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USING HISTORY TO SHAPE THE FUTURE -- OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

USING HISTORY TO SHAPE THE FUTURE -- OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL WORLD WIDE CHEMICAL CONFERENCE JUNE, 2000

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL FUTURE USE OF CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS WILL DEPEND ON WHAT LESSONS ARE DRAWN FROM HISTORY TO USE THESE WEAPONS, ONE MUST KNOW THE EFFECT THEY HAVE HAD IN THE PAST CONSIDER THE BALCK AND THE SPANISH FLU

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE BLACK DEATH EUROPE BEFORE THE PLAGUE THE RISE OF CITIES THE RISE OF COMMERCE THE SIEGE OF KAFFA THE USE OF BIO WARFARE IN THE MIDDLE AGES THE DISEASE IS SPREAD BY OXCART AND SHIP

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE BLACK DEATH THE FERTILE GROUND OF EUROPE THE LACK OF PREPARATION LACK OF MEDICAL KNOWLEDGE A TENDENCY TOARD HYSTERIA THE PLAGUE TAKES HOLD -- GOD ABANDONS EUROPE THE MECHANICS OF DISPOSAL

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE BLACK DEATH ENTIRE VILLAGES WIPED OUT ALL SORTS OF REMEDIES WERE TRIED SOCIAL ORDER BROKE DOWN MENTALLY ILL PEOPLE, THOSE WITH HANDICAPS, ANIMALS WERE ATTACKED ANDKILLED -- THEY WERE BLAMED

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE BLACK DEATH THE COST IN LIVES 30% OF EUROPE DIED CIVILIZATION WS SET BACK A GENERATION OR MORE SOCIAL ORDER AND COMMERCE BADLY DISRUPTED IT WAS PREVENTABLE IF EUROPE HAD KNOWN THE CAUSE

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE BLACK DEATH EVENTUALLY THE DISEASE BURNED ITSELF OUT RE-OCCURRED IN EUROPE FOR OVER A DECADE AT IRREGULAR INTERVALS WHAT STOPPED THE PLAGUE WAS THE DEVELOPMENT OF BETTER SANITARY CONDITIONS

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL HISTORICAL LESSONS FOR OPERATIONAL PLANNING THE PLAUGE EPENDED ON UNHYGENIC CONDITIONS -- CONDITIONS LARGELY ERADICATED DOCTORS CAN DETECT THE PLAGUE AND TREAT IT THE PLAUGE IS A RARITY NOW UNIT 731 TIRED TO WEAPONIZE IT

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL HISTORICAL LESSONS FOR OPERATIONAL PLANNING THE PLAGUE WOULD HAVE TO BE ENGINEERED AS A WEAPON RUSSIANS MAY HAVE BEEN DOING JUST THAT TECHNOLOGY MAY HAVE BEEN SHARED WITH OTHERS USE OF NATURALLY OCCURRING VIRUS VITAL

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL HISTORICAL LESSONS FOR OPERATIONAL PLANNING THE PLAGUE OCCURRED 5 CENTURIES AGO CITIZENS HAVE NO RECENT MEMORY TO ALARM THEM NO ONE FEELS THREATENED BUT WE HAVE A MORE RECENT PLAGUE TO PROVIDE SOME ALARM -- THE SPANISH FLU OF 1917

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL A MORE RECENT HISTORICAL EXAMPLE -- THE SPANISH FLU OF 1917 ORIGINS OF THE PLAGUE BEGAN AT FORT RILEY, KANSAS LARGE MANURE PILE BURNED AND WIND CARRIED ASHES ALL OVER THE POST NEXT DAY, SOLDIERS STARTED COMING DOWN WITH THE FLU ARMY PANICKED -- SENT TROOPS OVER TO EUROPE

