Impact of oil shocks on indian economy

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The ppt is all about how the oil shocks of crude oil prices impacts the indian economy in different ways.

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By: parambir (30 month(s) ago)

please send me the related material on this topic which is very helful for me to prepare for presentation at parambir.mohali@gmail.com as soon as possible.

Presentation Transcript

IMPACT OF OIL SHOCKS ON THE INDIAN ECONOMY : 

IMPACT OF OIL SHOCKS ON THE INDIAN ECONOMY (Group-9) Section - B ANSHUL GUPTA 068 ARJUN M 070 GOPAL AVASTHI 079 KAUSHIK AGARAWAL 087 OMKAR PARNANDIVAR 097 RIDHHI JAIN 109

Outline : 

Outline Determinants of oil prices Oil demand in India & China Oil shocks transmission India’s oil dependence Different elastic ties Crude oil prices Impact on India’s GDP and inflation Steps taken by the Govt. and RBI to minimize the impact Conclusions

Determinants of Oil Prices : 

Determinants of Oil Prices Demand economic & population growth Supply reserves & production flow rates investment OPEC conflict & resource nationalism Expectations, risk & speculation

Oil Shock Transmission : 

Oil Shock Transmission Short run: inflation (imported & domestic) current account balance exchange rate volatility monetary policy response Long run: conservation & efficiency substitution of energy & capital

INDIA’s Oil Dependence : 

INDIA’s Oil Dependence Moderate oil intensity (3.5% of GDP) Low oil resource intensity (15% of energy) High oil import dependency (70%) synthetic fuels comprise: 13.6% in 1970s to 22% in 2008, of liquid fuels Transport 83% dependent on liquid fuels

Price & income elasticities : 

Price & income elasticities

Slide 8: 

Source: IMF

IMPACT OF OIL PRICES ON GDP GROWTH : 

IMPACT OF OIL PRICES ON GDP GROWTH

Impact of increase in oil prices on growth and inflation levels in India : 

Impact of increase in oil prices on growth and inflation levels in India

Impact on inflation : 

Impact on inflation Inflation has a inverse relationship with other three

Steps taken by the govt. and rbi : 

Steps taken by the govt. and rbi What Govt. did ? 1. Provided huge amount of subsidies to oil companies to keep them solvent. 2. This increased domestic prices of diesel and petrol. 3. Start looking for alternate energy options to prevent future oil shocks. What RBI did? Increase in CRR, Repo rates. (i.e. used monetary tools to calm down the heat)

Conclusion : 

Conclusion To summarize the study When Oil prices Moves UP : Inflation increases Govt. spending on subsidy increases Foreign currency reserves deplete Our export becomes weaker GDP is affected negatively Share market crumbles Investment decreases

Slide 14: 

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