Twenty Steps to Seven Figures :1 Twenty Steps to Seven Figures Barbara O’Neill, Ph.D., CFP
Rutgers Cooperative Extension
Class Objective: :2 Class Objective: To discuss 20 research-based strategies to accumulate wealth over time 10 investment steps
10 lifestyle and financial planning steps
Millionaires Are In The News! :3 Millionaires Are In The News! Game shows
Best-selling books
Millionaires are rare: of U.S. population of over 274 million, 4.6 million households have a net worth of at least $1 million (1998)
Median U.S.household net worth is $71,600.
Wealth Accumulation Takes Time :4 Wealth Accumulation Takes Time Average age of millionaires: late 50s to 60
Compound interest over time, especially in tax-deferred or tax-exempt investments
One study: millionaires have been investing for 30 years
First million is the hardest (Rule of 72)
Recent Publications: :5 Recent Publications: Eight Steps to Seven Figures (Carlson)
Getting Rich in America (Lee & McKenzie)
Rags to Riches (Liberman & Lavine)
The Millionairess Across the Street (Flores & Sander)
The Millionaire Mind (Stanley)
The Millionaire Next Door (Stanley & Danko)
Step1: Set Measurable Financial Goals :6 Step1: Set Measurable Financial Goals Without goals, investing is hard to sustain
Have a “why” to invest (whatever it is)
A goal should be personally meaningful
Break a big goal into “mini” goals:
$1 million by age 65
$500,000 by age 57
$250,000 by age 50
Make Your Goals SMART :7 Make Your Goals SMART Specific: who, what, where,when, why?
Measurable (e.g., progress benchmarks)
Attainable (within your ability to achieve)
Realistic (goals that “fit” lifestyle)
Tangible (visualization = motivation)
Step 2: Start “Paying Yourself First” - Starting Today :8 Step 2: Start “Paying Yourself First” - Starting Today Time is an investor’s biggest ally
Compound interest is awesome
To accumulate $1 million:
20 year olds must invest $67/month
30 year olds must invest $202/month
40 year olds must invest $629/month
50 year olds must invest $2,180/month
For every decade an investor delays, the required investment triples
The Most Important Dollar You Invest is the One Invested Today :9 The Most Important Dollar You Invest is the One Invested Today There are plenty of low-cost investments:
Employer payroll deduction plans
DRIPs (stock purchases)
Low-minimum mutual funds
“Automate”your investments
The first million is the hardest (Rule of 72)
Step 3: Diversify Your Investment Portfolio :10 Step 3: Diversify Your Investment Portfolio Diversification reduces- but does not eliminate- investment risk
Select different asset classes and different investments within each class (e.g., stock)
Mutual funds and unit investment trusts (UITs) are already diversified
Keep investing: up or down markets
Time Diversification :11 Time Diversification The risk of volatility (i.e., ups & downs) in investment value is reduced as an investor’s holding period increases
Don’t worry about day-to-day or month-to-month (or even year-to-year) fluctuations
Don’t panic and sell during market downturns
Step 4: Invest Regularly by Dollar-Cost Averaging :12 Step 4: Invest Regularly by Dollar-Cost Averaging Takes the emotion out of investing: forces you to buy during market dips
Make regular deposits at regular intervals, regardless of market levels
Buy more shares when market is down
Buy fewer shares when market is high
Invest what you can afford (e.g., $100 per month)
More Dollar-Cost Averaging Tips: :13 More Dollar-Cost Averaging Tips: Make deposits at beginning of the month rather than end: adds up over time
DCA with low-expense mutual funds (e.g., index funds) and solid blue-chip stocks
Avoid speculative stocks
Use “automated” investment programs
Modify occasionally, as needed
Step 5: Buy & Hold Stock For the Long Term :14 Step 5: Buy & Hold Stock For the Long Term Carlson survey: 75% of millionaires surveyed held stock for more than 5 years
Frequent trading is expensive: commissions, short-term capital gains & reinvestment risk
There aren’t that many good ideas: financial markets are efficient (i.e., stock prices reflect company value)
Market Timing Increases Investment Risk :15 Market Timing Increases Investment Risk The biggest risk of investing is being out of the market when it goes up
Example: DJIA increased 24% in just three months in late 1998 (many investors missed this because they panicked and sold out)
One study: S&P 500 index,1991-1998: 21% return
Miss 10 best trading days: only a 16% return
Missing 5% on $10,000 investment (compounded monthly): $195,266 penalty after 17 years
Reasons to Stay Invested :16 Reasons to Stay Invested Very difficult to be right twice (getting out of stocks and getting back in)
You have to be in the market when “bursts” (big price increases) occur
Market declines provide buying opportunity
Historically, stock market bounces back reasonably quickly
Step 6: Take Prudent Investment Risks :17 Step 6: Take Prudent Investment Risks Prudent risks are risks that have real potential to increase your return (e.g., quality blue-chip stocks)
Biggest risk: avoiding risk (100% cash and/or bonds)
Low-maintenance strategy: “Buy the market” with index funds or exchange traded funds (e.g., i-shares)
Other Prudent Investing Strategies :18 Other Prudent Investing Strategies Add to investments consistently
Don’t get greedy for unrealistic returns
Avoid the urge to check daily returns
Use discount or online brokerage firms and no-load stocks and mutual funds
Start investing today: don’t wait for market to drop