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL A MORE RECENT HISTORICAL EXAMPLE -- THE SPANISH FLU OF 1917 ORIGINS OF THE PLAGUE THEY BROUGHT THE DISEASE WITH THEM PEOPLE IN EUROPE BEGAN TO COME DOWN TITH THE DISEASE FLU SPREAD TO THE GERMANS, AND THEN MOVED EAST BY STATES IN FACT, THE DISEASE MOVED AROUND THE WORLD AND RE-ENTERED THE U.S. THROUGH THE WEST COAST

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL A MORE RECENT HISTORICAL EXAMPLE -- THE SPANISH FLU OF 1917 NEAR BREAKDOWN OF SOCIAL ORDER HUNDREDS OF PEOPLE AFFECTED -- WHOLE FAMILIES SPREAD RAPIDLY THROUGH THE POPULATION BY CONTACT PEOPLE DIED WITHIN A FEW DAYS FROM THE ONSET OF THE SYMPTOMS

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL A MORE RECENT HISTORICAL EXAMPLE -- THE SPANISH FLU OF 1917 NEAR BREAKDOWN OF SOCIAL ORDER MORGUES RAN OUT OF ROOM PEOPLE CEASED TO GO OUTUSIDE AND INTERACT WITH OTHERS SCHOOLS AND STORES WERE CLOSED THE ECONOMIC LIFE OF THE NATION BEGAN TO GRIND TO A HALT PEOPLE BEGAN TO BLAME OTHERS

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL A MORE RECENT HISTORICAL EXAMPLE -- THE SPANISH FLU OF 1917 NEAR BREAKDOWN OF SOCIAL ORDER POPULATION MIGRATED TO THE COUNTR FROM THE CITIY AND MERELY SPRED THE FLU PEOPLE TOOK UP RELIGION AS THEY HAD DURING THE BLACK DEATH FAMILIES LOST SIGNIFICANT MEMBERS ONE AFTER THE OTHER AS QUICKLY AS IT AROSE, THE FLU DISAPPEARED JUST AT THE RIGHT TIME -- SOCIETY WAS BEGINNING TO COME APART

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL HISTORICAL LESSONS FOR OPERATIONAL PLANNING THE FLU HAS NOT NORMALLY BEEN LISTED AS A POTENTIAL WEAPON HISTORICAL EVIDENCE THAT IT CAN RAVAGE A POPULATION FLU OCCURS NATURALLY AND ALMOST EVERY YEAR AN EASY WEAPON TO TEST -- ITS SO NATURAL TO HAVE IT

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL HISTORICAL LESSONS FOR OPERATIONAL PLANNING FLU CAN BE UPGRADED TO BE MORE MORE LETHAL IF A KILLER FLU WAS USED, SOCIAL ORDER AND MEDICAL FACILITIES WOULD BREAK DOWN WHO WOULD KNOW THIS TYPE OF FLU WAS A WEAPON

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL HISTORICAL LESSONS FOR OPERATIONAL PLANNING FLU IS A PERFECT WEAPON BECAUSE IT SPREADS SO RAPIDLY AND ITS POINT OF ORIGIN CAN EASILY BE MASKED BIOWEAPONS HAVE NOT BEEN USED SINCE 1945 BECAUSE OF THE THREAT OF NUCLEAR RETALIATION

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL HISTORICAL LESSONS FOR OPERATIONAL PLANNING INFRASTRUCTURE OF PREPARATION WEAPON MUST BE IDENTIFIED EARLY DISEASE MUST BE KEPT WITHIN PARAMETERS CENTRAL DIRECTION TO FIGHT THE DISEASE AND ITS SPREAD CIVIL AUTHORITIES MUST BE PREPARED FOR THIS TYPE OF CONTINGENCY FIRST RESPONDERS MUST IDENTIFY WHAT IT IS AND SPREAD ALARM

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE MOST IMPORTANT KNOWLEDGE HISTORY SHOWS IF BIOWEAPON IS FULLY DPLOYED, THE DAMAGE CAN BE CATASTOPHIC MUST THINK OUT OF THE BOX -- NORMAL TERMS OF REFERENCE DO NOT APPLY IF WE FORGET JUST ONE, IT IS ALL OVER NEVER ASSUME THAT THE ENEMY WILL USE LETHAL -- THERE IS A DEFINITE PLACE FOR NONETHAL CHEMICALS AND BIO AGENTS

