Let's Predict the Future:Agile Thinking (D1)

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Slides for a workshop session on "Let us Predict the Future!" given by Brian Kelly, Cetis, UK at the SAOIM 2014 conference in Pretoria on 3 June 2014. See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ saoim-2014-lets-predict-the-future-workshop/

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Let’s Predict the Future!:

Let’s Predict the Future! A half-day workshop at the SAOIM 2014 conference held on Tuesday 3 June 2014 facilitated by Brian Kelly, Cetis Slides available under a Creative Commons licence (CC-BY) 1 D1 : Let’s Predict the Future! Agile Thinking

Need for Agility & Flexibility:

Need for Agility & Flexibility Dangers that we: Assume the future is like today, only faster, bigger, smaller, … Fail to recognise implications of political, economic, cultural, … changes 2

What Did You Notice?:

What Did You Notice? What did you notice for the first time today? * Or variants: What did you notice for the first time this week / recently? 3 * Acknowledgements to Tony Hirst My recent observations: Buying paper using my mobile phone Being awarded a badge on a computer game WiFi on buses Responses to “ Who has used a mobile device for work-related purposes - in bed? ”

What Was The Question?:

What Was The Question? You overhear someone saying “ Have you tried the library? ” What might have been the question? You overhear someone saying “ Have you tried Amazon/Google/…? ” What might have been the question? 4 Acknowledgements to Tony Hirst

The Future Backwards:

The Future Backwards What will we see in the future? Dangers of: Providing optimistic or pessimistic views based on personal inclinations No new insights Need for innovative ways of story-telling such as: The History of the Web Backwards Forecasting Trends Backwards Reversible, Reverse History and Side-by-Side  Storytelling (Tony Hirst’s blog post) 5

Questions:

Questions Any questions? 6

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