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Premium member Presentation Transcript IPM Projections for 2018RPO 2.1.9 vs Alternative Fuel: IPM Projections for 2018 RPO 2.1.9 vs Alternative Fuel Prepared by: Gregory Stella VISTAS Technical Advisor – Emission Inventories Alpine Geophysics, LLC VISTAS Joint Work Group Meeting Research Triangle Park, NC September 22-23, 2005 Integrated Planning Model (IPM)Round 1: Integrated Planning Model (IPM) Round 1 VISTAS/MRPO contracted ICF to run IPM for our strategies Developed 2009 / 2018 power sector (EGU) emission projections VISTAS Base 1 (OTB) andamp; Base 2 (OTW) Results reflected as Base D Revisions included NEEDS file updates and State/local regulation application IPM Modeling – Round 2: IPM Modeling – Round 2 Four RPO coordination on IPM revisions VISTAS, MRPO, CENRAP, MANE-VU Unit level data revisions 'NEEDS' file input modifications Global parameter revisions Fuel cost forecast and curves* Other revisions State, facility implementation IPM Modeling – Round 2: IPM Modeling – Round 2 Altered 'run years' Determines IPM grouping for results 2008 [2007-08] 2009 [2009] 2012 [2010-13] 2015 [2014-17] 2018 [2018] 2020 [2019-22] 2026 [2023-2030] CAIR/CAMR Case Results(National Coal Production; Million Tons): CAIR/CAMR Case Results (National Coal Production; Million Tons) CAIR/CAMR Case Results(Delivered Natural Gas Prices; 1999$): CAIR/CAMR Case Results (Delivered Natural Gas Prices; 1999$) CAIR/CAMR Case Results(Gas Consumption [TBtu]): CAIR/CAMR Case Results (Gas Consumption [TBtu]) Inter-RPO Decision Summary: Inter-RPO Decision Summary Final decisions made with RPO representatives on July 1, 2005 RPOs agreed that RPO 2.1.9 will tentatively be used as 'reference case' for sensitivities Parsed output for 2009 and 2018 for the CAIR/CAMR run from both fuel reference cases No pre-CAIR parsed runs requested Progress: Progress Parsed results of future year 2018 CAIR/CAMR IPM run July 15, 2005 MRPO sponsored post-processing of IPM files July 29, 2005 Converted to Base F inputs IPM Results [Key to slides]: IPM Results [Key to slides] EPA CAIR Final data 2010/2015/2020 (not modeled data) RPO Round 1 VISTAS/MRPO sponsored work (Base D) RPO 2.1.9 Inter-RPO work with IPM 2.1.9 fuel framework RPO Fuel Adj Inter-RPO work with IPM AEO 2005 adjusted fuel costs and curves CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – VISTAS States): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – VISTAS States) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – VISTAS States): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – VISTAS States) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Alabama): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Alabama) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Florida): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Florida) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Georgia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Georgia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Kentucky): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Kentucky) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Mississippi): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Mississippi) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – North Carolina): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – North Carolina) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – South Carolina): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – South Carolina) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Tennessee): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Tennessee) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Virginia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Virginia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – West Virginia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – West Virginia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – VISTAS States): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – VISTAS States) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – VISTAS States): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – VISTAS States) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Alabama): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Alabama) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Florida): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Florida) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Georgia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Georgia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Kentucky): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Kentucky) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Mississippi): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Mississippi) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – North Carolina): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – North Carolina) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – South Carolina): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – South Carolina) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Tennessee): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Tennessee) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Virginia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Virginia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – West Virginia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – West Virginia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – RPO Comparison): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – RPO Comparison) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – RPO Comparison): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – RPO Comparison) You do not have the permission to view this presentation. 