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE MOST IMPORTANT KNOWLEDGE KNOWLEDGE OF THE BLACK DEATH, THE SPANISH FLU, AND OTHER PLAGUES IN HISTORY CAN GIVE A NATION THE INFORMATION IT NEEDS TO PLAN A BOLD AND SWIFT STROKE TO CHANGE THE BALANCE OF POWER IN THE WORLD IT’S ALL ABOUT POWER

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE USE OF THE DOUBLE STEAL IN BASEBALL, WHEN TWO RUNNERS ARE ON BASE AND THE 3RD BASE COACH SIGNALS FOR A DOUBLE STEAL, THEY RUN ON THE NEXT PITCH TO GET INTO SCORING POSITION YOU CAN GET TWO RUNS INSTEAD OF ONE BY RISKING ONE OR BOTH RUNNERS A HIGH RISK, BUT THE PAYOFF IS BIG

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL OPERATIONAL DOUBLE STEAL RATIONALE: THE CHANGING OF THE BALANCE OF POWER IN THE PACIFIC RIM BRINGS TOGETHER THREE OLD COMRADES -- CHINA, NORTH KOREA, AND RUSSIA THE STAKES ARE ENORMOUS POWER COMES TO THOSE WHO DARE

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL NOTE: THIS SCENARIO IS FICTION BUT, REMEMBER TWENTY THOUSAND LEAGUES UNDER THE SEAS THE SUBMARINE NAUTILUS WAS FICTION THEN, BUT THAT TYPE OF A SUBMARINE IS COMMON NOW FICTION CAN BECOME REALITY

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL GIVENS: NORTH KOREA, RUSSIA, AND CHINA HAVE LARGE AND CAPABLE BIOWEAPONS RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT FACILITIES NORTH KOREA’S GOAL IS TO REUNITE THE SOUTH CHINA WANTS TO TAKE OVER TAIWAN BOTH CANNOT REACH THEIR DREAMS WHILE THE U.S. CAN INTERVENE

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL GIVENS: CURRENT U.S. POLICY IS CLEAR -- USE CHEMICAL OR BIOWEAPONS AGAINST US, AND RETALIATION WILL BE MASSIVE AND MAYBE NUCLEAR PROBLEM: HOW TO DEVELOP A PLAN USING CHEMICAL AND BIOAGENTS THAT WOULD RENDER THE U.S. HARMLESS WITHOUT RISKING NUCLEAR EXCHANGE

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THERE IS A WAY PLANNING CYCLE UNDERSTANDINGS: TAIWAN AND SOUTH KOREA MUST BE ATTACKED AND OVERRUN BEFORE U.S. CAN INTERVENE IN STRENTH PRESENT U.S. WITH FAIT ACCOMPLI AND GIVE U.S. LEADERSHIP A TERRIBLE CHOICE

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THERE IS A WAY PLANNING CYCLE UNDERSTANDINGS: “WE HAD TO DESTROY THE VILLAGE TO SAVE IT” SYNDROME NO PRESIDENT SHOULD EVER BE FACED WITH THIS TYPE OF A DECISION

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE RIDDLE OF TAIWAN CAPABLE OF DEFENDING ITSELF, BUT RELATIONS WITH PRC ARE DELICATE ABOUT PROVIDING MILITARY HARDWARE CHINA IS BUILDING UP TECHNOLOGY TO MARCH ANY POTENTIAL FOE GEOGRAPHY OF TWIWAN LIMITS WHAT PLA CAN DO TO SEIZE ISLAND CHINESE NAVY DOES NOT HAVE AMPHIBIOUS FORCES FOR FULL SCALE LANDINGS

