Presentation Transcript
Slide1: 23 March 2006 Preliminary Results Presentation 2005
Preliminary Results Presentation: Preliminary Results Presentation
Overview Martin Barber
Financials William Sunnucks
Divisional reports
Shopping Centres Ken Ford
Retail Parks Andy Lewis-Pratt
Leisure PY Gerbeau
Germany Xavier Pullen
Questions
Period to 30 December 2005 - Highlights: Period to 30 December 2005 - Highlights 36.6% total return on equity before exceptional items
£5.6 bn* of property assets (2004 £4 bn);
37.4% increase in NAV per share to 976p on a fully diluted basis
29% increase in dividend to 18p per share;
* At 28th Feb 2006 – increased from £5.1bn in Dec 2005 following acquisition of shopping centres at Luton & Uxbridge
Financial results – agenda : Financial results – agenda Total returns + yield shift
Profit and loss account + CULS + dividend + property management
3. Balance sheet + debt + tax efficiency
4. IFRS
Total Returns : Total Returns
Drivers of total return: Drivers of total return
Notes:
Yield shift affects revaluation surplus (£109m) and performance fees (£9m)
SDLT relief removed in disadvantaged areas. C&R funds disproportionately affected:
Mall 49% of portfolio affected against 12% in IPD index
Junction 49% of portfolio affected against 21% in IPD index
Market yield shift in 2005: Market yield shift in 2005 Source: IPD except for leisure, where we use the X-Leisure portfolio adjusted to a like for like basis as a proxy.
Revaluation Uplifts – C&R share: Revaluation Uplifts – C&R share
Profit and loss account - highlights: Profit and loss account - highlights
£46.9m exceptional item – CULS buyback: £46.9m exceptional item – CULS buyback Is a £46.9m loss really “good news”?
A reduction in capital employed
Works on a pre-tax basis
£15.5m tax saving
BUT profit and loss account suffers !
Recurring profits and dividends: Recurring profits and dividends 2005 2004
£m £m
Net rental income – our share 55.4 47.1
Management fees 22.8 19.3
Snozone profit 1.8 1.4
Fixed management expense (17.1) (14.9)
Interest expense (42.7) (34.5)
Recurring profit before tax 20.2 16.4
Dividend 12.5m 9.0m
Coverage by recurring profit before tax 1.6x 1.8x
Coverage by profit after tax (before exceptionals) 2.5x 3.4x
Slide12: Earnings
businesses Assets
business Snozone
(Ski slope) CRPM
(Property
Management) Fund
Co-investment JVs
Wholly
owned
Property Management Business - CRPM: Property Management Business - CRPM 2005 2004
£m £m
Property management fees 22.8 19.3
Fixed management expense* (13.7) (10.6)
Ongoing cash flow 9.1 8.7
Performance fees 51.0 31.2
Variable overhead (18.9) (11.8)
Performance related cash flow 32.1 19.4
Total profit 41.2 28.1
Notes:
*Includes £1.151m for amortisation of goodwill
*excludes 20% of cost allocated to the property ownership business
Performance Fee Summary 2005:
Mall Junction X-Leisure
Pre-performance fee return 25.2% 38.1% 28.3%
IPD or benchmark 16.3% 22.1% 12.0%
Performance fee £29.6m £17.3m £4.1m
Total £51.0m Performance Fee Summary 2005
Three balance sheet presentations: Three balance sheet presentations * Debt net of cash held
C&R property exposure by segment - % of £1.58 billion: C&R property exposure by segment - % of £1.58 billion
Bank Debt – profile at 30/12/2005: Bank Debt – profile at 30/12/2005
Standard Jersey holding structure at 30 Dec 2005Used for our investment in the 3 funds and 2 Xscape partnerships:
Standard Jersey holding structure at 30 Dec 2005 Used for our investment in the 3 funds and 2 Xscape partnerships Increased liquidity because JPUT units can be sold without incurring SDLT
No capital gains tax for Jersey companies Partnership(s) C&R plc JPUT UK Co Jersey Co
Capital Gains Tax efficiencyProperty exposure by holding structure (% of see through portfolio): Capital Gains Tax efficiency Property exposure by holding structure (% of see through portfolio)
IFRS – estimated Balance Sheet Impact: IFRS – estimated Balance Sheet Impact + 1.4% increase
IFRS – Profit and loss account impact – rough estimates: IFRS – Profit and loss account impact – rough estimates
Conclusion – Financials: Conclusion – Financials Three key messages:
It’s not just yield shift…….
