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Satisfaction with the Canadian Electoral System. : 

Satisfaction with the Canadian Electoral System. Fireweed Survey January 2011

Research Question : 

Research Question Does Confidence in Elected Officials influence Canadians’ Perception of the Electoral system as a whole? Analytic Approach: Data Set: “Fireweed” N= 1014 Missing Values: 105 Tests include: Reliability Analysis, Crosstabulation, ANOVA, and Chi-Square.

Rationale: : 

Rationale: Literature Research shows a recent decline in electoral participation in the Canadian population. In a survey done in 2009, only 47.9% of respondents were satisfied with the present electoral system (Elections Canada). Personal Interest Example of the “Personalization” of public issues. Power of personality to persuade public opinion.

Further Research : 

Further Research In his work, “Value Changes and Governance in Canada” Neil Nevitte discusses the relationship between citizen values and preferences and their effect on the electoral system. Demonstrates support level for political objects Specific low levels of support General high levels of support Conclusions, Internal Efficacy External Efficacy

Dependent Variable: : 

Dependent Variable: Satisfaction with the Electoral System in Canada. Index: The way the Electoral System works in Canada Whether Elected Representatives represent your interests The way in which Members of Parliament are elected in Canada Your ability to have an impact on what gov’ts do in between elections. Alpha: .7056

Reliability AnalysisCreating an index measuring Satisfaction with the Electoral System in Canada : 

Reliability AnalysisCreating an index measuring Satisfaction with the Electoral System in Canada

Independent Variable: : 

Independent Variable: Calibre of Elected Officials Five Categories are examined: The Very Best Some of the Best Average Some of the Worst The Very Worst

Hypothesis: : 

Hypothesis: X= Calibre of Elected Officials Y= Satisfaction with the Electoral System XY Respondents who believe that elected officials are of the worst quality will also be dissatisfied with the electoral system. Cynicism Loss of faith in politicians Negativity to parties

Crosstabulation:Calibre of elected Officialsand Satisfaction w/ the Electoral System in Canada : 

Crosstabulation:Calibre of elected Officialsand Satisfaction w/ the Electoral System in Canada Kendall’s Tau-b = .21589 P= .00000

ANOVA Statistics:Satisfaction with Electoral System by Calibre of Elected Officials : 

ANOVA Statistics:Satisfaction with Electoral System by Calibre of Elected Officials P=.0000

Summary: : 

Summary: Our hypothesis is confirmed fairly strong, statistically significant relationship 3 out of 4 Canadians say those elected to parliament soon lose touch Approx. 25% of those who responded called for politicians’ behaviour to change. (Elections Canada) However, In reality, only a small minority, 20% express dissatisfaction with the current system.(Elections Canada) Turnout in elections is due to structural factors- turnout is actually lower in first- past- the –post system (Richard Jenkins)

Conclusions: : 

Conclusions: Strong evidence to conclude that satisfaction with the calibre of elected officials is one of the factors influencing perception of the electoral system. Counter Hypotheses: Canadians are skeptical of the meaningfulness of their vote (because of the current system)(Jessica Nasrallah) Nevitte believes that citizens/state relationships have mutual interaction. Reverse could be true- some suggest electoral reform could improve attitudes toward politics and politicians (ex. More female representatives) (Alisa Henderson)

Syntax : 

Syntax

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