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE RIDDLE OF TAIWAN ANY ATTEMPT TO SEIZE THE ISLAND WOULD HAVE TO TAKE LESS THAN 3 DAYS IT WOULD HAVE TO BE OVERWHELMING IN SCOPE AND POWER TIED INTO THE IDEA OF THE INDIRECT APPROACH

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE INDIRECT APPROACH USE OF INFORMATION WARFARE TO BLIND DEFENSES USE OF BIOAGENTS TO DESTROY COMPUTERS USE OF SIMILAR AGENTS TO DISRUPT TELEPHONE, RADIO, AND TELEVISION WAY IS PREPARED BY EPIDEMIC OF A POWERFUL FLU

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE INDIRECT APPROACH THE FLU IS SPRAYED OVER THE ISLAND BY STEALTH GLIDERS CONTROLLED BY THE PRC WHEN FLU TAKES FULL EFFECT INFORMATION WARFARE IS INITIATED SPECIAL FORCES USING NON-LETHAL CHEMICAL AGENTS TAKES OVER KEY COMMAND AND CONTROL SYSTEMS

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE INDIRECT APPROACH USING LOW FLYING AIRCRAFT, WEAPONS AND VEHICLE PARKS ARE SPRAYED WITH IRRITANT CHEMICAL AGENTS THAT WILL MAKE THEIR USE DIFFICULT AND REQUIRE DECONTAMINATION THE FIFTH COLUMN -- WHO HAVE BEEN IMMUNIZED TO THE FLU WILL THEN TAKE OVER TV AND RADIO TO BEGIN THE PROCESS OF EDUCATION OF THE PUBLIC

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE NEUTRALIZATION OF “BIG BROTHER” USING AGENT IN PLACE ASSETS AND INFORMATION WARFARE U.S. SATELLITES ARE TEMPORARILY DISABLED -- THIS WILL APPEAR TO BE A NATURAL GLITCH U.S. MILITARY PERSONNEL -- PARTICULARLY USAF, NAVAL, AND FAST DEPLOYING U.S. ARMY GROUND FORCES WILL COME DOWN WITH THE FLU

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE NEUTRALIZATION OF “BIG BROTHER” USING AGENT IN PLACE ASSETS AND INFORMATION WARFARE PSYCHOLOGICAL WARFARE WILL HAVE BEGUN EARLIER WITH ARTICLES INDICATING THE THEME “WHY FIGHT FOR TAIWAN” NON-LETHAL BIO AGENTS WILL BE USED TO NEUTALIZE ANY FAST DEPLOYING U.S. FORCE, PARTICULARLY USAF AIRCRAFT

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE FALL OF TAIWAN LANDING FORCE OF SPECIAL TROOPS WOULD BE HIDDEN IN SPECIFICALLY CONSTRUCTED SHIPS -- Erskine Childers: THE RIDDLE OF THE SANDS LAND AT KEY TAIWANESE PORTS TROOPS WILL BE DRESSED SIMILARLY TO NATIONALIST FORCES GOVERNMENT OF LOCAL TAIWANESE WITH PRC CONNECTIONS WILL BE NAMED, AND THEY WILL CALL FOR CALM FROM THE POPULACE

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE FALL OF TAIWAN CHINESE MISSILES WILL COMMAND THE FORMOSA STRAITS CHINESE KILO CLASS SUBS WILL PATROL OFF TAIWAN TO INTERCEPT AND STOP ANY U.S. NAVY TASK FORCE TAIWAN AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS WILL BE IMMEDIATELY RESTORED UNDER PLA CONTROL

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE OTHER SIDE OF THE DOUBLE STEAL -- THE FALL AND OCCUPATION OF SOUTH KOREA NORTH KOREA USES A SIMILAR SYSTEM TO TAKE SOUTH KOREA BUT, THERE ARE U.S. TROOPS STATIONED IN SOUTH KOREA PLAN TO DEAL WITH THEM

