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Regional Change and Connections in West Central Wisconsin Examining Population, Employment, and Industry Connections in Polk, St. Croix, and Pierce Counties Regional Roundtable: An Intergovernmental Conversation March 7, 2005 Matt Kures – GIS State Specialist Center for Community Economic Development University of Wisconsin - Extension : 

Regional Change and Connections in West Central Wisconsin Examining Population, Employment, and Industry Connections in Polk, St. Croix, and Pierce Counties Regional Roundtable: An Intergovernmental Conversation March 7, 2005 Matt Kures – GIS State Specialist Center for Community Economic Development University of Wisconsin - Extension

Agenda and Goals: 

Agenda and Goals 1. Examine Trends and Connections in West Central Wisconsin Population Growth Labor Force Industries 2. Provide data to: Stimulate discussion Reaffirm current thinking Challenge local perceptions 3. Discuss Regional Connections - Reg%$nal!#m (Regionalism)

Regional Population Change: 

Regional Population Change Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Slide4: 

Population Projections – 2005 to 2025 Source: WI Dept. of Administration

What are Some Impacts of Population Growth?: 

What are Some Impacts of Population Growth? Land Use School Districts and Providing Local Services Conflicting Ideas (Newcomers vs. Established Residents) Housing Costs Transportation Jobs and the Economy

Slide6: 

Components of Population Change: 1990 to 1999 Population can change due to either natural increase (births – deaths) or migration (people moving from other areas). Source: U.S. Census Bureau (inter-census estimates may not be the same as other sources)

Slide7: 

Mobility Rates in West Central Wisconsin Only nomadic tribes move more frequently than Americans 8.6% 7.4% 12.3% 9.7% Different county; Same state 14.8% 11.1% 14.7% 8.4% Different state 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 2.9% Outside of United States 23.4% 18.5% 27.0% 18.1% Different house; Different county 19.3% 19.6% 16.3% 24.9% Different house; Same county 43.1% 38.6% 43.9% 45.9% Different house in 1995 56.9% 61.4% 56.1% 54.1% Same house in 1995 St. Croix County Polk County Pierce County United States Geography Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Slide8: 

Domestic Net Migration by Age 1995 to 2000 % of Net Total % of Net Total % of Net Total 2,304 55 2 -113 -43 58 438 -251 949 742 216 251 100.0% 3.5% 4.5% 0.4% 1.0% 10.7% 25.2% 45.2% -8.4% -3.3% 5.5% 15.7% 3,650 126 165 15 38 389 921 1,650 -307 -120 200 573 St. Croix County 100.0% -2.6% 1.6% 11.6% 38.5% 40.1% 51.2% 25.6% -104.0% -5.8% 25.1% 18.6% 100.0% 987 Net Migration 2.4% -26 85 and over 0.1% 16 75 to 84 -4.9% 114 65 to 74 -1.9% 380 55 to 64 2.5% 396 45 to 54 19.0% 505 35 to 44 -10.9% 253 25 to 34 41.2% -1,026 20 to 24 32.2% -57 15 to 19 9.4% 248 10 to 14 10.9% 184 5 to 9 Pierce County Polk County Age Cohort Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Slide9: 

Worker Mobility – Average Commuting Time The U.S. Labor Force is Extremely Mobile Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Slide10: 

Worker Mobility Worker Flow can be tracked by where a person lives versus where he/she works Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Slide11: 

Change in Worker Flow - 1970 to 2000 Worker Flow can be tracked by where a person lives versus where he/she works 2000 1970 59.4% 20,818 42.1% 9,995 Pierce 51.3% 34,428 43.9% 14,714 St. Croix 38.3% 20,288 34.9% 11,947 Polk % working Outside of County Employees Living in County % working Outside of County Employees Living in County County Source: U.S. Census Bureau

What is the Impact of the Stillwater Bridge?: 

What is the Impact of the Stillwater Bridge?