Step 7: Choose Quality Stocks :19 Step 7: Choose Quality Stocks Better to get steady12% to 15% average return per year than very volatile returns
12% -15% returns double money every 5 to 6 years (Rule of 72)
“Singles” sometimes produce “home runs”
Quality companies dominate their industries and have consistent profits
“Millionaire Maker” Stocks (Carlson Research) :20 “Millionaire Maker” Stocks (Carlson Research) Lucent Technologies
General Electric
Merck
Intel
Microsoft
Cisco Systems
Dell Computer
Exxon Mobil
Eli Lilly
IBM America Online
Pfizer
AT&T
Home Depot
Walgreen
Amgen
BellSouth
Wal-Mart
AFLAC
American Express
Step 8: Minimize Investment Expenses :21 Step 8: Minimize Investment Expenses Use DRIPs and “no-load stocks” (DPPs) to bypass brokers (watch their fees)
About 1,100 companies allow investors to buy stock directly (28 of 30 in DJIA)
Maximize payroll deductions (no cost)
Use no-load mutual funds without an up-front sales fee
Avoid mutual funds with 12(b)1 fees
Consider low-cost index funds
Costs Matter! :22 Costs Matter! $50,000 in an average stock mutual fund with a 1.5% expense ratio: $50,000 x .015= $750 (annual expenses)
$50,000 in an index mutual fund with a .20% expense ratio: $50,000 x .0020= $100 (annual expenses)
Over time, the difference is magnified
Step 9: Take Advantage of Tax Breaks :23 Step 9: Take Advantage of Tax Breaks Research: millionaires maximize tax breaks, including:
Long-term capital gains rate on stocks held for 12 months or more
401(k) & 403(b) plan contributions with pretax dollars (no federal tax): $2,000 contribution actually costs $1,440 (28% marginal tax bracket investor)
Roth IRAs
Tax Deferral Pays! :24 Tax Deferral Pays! Tax-deferred money continues to grow
The longer you defer paying tax,the more you accumulate
Money contributed to a Roth IRA grows tax-deferred and is withdrawn tax free
Roths: no mandatory withdrawals at age 70 1/2 and can contribute if earn income
Roths: can leave tax-free income to heirs (estate-planning tool)
Step 10: Invest Cash Windfalls :25 Step 10: Invest Cash Windfalls Income tax refunds
Retroactive pay
Bonuses
Prizes, awards, & gambling proceeds
Inheritances & gifts
Divorce & insurance settlements
Other
Keep Lump Sum Distributions Tax-Deferred :26 Keep Lump Sum Distributions Tax-Deferred Tax data: only 34% of workers with a lump sum distribution rolled it over into another tax-deferred account
Small lump sums more likely to be spent
Small amounts add up:
$5,000 distribution at ages 25, 35, 45, & 55
8% annual return
Worker would have almost $200,000 at age 65 if distributions were invested
Step 11: Live Below Your Means and Invest the Difference :27 Step 11: Live Below Your Means and Invest the Difference Spend less than you earn
Distinguish needs from wants
“Step Down Principle” (i.e., different spending levels for the same item)
Buy cars “new-used”
“Toys & trinkets” versus lost wealth
Automate investments so money is not spent
Step 12: Develop a Spending Plan :28 Step 12: Develop a Spending Plan Track income and expenses for 1 or more months
List fixed, variable, & periodic expenses
Calculate savings required to fund goals
Create a spending plan Expenses + Savings = Income
Step 13: Work Hard :29 Step 13: Work Hard Organize your life with the future in mind
Set realistic life goals and steps to achieve them
Expect “seasons of hard work”
Follow your passions
Take calculated risks
Search out opportunities & network
Step 14: Increase Human Capital :30 Step 14: Increase Human Capital Education and income strongly related
Greatest return on early years of education
Learn skills that are in demand by employers
Networking expands opportunities
Never consider your education finished
Step 15: Grow Your Net Worth :31 Step 15: Grow Your Net Worth Increase assets
Reduce debts
Aim for a 5% annual increase (e.g., $200,000 net worth x .05 =$10,000)
10% (or more) is even better
Calculate net worth annually to measure progress
Step 16: Practice Stability :32 Step 16: Practice Stability Interruptions = wealth loss (rob portfolio of time and compound interest)
Divorce
Job hopping (e.g., reduced pension vesting, 401(k) delays, lump sums)
Frequent moves
Carlson research: millionaire investors had three different jobs during career
Step 17: Take Care of Yourself :33 Step 17: Take Care of Yourself Health care costs are another financial “shock”
Exercise, eat right, get enough rest,and reduce stress
Healthy people are more productive, likely to get promoted, and earn more
Make sure health insurance is adequate
Longer life: better return on $ (SS)
Step 18: Believe in Yourself :34 Step 18: Believe in Yourself Develop qualities like discipline & focus
Identify & address investing obstacles
Maintain a positive attitude
Shed common myths:
“You need a lot of money to invest”
“Investing is complicated”
“You can get rich day trading”
“It’s too late to start”
Step 19: Pass the “Wealth Test” :35 Step 19: Pass the “Wealth Test” Multiply age by realized pre-tax income (excluding inheritances)
Divide by 10
Result is what net worth should be for age and income
Example: age 35 with $40,000 income
35 x $40,000 = $1,400,000
$1,400,000/10 = $140,000 minimum net worth
Step 20: Be Patient :36 Step 20: Be Patient Ordinary people do become millionaires
Accumulating $1 million could take several decades
Like the Who Wants To Be a Millionaire? game show, greatest gains are at the end (e.g., $250,000 to $500,000 to $1,000,000)
Get started today: compound interest is not retroactive!