitly address risks Approaches described in “ Risks and Opportunities Framework for Exploiting the Social Web ”: Summarise risks Summary risks of not adopting technology Summarise strategies for minimising (or accepting) risks Document biases and prejudices Provide evidence base 5 Recap

Action Brief:

Action Brief Action brief planning template: Convince ______ that by _______ they will ________ which will ________ because _______ 6 Recap As described on the Hyperlinked Library MOOC: Ideas in the form of action briefs can create a starting point for a new service or plan . Imagine , for example, that you have been placed in charge of a new initiative. You must create a planning document for the team or administrators that will join you on the project. Think of this document as a roadmap for future meetings/actions to get the technology or service implemented.  

Making the Case:

Making the Case Remember need: To convince managers of reasons for providing resources to investigate new developments To demonstrate that you have appreciated risks and formulated risk mitigation plans To be aware of competing areas which are seeking resources 7 Recap


Limitations What are the limitations of the approach ? User resistance (e.g. Google Glass) Trends being ‘spun’ Vested interests Perpetuating existing systems Over-emphasis on technical merits What else? 8

Warning From The Past:

Warning From The Past Tim Berners-Lee didn’t let evidence of the popularity of Gopher hinder development of the Web 9 In 1993 Gopher was the safe bet for an important technological innovation

The Serenity Prayer:

The Serenity Prayer The Serenity Prayer 10 Serenity Prayer

Do it For Yourself (1):

Do it For Yourself (1) Do it for yourself! Slides for full-day workshop available with Creative Commons licence Slides also on Slideshare 11 Workshops at ILI 2013 & 2015 conferences: http://ukwebfocus.com/events/ili-2015-preparing-for-the-future/ http://ukwebfocus.com/events/ili-2013-workshop/ Time Title 10.00 A: Introduction 10.15 B1: Exploring Emerging Technologies & Technology-related Areas 10.30 B2: What Is The Library? C: Future Technology Detecting Tools & Techniques 11.20 Coffee 11.40 D: Using the NMC Delphi Methodology 12.30 Lunch 14.00 E: Scenario Planning 14:30 F1: Making the Case 15.30 Coffee 16.00 F2: Report back 16.45 G: Review and Conclusions 17.00 Finish

Do it For Yourself (2):

Do it For Yourself (2) Do it for yourself! Slides, exercises, etc. for half-day workshop available under a Creative Commons licence 12 Half-day workshops at SAOIM 2014 (South Africa) & ELAG 2014 (Bath) conferences: http ://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/saoim-2014-lets-predict-the-future-workshop / http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/elag-2014-preparing-for-the-future-workshop / Also abbreviated version for use in plenary talks: http://ukwebfocus.com/events/jibs-2015/ As described Institutional planning

Additional Resources:

Additional Resources Reports: Jisc horizon scanning reports IFLA Trend Reports (for members) 13 cv

MOOC for Futurists:

MOOC for Futurists 14 Emerging Future: Technology Issues and Trends! https://learn.canvas.net/courses/292

The Association of Professional Futurists:

The Association of Professional Futurists See http://apf.org/ 15


Questions? 16

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