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE OTHER SIDE OF THE DOUBLE STEAL -- THE FALL AND OCCUPATION OF SOUTH KOREA U.S. TROOPS ARE LOCATED IN ENCLAVES AND NOT AMONG THE GENERAL POPULATION THEY WOULD BE NEUTRALIZED WITH ATTACKS USING NON-LETHAL FLU, AND DEGRADING CHEMICAL AGENTS FOR WEAPONS AND VEHICLE PARKS SINCE ROKA AND U.S. HAVE C&C AREAS, THEY WOULD BE NEUTRALIZED USING NON-LETHAL AGENTS AND SPECIAL OPERATIONS UNITS

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE OTHER SIDE OF THE DOUBLE STEAL -- THE FALL AND OCCUPATION OF SOUTH KOREA THE NORTH KOREAN ARMY IS REPUTED TO HAVE AMONG THE BEST TRAINED SPECIAL FORCES IN THE WORLD THEY HAVE BEEN TESTING THE DEFENSES OF SOUTH KOREA FOR DECADES THEY KNOW WHERE THE HOLES ARE

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE OTHER SIDE OF THE DOUBLE STEAL -- THE FALL AND OCCUPATION OF SOUTH KOREA HERE’S HOW ITS DONE CRIPPLE C&C SYSTEM WITH USE OF NON-LETHAL CHEMICALS AND BIO-AGENTS ACTIVATION OF TH COLUMN FOR PSYCHOLOGICAL AND DISRUPTIVE OPERATIONS INFACT THE S. KOREAN POPULATION WITH POWERFUL BUT NON-LETHAL FLU VIRUS USE POWERFUL NON LETHAL BIO-CHEMICAL AGENTS TO FORCE DECONTAMINATION OF VEHICLES AND EQUIPMENT

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE OTHER SIDE OF THE DOUBLE STEAL -- THE FALL AND OCCUPATION OF SOUTH KOREA HERE’S HOW ITS DONE USE OF EMP USE OF NKPA SPEICAL FORCES -- SNIPER BRIGADES FOR DISRUPTOR MISSIONS AND SEIZURE OF KEY POSITION AND TERRAIN USE OF TUNNELS NOT DISCOVERED TO MOVE BALANCE OF STRKING FORCE INTO SOUTH KOREA

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL THE OTHER SIDE OF THE DOUBLE STEAL -- THE FALL AND OCCUPATION OF SOUTH KOREA HERE’S HOW ITS DONE NORTH KOREA SEEDS SKIES AROUND SOUTH KOREA WITH BIO AGENTS TO DISRUPT INCOMING U.S. REINFORCMENTS -- BY PLANE S. KOREAN AIR BASES SPRAYED WITH DISRUPTIVE AGENTS TO PRECLUDE THEIR IMMEDIATE USE

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL U.S. RESPONSE AS IN TAIWAN SITUATION. ONLY POSSIBILITY IS A BREAK-IN OPERATION THOUSANDS OF U.S. LIVES AT STAKE, AND TO TAKE BACK S. KOREA WOULD INVOLVE DEATHS OF THOUSANDS OF KOREAN NO U.S. PRESIDENT SHOULD HAVE TO MAKE THIS DECISION

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL LESSONS FOR THE FUTURE NEED TO DEVELOP MEASURES TO COUNTER DISRUPTOR WEAPONS AGAINST C&C AND INDUSTRIAL INFRASTRUCTURE CONSIDERATION NEED TO BE GIVEN TO ALL CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS THAT ARE NOT LETHAL AND PROGRAMS DEVELOPED TO NEGATE THEIR EFFECT

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL: 

OPERATION DOUBLE STEAL LESSONS FOR THE FUTURE IF WE IGNORE THE LESSONS OF THE PAST, THESE NEW TYPE OF WEAPONS CAN REDUCE AMERICA’S MILITARY FROM THE BEST TECHNOLOGICAL FORCE IN THE WORLD, TO USING BOWS AND ARROWS SURRENDER MIGHT BE OUR ONLY OPTION

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