LCC presentation

Comparative Analysis of the Life Cycle Costs of Geothermal Heat Pumps and Three Conventional HVAC Systems for an Elementary School in Lincoln, Nebraska: 

Comparative Analysis of the Life Cycle Costs of Geothermal Heat Pumps and Three Conventional HVAC Systems for an Elementary School in Lincoln, Nebraska John A. Shonder Michaela A. Martin Patrick J. Hughes Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Project Background: 

Project Background Four new, identical 69,000 ft2 elementary schools were built in 1995 in Lincoln, Nebraska The decision to use geothermal heat pumps based on life cycle cost comparison using another school in the district Pre-construction estimates contain a great deal of uncertainty. Would actual performance would bear out the initial assumptions, and confirm the technology selection?

Objectives of the study: 

Objectives of the study Use site-monitored energy use data to develop a calibrated simulation model of one of the schools Implement GHPs and three alternative HVAC systems to determine annual energy and water use Use maintenance data from the school district to estimate annual maintenance cost for each alternative Develop estimates of installed costs for each alternative Determine life cycle cost of each alternative

Slide4: 

Maxey Elementary School

Slide5: 

Floorplan of the School

GHP System Design: 

GHP System Design Total of 54 GHP units 200 tons total nominal cooling capacity Peak block loads: 150 tons / 940,000 Btu/hr Two 15-ton units provide pre-conditioned OA (ASHRAE 16-1989) with HW coil for cold days Gymnasium, cafeteria also introduce OA (40-45%) Remaining units (1.4 - 4.5 tons) draw return air from corridors, and supply classrooms, offices, etc. Unit heaters in corridors with HW coils Four 333,000 BTU/hr gas-fired boilers; gas DHW

Borefield Details: 

Borefield Details 120 vertical loops using 1 in. HDPE pipe 12 by 10 pattern located under soccer field 20 ft. center-to-center spacing between bores Bore depth 240 feet (~140 ft/ton) Backfilled with fine gravel, bentonite plug top 10 ft. Designed for year-round occupation 22% (by volume) propylene glycol solution Variable speed pump

Extensive 10-min Interval Data Were Available from EMS/Utility: 

Extensive 10-min Interval Data Were Available from EMS/Utility Total building electrical use HVAC electrical use Compressor, reversing valve, and fan status for each of the heat pumps Flow rate, supply/return temperatures for borefield Zone temperatures, outdoor air temperatures Monthly natural gas use All in varying stages of completeness

Maintenance Data Available: 

Maintenance Data Available Lincoln school district provided access to complete maintenance database (preventive and unplanned) 18 schools selected (all with andgt; 70% cooled floorspace) 4 categories of heating/cooling plants 4 Geothermal heat pumps (GHP) 2 Air-cooled chiller/gas-fired HW boiler (ACC/GHWB) 12 Water-cooled chiller/gas-fired HW boiler (WCC/GHWB) of which 9 were VAV Ages of cooling plants: 3 to 32 years Ages of heating plants: 3 to 70 years Analysis of this data presented in two ASHRAE papers

Study is based on a calibrated simulation: 

Study is based on a calibrated simulation Developed simulation model beginning with as-built construction plans Estimated internal loads from occupancy, fixture counts Developed occupancy schedule based on school calendar 'Tweaked' the model (adjusting infiltration) until performance matched site-monitored data (daily electrical use, monthly gas use)

Simulated and monitored daily HVAC electrical use: 

Simulated and monitored daily HVAC electrical use

Simulated and monitored monthly total natural gas use: 

Simulated and monitored monthly total natural gas use

Predicted and MonitoredMinimum Monthly EWT: 

Predicted and Monitored Minimum Monthly EWT

Predicted and MonitoredMaximum Monthly EWT: 

Predicted and Monitored Maximum Monthly EWT

Alternative systems were dictated by available maintenance data: 

Alternative systems were dictated by available maintenance data Air-cooled chiller, VAV air handling system, gas-fired hot water boiler Water-cooled chiller, VAV air handling system, gas-fired hot water boiler Water-cooled chiller, constant volume air handling system, gas-fired hot water boiler (unlikely to be installed in a new school)

Comparison of total energy use: 

Comparison of total energy use

Comparison of HVAC energy use: 

Comparison of HVAC energy use

Estimating maintenance costs was somewhat problematic: 

Estimating maintenance costs was somewhat problematic Wanted to determine first-year maintenance cost and rate of cost increase for each alternative Only 18 systems in database (4 GHP, 2 ACC/VAV, 3 WCC/VAV, 9 WCC/CV) Not enough data to perform a statistically significant analysis Alternative sources generally unreliable

Data for most numeroussystem type (WCC/CV): 

Data for most numerous system type (WCC/CV)

Values appeared reasonable: 

Values appeared reasonable

How maintenance costswere estimated: 

How maintenance costs were estimated Assumed maintenance costs for all systems rose by 1.5% per year Calculated initial year maintenance cost on this basis GHP: 9.0 ¢/ft2 ACC/VAV: 9.5 ¢/ft2 WCC/CV: 16.6 ¢/ft2 WCC/VAV: 9.7 ¢/ft2

Developed independent cost estimates for each system: 

Developed independent cost estimates for each system Capital costs were estimated for each system by staff estimators, without reference to actual installed cost Estimates then given a 'reality check' by an experienced estimator familiar with school HVAC systems (including geothermal) Estimates also compared to published square foot cost estimating guides

Capital cost estimatesfor the four systems: 

Capital cost estimates for the four systems

Things to note about the capital cost estimates: 

Things to note about the capital cost estimates Based on published figures for schools, the estimates appear reasonable Excluding the constant volume system, geothermal has the lowest first cost A cost of $9.45 per square foot was published for the geothermal systems. We were unable to determine what was included in this estimate School district’s accounting system does not separate out the cost of HVAC from the entire school cost.

Inputs for the life cycle cost analysis: 

Inputs for the life cycle cost analysis Energy use for each system based on calibrated simulation models Local Lincoln, Nebraska rates (gas, electric and water) used to calculate utility costs Maintenance costs based on Lincoln School District database  first year + annual escalation Capital costs of HVAC systems based on estimates performed by staff cost estimators Real discount rate of 3.1%, DOE energy cost projections, 20 year equipment life

Comparison of life cycle costs: 

Comparison of life cycle costs

Results of the analysis: 

Results of the analysis Lincoln school district made the correct decision in installing GHPs in these four schools Over 20 year life, GHPs have the lowest life cycle cost -- about $230,000 less than the next most economical technology First cost is the most important factor in the analysis, followed by energy costs and maintenance costs. Maintenance costs of GHPs in this district are marginally lower (about 6%) than the cost of maintaining VAV chiller/boiler systems.

Results of the analysis: 

Results of the analysis GHPs have the lowest annual operating costs Of the system types commonly installed in schools, GHPs also have the lowest first cost Reduced energy use reduces emission of greenhouse gases and other pollutants

Conclusions: 

Conclusions Obviously, these results apply only to the school examined They confirm that GHPs can cause significant reductions in energy use (17%) and energy costs (24%) They also counter some of the myths about GHPs: No 'cost premium' in this case. GHPs have lower first cost Maintenance costs comparable with other common technologies