Presentation Transcript
General EpidemiologySix Honest Serving Men :General EpidemiologySix Honest Serving Men ? What
Why
When How
Where
Who
Definition of Epidemiology The study of the distribution and determinants of disease frequency in human populations and the application of this study to control health problems :Definition of Epidemiology The study of the distribution and determinants of disease frequency in human populations and the application of this study to control health problems
Slide 3:Epi = among
Demos = people
Logos = study
3 Components :3 Components Disease Frequency
Disease Distribution
Disease Determinants
Disease Frequency :Disease Frequency Measurement of frequency of disease, disability or death
Rates and Ratios (prevalence rate, incidence rate, death rate etc.,)
Measurement of health related events and states ( Health needs, demands, activities, tasks, health care utilization)
Measurements of variables
Disease Distribution :Disease Distribution Patterns of the disease distribution
By time, place and person
Out come – Formulation of Hypothesis
Known as Descriptive Epidemiology
Disease Determinants :Disease Determinants To test aetiological Hypothesis
To identify underlying causes (risk factors)
Known as Analytical Epidemiology
Helps in developing Health programmes, interventions and Policies
Helps in understanding Chronic Diseases eg., Lung cancer, CVD’s.
Slide 8:Epidemiology
Vs
Clinical Medicine
Epidemiological approach :Epidemiological approach Asking Questions
Making Comparisons
Asking questions :Asking questions Related to Health Events:
What is the event (problem)?
What is the magnitude ?
Where did it happen ?
When did it happen ?
Who were affected ?
Why did it happen
Related to Health Action :Related to Health Action What can be done to reduce this problem and its consequences?
How can it be prevented?
What action should be taken by the community? By other sectors? Where and for whom these activities be carried out?
What resources are required? How are the activities to be organised?
What difficulties may arise, and how might they be overcome?
Making comparisons :Making comparisons Between two ( or more groups)
One group having the disease and the other group not having the disease
Comparison between individuals
Comparability :Comparability Like can be compared with like
Age and Sex or other variables
Randomization or random allocation
Matching
Standardization
Basic measurements in epidemiology :Basic measurements in epidemiology Measurement of mortality
Measurement of morbidity
Measurement of disablity
Measurement of natality
Measurement of presence or absence or distribution of characters or attributes of the disease
Slide 15:Measurement of medical needs, health care facilities, utilisation of services and other health related events
Measurement of presence or absence or distribution of the environmental and other factors suspected of causing the disease
Measurement of demographic variables.
Tools of measurements :Tools of measurements Rates
Ratios
Proportions
Rate :Rate 500 deaths from motor vehicle accidents in city A during 1985
For comparison between City A and City B calculate Rate
Rate measures the occurrence of some particular event in a population during a given time period.
Slide 18:Death Rate:
Specific Rate: Disease specific, age-group specific, specific time periods
Standardized rates: By direct method and indirect method
Ratio :Ratio Expresses a relation in the size between two random quantities.
Numerator is not a component of denominator
X : Y = X/Y
Proportion :Proportion A proportion is a ratio which indicates the relation in magnitude of a part of the whole.
Numerator is always included in the denominator.
Usually expressed as percentage.
Adjusted or standardized rates :Adjusted or standardized rates Direct Standardization
Indirect standardization
Direct Standardization :Direct Standardization Select a standard population
A standard population is defined as one for which the numbers in each age and sex group are known.
Apply to the standard population, the age-specific rates of the population whose crude death rate is to be adjusted or standardized.
Proportion of heavy smokers in cases and controls :Proportion of heavy smokers in cases and controls
Age adjusted proportions :Age adjusted proportions
Measurement Morbidity :Measurement Morbidity “ any departure, subjective or objective, from a state of physiological well-being”
Sickness, illness, disability
Frequency
Duration
Severity
Incidence :Incidence “ the number of new cases occuring in a defined population during a specified period of time”
Number of new cases of specific disease
during a given time period
= --------------------------------------------- X 1000 Population at risk during that period
Slide 29:500
= -------- X1000 = 16.7 per 1000 per year
30,000
Special incidence rates :Special incidence rates Attack rate
Secondary attack rate: the number of exposed persons developing the disease within the range of incubation period following exposure to a primary case
Uses of incidence rate :Uses of incidence rate Useful for taking action
A) to control disease
B) for research into etiology and pathogenesis, distribution of diseases, efficacy of preventive & therapeutic measures
Prevalence :Prevalence All current cases (old & new) existing at a given point of time, or over a period of time in a given population
Definition: the total number of all individuals who have an attribute or disease at a particular time divided by the population at risk of having the attribute or disease at this point in time or midway through the period
Slide 33:Point prevalence: the number of all current (old and new) cases of a disease at one point in time in relation to a defined population.
Number of all current (old &new) cases of
specific disease existing at a given time period
= ----------------------------------------------------- X 100 Estimated Population at the same point of time
Period prevalence :Period prevalence
Period prevalence :Period prevalence Period prevalence: the number of all current (old and new) cases existing during a defined period of time expressed in relation to a defined population.
Number of existing cases (old &new) cases of a
specified disease during a given period of time interval
= ----------------------------------------------------- X 100 Estimated mid-interval Population at risk
Slide 36:Case -1 Case -1 Case -3 Case -5 Case -6 Case -8 Case -2 Case -4 Case -7
Slide 37:Incidence would include cases – 3,4,5, & 8
Point prevalence ( Jan 1st) – 1,2, & 7
Point prevalence (Dec 31st) – 1,3,5 and 8
Period prevalence ( Jan – Dec ) cases 1,2,3,4,5,7 and 8
Slide 38:P = I X D
= incidence X mean duration
Incidence = P / D
Duration = P / I
Epidemiological methods :Epidemiological methods Observational studies
a) Descriptive studies
b) Analytical Studies
Experimental studies / Intervention studies
a) Randomized Control Studies
b) Field trials
c) Community trials
Descriptive studies :Descriptive studies When is the disease occurring?
Time distribution
Where is it occurring?
Place distribution
Who is getting the disease?
Person distribution
Procedures in descriptive studies :Procedures in descriptive studies Defining the population to be studied
Defining the disease under the study
Describing the disease by
Time
Place
Person
4. Measurement of disease
Comparing with known indices
Formulation of aetiological hypothesis
Defining the population :Defining the population Total Number
Age composition
Sex composition
Occupation
Cultural characters
Describing the disease :Describing the disease Clinical definition
Operational definition
Time distribution :Time distribution Short term fluctuations
Periodic fluctuation
Long term or secular trends
Short term fluctuations :Short term fluctuations Types of epidemics
Common source epidemics a) Single exposure or ‘point source” epidemics
b) Continuous or multiple exposure epidemics
Propagated epidemics person – to – person arthropod vector animal reservoir
Slow (modern) epidemics
Defining the population :Defining the population