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2 Stella IPM2018Results22Sept 2005 Woodwork Download Post to : URL : Related Presentations : Share Add to Flag Embed Email Send to Blogs and Networks Add to Channel Uploaded from authorPOINT Insert YouTube videos in PowerPont slides with aS Desktop Copy embed code: (To copy code, click on the text box) Embed: URL: Thumbnail: WordPress Embed Customize Embed The presentation is successfully added In Your Favorites. Views: 50 Category: Entertainment License: All Rights Reserved Like it (0) Dislike it (0) Added: August 22, 2007 This Presentation is Public Favorites: 0 Presentation Description No description available. Comments Posting comment... Premium member Presentation Transcript IPM Projections for 2018RPO 2.1.9 vs Alternative Fuel: IPM Projections for 2018 RPO 2.1.9 vs Alternative Fuel Prepared by: Gregory Stella VISTAS Technical Advisor – Emission Inventories Alpine Geophysics, LLC VISTAS Joint Work Group Meeting Research Triangle Park, NC September 22-23, 2005 Integrated Planning Model (IPM)Round 1: Integrated Planning Model (IPM) Round 1 VISTAS/MRPO contracted ICF to run IPM for our strategies Developed 2009 / 2018 power sector (EGU) emission projections VISTAS Base 1 (OTB) andamp; Base 2 (OTW) Results reflected as Base D Revisions included NEEDS file updates and State/local regulation application IPM Modeling – Round 2: IPM Modeling – Round 2 Four RPO coordination on IPM revisions VISTAS, MRPO, CENRAP, MANE-VU Unit level data revisions 'NEEDS' file input modifications Global parameter revisions Fuel cost forecast and curves* Other revisions State, facility implementation IPM Modeling – Round 2: IPM Modeling – Round 2 Altered 'run years' Determines IPM grouping for results 2008 [2007-08] 2009 [2009] 2012 [2010-13] 2015 [2014-17] 2018 [2018] 2020 [2019-22] 2026 [2023-2030] CAIR/CAMR Case Results(National Coal Production; Million Tons): CAIR/CAMR Case Results (National Coal Production; Million Tons) CAIR/CAMR Case Results(Delivered Natural Gas Prices; 1999$): CAIR/CAMR Case Results (Delivered Natural Gas Prices; 1999$) CAIR/CAMR Case Results(Gas Consumption [TBtu]): CAIR/CAMR Case Results (Gas Consumption [TBtu]) Inter-RPO Decision Summary: Inter-RPO Decision Summary Final decisions made with RPO representatives on July 1, 2005 RPOs agreed that RPO 2.1.9 will tentatively be used as 'reference case' for sensitivities Parsed output for 2009 and 2018 for the CAIR/CAMR run from both fuel reference cases No pre-CAIR parsed runs requested Progress: Progress Parsed results of future year 2018 CAIR/CAMR IPM run July 15, 2005 MRPO sponsored post-processing of IPM files July 29, 2005 Converted to Base F inputs IPM Results [Key to slides]: IPM Results [Key to slides] EPA CAIR Final data 2010/2015/2020 (not modeled data) RPO Round 1 VISTAS/MRPO sponsored work (Base D) RPO 2.1.9 Inter-RPO work with IPM 2.1.9 fuel framework RPO Fuel Adj Inter-RPO work with IPM AEO 2005 adjusted fuel costs and curves CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – VISTAS States): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – VISTAS States) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – VISTAS States): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – VISTAS States) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Alabama): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Alabama) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Florida): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Florida) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Georgia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Georgia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Kentucky): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Kentucky) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Mississippi): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Mississippi) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – North Carolina): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – North Carolina) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – South Carolina): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – South Carolina) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Tennessee): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Tennessee) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – Virginia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – Virginia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – West Virginia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – West Virginia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – VISTAS States): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – VISTAS States) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – VISTAS States): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – VISTAS States) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Alabama): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Alabama) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Florida): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Florida) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Georgia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Georgia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Kentucky): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Kentucky) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Mississippi): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Mississippi) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – North Carolina): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – North Carolina) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – South Carolina): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – South Carolina) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Tennessee): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Tennessee) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – Virginia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – Virginia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – West Virginia): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – West Virginia) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual NOx Emissions – RPO Comparison): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual NOx Emissions – RPO Comparison) CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results(Annual SO2 Emissions – RPO Comparison): CAIR/CAMR Case IPM Results (Annual SO2 Emissions – RPO Comparison)