Presentation Transcript
Latin American International Trade:Openness, Structure and Comparative Advantage: Latin American International Trade: Openness, Structure and Comparative Advantage Guillermo Perry
Chief Economist for Latin America
The World Bank
March 2000
Structurally Adjusted Trade Intensity: Structurally Adjusted Trade Intensity
Structurally Adjusted Trade Intensity - Latin America: Structurally Adjusted Trade Intensity - Latin America
Structurally Adjusted Trade Intensity - Asia: Structurally Adjusted Trade Intensity - Asia
Hydrocarbons and Minerals- Regional Comparison: Hydrocarbons and Minerals- Regional Comparison
Land Intensive Commodities - Regional Comparison: Land Intensive Commodities - Regional Comparison
Major Natural Resource and Land Intensive Commodities - Latin America: Major Natural Resource and Land Intensive Commodities - Latin America
Major Natural Resource and Land Intensive Commodities - Asia: Major Natural Resource and Land Intensive Commodities - Asia
Labor and Capital Intensive Merchandise - Regional Comparison: Labor and Capital Intensive Merchandise - Regional Comparison
Labor Intensive Merchandise - Latin America: Labor Intensive Merchandise - Latin America
Labor Intensive Merchandise - Asia: Labor Intensive Merchandise - Asia
Capital Intensive Merchandise - Latin America: Capital Intensive Merchandise - Latin America
Capital Intensive Merchandise - Asia: Capital Intensive Merchandise - Asia
Machinery: Machinery
Balassa Index: Hydrocarbons and Minerals - Regional Comparison: Balassa Index: Hydrocarbons and Minerals - Regional Comparison
Balassa Index: Land Intensive Commodities - Regional Comparison: Balassa Index: Land Intensive Commodities - Regional Comparison
Balassa Index: Major Natural Resource and Land Intensive Commodities - Latin America: Balassa Index: Major Natural Resource and Land Intensive Commodities - Latin America
Balassa Index: Major Natural Resource and Land Intensive Commodities - Asia: Balassa Index: Major Natural Resource and Land Intensive Commodities - Asia
Balassa Index: Labor and Capital Intensive Merchandise - Regional Comparison: Balassa Index: Labor and Capital Intensive Merchandise - Regional Comparison
Balassa Index: Labor Intensive Merchandise - Latin America: Balassa Index: Labor Intensive Merchandise - Latin America
Balassa Index: Labor Intensive Merchandise - Asia: Balassa Index: Labor Intensive Merchandise - Asia
Balass Index: Capital Intensive Merchandise - Latin America: Balass Index: Capital Intensive Merchandise - Latin America
Balassa Index: Capital Intensive Merchandise -Asia: Balassa Index: Capital Intensive Merchandise -Asia
Intra-Industry Trade Index: Intra-Industry Trade Index
Intra-Industry Trade Index - Sample Average: Intra-Industry Trade Index - Sample Average
Intra-Industry Trade Index- Latin America: Intra-Industry Trade Index- Latin America
Intra-Industry Index - Asia: Intra-Industry Index - Asia
Net Service Exports per Workers - Regional Comparison: Net Service Exports per Workers - Regional Comparison
Structure of Service Exports: Structure of Service Exports
Structure of Service Imports: Structure of Service Imports
Summary: Regional Comparisons: Summary: Regional Comparisons LAC has become more open since the mid-1980s, but still lags behind Asia and OECD countries
LAC’s “revealed” comparative advantage remains in natural-resource and land-intensive products
Asia remains competitive in labor-intensive exports, and to a lesser extent, in capital intensive products
Slide46: Summary: Sub-Regional Comparisons The US remains LAC’s most important export market, and still is an important purchaser of US exports
Mercosur is an exception in to this regional pattern
Slide47: Summary: LAC’s Comparative Advantage LAC remains dependent on exports of natural-resource and land-intensive products, with relatively low intra-industry trade
Some exceptions:
Brazil in capital-intensive products
Mexico in labor- and capital-intensive products
Colombia, a very minor exporter of labor-intensive products
Some notable cases of high reliance on natural resources and land:
Chile, Venezuela and Argentina
Slide48: Why this is important? Effects on income distribution
Competition based on relative factor abundance, and less on product differentiation and productivity
Need to look deeper into services, which may help LAC follow the path of rich countries such as Australia and New Zealand (natural resource-rich, but competitive in services that use human capital)
Protection is not the answer
Savings and education could help change the Region’s comparative advantage