17inflation with Voice-Over rev2

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Chapter 17 Inflation:

1 Chapter 17 Inflation

Meaning and Measurement of Inflation:

2 Meaning and Measurement of Inflation Inflation – an increase in the overall average level of prices, not an increase in the price of any specific product Deflation – just the opposite

Consumer Price Index:

3 Consumer Price Index Measuring changes in the average prices of consumer goods and services Reported by the (BLS) of the Department of Labor

How the CPI Computed:

4 How the CPI Computed A monthly survey is conducted Fixed-weight price index is calculated This is compared to a base year

Slide 5:

5 Composition of the CPI Food and Beverages Housing Apparel and Upkeep Transportation Medical Care Recreation Education & Communication All other goods & services 16.2% 40.0% 4.4% 17.6% 5.8% 5.9% 5.3% 4.8%

How the CPI Computed:

6 How the CPI Computed Exhibit 2 on page 423

Slide 7:

7 ARI = CPI - CPIPY CPIPY *ARI = Annual rate of inflation *CPIY = Consumer price index in given year *CPIPY = Consumer price index in previous year X 100

Slide 8:

8 8 4 0 -4 1930 40 50 60 12 70 80 90 00 -8 -12 16 20 The U.S. Inflation Rate 1929 - 2002

CPI Criticisms:

9 CPI Criticisms It can overstate or understate the impact of inflation for certain groups Does not measure quality Substitutes are ignored

Consequences of Inflation:

10 Consequences of Inflation Shrinks Income Helps/hurts wealth Real Interest Rate (vs. Nominal)

Slide 11:

11 RI = NI CPI *RI = Real income *NI = Nominal income *CPI = CPI as a decimal or CPI ÷ 100

Slide 12:

12 %  in real income %  in nominal income %  in CPI = _

Demand-Pull & Cost-Push Inflation:

13 Demand-Pull & Cost-Push Inflation Demand-pull – buyer induced , “too many dollars chasing too few goods” Cost-push – seller/supplier induced - supply shocks related to price/costs

Inflation in Other Countries:

14 Inflation in Other Countries Inflation on a Rampage Hyperinflation – 100% or more (4 causes) Wage-price spiral – wages & prices chasing each other

END:

15 END