Slide13: 

Economies are Regional Regions in Wisconsin are increasingly recognizing this fact Momentum Chippewa Valley Chippewa Dunn Eau Claire Pepin http://neweconomyproject.org http://www.chippewavalley.org Calumet Fond du Lac Green Lake Outagamie Waupaca Waushara Marquette Winnebago Brown Door Manitowoc Sheboygan Marinette Shawano Oconto Kewaunee Northeast Wisconsin (NEW)

Slide14: 

What is an Industry Cluster? - Connected firms and institutions whose whole is more than the sum of its parts Geographic concentrations of interconnected companies, suppliers, services, groups and institutions Share specialized infrastructure, labor markets and services Faced with common opportunities and threats Active networks for business transactions, strategies and communications Regional Industry Connections – Potential Industry Clusters and Linkages

Wood Product Manufacturing Cluster Connections: 

Wood Product Manufacturing Cluster Connections

Why is Clustering Important as an Economic Development Strategy?: 

Why is Clustering Important as an Economic Development Strategy? A key challenge for all regions is to determine their competitive advantage in the national and international economy. Using clusters as part of an economic development strategy allows a region to: Identify and improve its core/niche industries that form the basis of its competitive advantage Raise awareness of key industry sectors and urge decision-makers to think about their future direction (from both public and private perspectives) Examine opportunities for strengthening and growing core industry sectors (BR&E as well as recruitment) Improve relationships and efficiencies among connected businesses to help make the transition from independence to interdependence

Cluster Initiatives in Wisconsin: 

Cluster Initiatives in Wisconsin Wisconsin Dept. of Commerce has identified ten clusters (soon to be eleven):

How do you Identify an Regional Industry Cluster?: 

How do you Identify an Regional Industry Cluster? Start by Identifying “Driver Industries” - Industry sector that could define the competitive core of a region’s economy. What criteria are used to identify driver industries? Location Quotients (current and time-series) Number of Employees/Establishments Geographical Concentration/Specialization Wages Industrial Output (Sales) Measure of Value Added

Location Quotients 101: 

Location Quotients 101 A LQ compares an industry’s local employment concentration to the rest of the nation. Industry’s local employment Total local employment Industry’s national employment Total national employment Industry Location Quotient = LQ for Plastic and Rubber Product Manufacturing 1,897 72,270 908,138 168,743,115 = 4.88 Location Quotient greater than 1 – indicates an industry sector is an export activity and is a link to the outside economy (brings outside $ into the region) Indicates specialization to some degree

Top Sectors by LQ in the Three County Region: 

Top Sectors by LQ in the Three County Region Source: IMPLAN 2001

Top Sectors in the Three County Region by Wages/Salary Per Job: 

Top Sectors in the Three County Region by Wages/Salary Per Job Source: IMPLAN 2001

Analyzing Industry Drivers by Geographical Distribution: 

Analyzing Industry Drivers by Geographical Distribution We use Geographic Information Systems (GIS) to: Examine geographic concentration and possible competitive advantage Identify potential regional partners and competition State borders or political boundaries should not dictate cluster boundaries Clusters have an inherent geographic association

Industries in the Three County Region Selling Goods and Services to Regional Plastic/Rubber Manufacturers : 

Industries in the Three County Region Selling Goods and Services to Regional Plastic/Rubber Manufacturers Source: IMPLAN 2001

Industries in the Three County Region buying products from Plastic/Rubber Product Manufacturers Region: 

Industries in the Three County Region buying products from Plastic/Rubber Product Manufacturers Region Source: IMPLAN 2001

Regional Industries – Identifying Opportunities through Import/Export Analysis: 

Regional Industries – Identifying Opportunities through Import/Export Analysis Source: IMPLAN 2001

For More Information: 

For More Information Matt Kures – GIS State Specialist UW-Extension Center for Community Economic Development (CCED) 610 Langdon St. Madison, WI 53703 matthew.kures@uwex.edu (608) 265-8258 www.uwex.edu/ces/cced