Valuable earnings businesses
Increasingly tax efficient
The Mall - Fund Statistics: The Mall - Fund Statistics
The Mall – Highlights: The Mall – Highlights £1bn investment activity Mall Bonds
The Mall: Growth LFL: 15 Mall Comparison: The Mall: Growth LFL: 15 Mall Comparison ERV +4.9%
Mall Income: £120.5m (+0.4%)
Ancillary revenue £4.73m (+9.5%)
Car Parking £6.3m (+13%)
The Mall - Investor Performance: The Mall - Investor Performance 2005 2004
Property Level 16.5% 19.6%
IPD Benchmark 16.3% 17.1%
Fund Level 22.8% 26%
Since inception 18.2% p.a. Property Level
25.7% p.a. Fund Level
*Comparable DAR adjustment
Relative to IPD Benchmark ÷ 17.6%
The Mall - The Retail Climate: The Mall - The Retail Climate Lettings: 192
Rent Reviews Settled: 179 (+2% to target)
Lease Expiries: 63 (84% renewal rate)
Average void during 2005 4.2% (2004: 4.0%)
Less strategic vacancies -1.3%
Available to let 2.9%
Failures:
The Mall - Operational Performance: The Mall - Operational Performance “Upstream” Benchmark
Upper Quartile Consumption Reductions
Upper Quartile Cardboard Recycling
JLL Oscar
2005 Actual service charge: for 21 malls. £4 per sq ft
6% less than benchmark
46% more marketing spend than benchmark: 72p per sq. ft
Footfall
2004 174.3m
2005 203.8m (+16.9%)
LFL +0.6%
The Mall - Pipeline: The Mall - Pipeline
Retail Park and Trade Park Activities: Retail Park and Trade Park Activities The Junction Fund
Morfa Shopping Park, Swansea
Capital Retail Park, Cardiff
Trade Parks Portfolio
The Junction Fund Statistics: The Junction Fund Statistics
Junction Fund – Highlights: Junction Fund – Highlights
Top performing specialist fund – all sectors – HSBC survey
£180m new acquisitions
Rental Growth - 6% like for like
Void rate - 4.9% (available to let)
Prime portfolio assembled – Open A1 40%
Continued Performance through:
- New Developments
- Refurbishments
- Reconfigurations and Extensions
- Asset Management
Slide33:
The Junction Investor Performance
Other Retail Park Activities: Other Retail Park Activities
Morfa Shopping Park, Swansea
Final open A1 unit under offer setting new ERV.
Project cost £65m, value now c. £100m.
Capital Retail Park, Cardiff
Anchored by Asda and Costco
Joint venture with local developer
Further pre-lets being sought.
Trade Park Portfolio: Trade Park Portfolio
So Why Trade Parks?
Not industrial sheds but a retailing based operation.
Tenants – supply builders, tradesmen and ancillary sales to public.
Estimated 1000 trade parks across UK with a value of circa £5bn.
Rapidly expanding unsophisticated and fragmented market.
Over 100 national and regional occupiers of stature.
Trade Park Portfolio - Highlights: Trade Park Portfolio - Highlights
Creation of a core portfolio of 20 properties – 800,000 sq ft.
4 further properties acquired or under offer.
Low base rent – c.£5.10 per sq ft.
Initial yield 5.5% - equivalent yield 6.4%.
Previously managed by industrial specialists.
Prime Trade Parks rents circa £15 per sq ft.
Capital & Regional is already the largest owner of trade parks.
Trade Park Portfolio: Trade Park Portfolio
Objectives
Grow the portfolio to £150-£200m within 12-18 months.
We bring more specialised management to the sector.
To create a branded portfolio
Outperformance through:
Development
Refurbishment/Reconfiguration
Portfolio transactions
Increase un-expired terms
.
The Leisure Market: Significant growth, 4% increase of leisure spending in 2005.
Investors, operators and consumers are increasingly sophisticated.
Investment in leisure more attractive: sustainable performance and long term income guaranteed.
Leisure property, still great value for money as an asset class. The Leisure Market
Leisure Activities: Leisure Activities X-Leisure Fund
Xscape
Other activities:
Snozone Holdings
Gt Northern
Hemel Hempstead
X-Leisure fund performance: X-Leisure fund performance 2005 2004
9 months
only
Property Level 15.3% 11.4%
Fund Level 28.3% 18.0%
X-Leisure fund strengths: X-Leisure fund strengths Strong covenants
Upward only rent reviews (+40% of portfolio fixed or minimum uplifts)
4% increase in UK leisure spending, 7% footfall increase for XL
Minimal vacancies (1.4%)
Recognised demand by investors for specialised and experienced management
X-Leisure Fund Statistics: X-Leisure Fund Statistics
Xscape: Xscape Xscape MK
39% return. Rent reviews ahead of budget
6m visitors in 05 - huge popular success as one of the largest visitor attractions in the UK
Excellent investment for C&R, for all its operators/tenants
Xscape Castleford/Leeds
Continuing to mature
Excellent increase in footfall and in dwell time in 05 (3.2m visitors, +23% on 04).
As for the UK retail market, niche retail was a challenge, whereas F&B and leisure performed very well
Xscape Braehead/Glasgow
Opening April 6th 2006
90% pre let (March 06)
Huge enthusiasm in Scotland
Other Leisure Activities: Other Leisure Activities SNOZONE Holdings
Record profit year for C&R operating snowslope business, despite increased utility costs (gas, electricity)
£1.85m profit through 2 operating units in MK and Castleford/Leeds
Experienced and dedicated management team
Solid business model & strategy - no capital employed and significant expansion opportunities
3rd unit opening April 06 Xscape Glasgow
Great Northern Warehouse
C&R bought the remaining 50% from AWG in 05, and now owns 100% of the scheme.
Very active asset management initiatives in 05, numerous lettings, and completion of the lease with London Clubs International
Significant capital uplift from £72.5m to £93m in 05, of which £10m held back as “negative goodwill”
German Portfolio:
90/10% J.V. with Hahn
Focus big box retail (mostly supermarket anchored) German Portfolio
German Portfolio Statistics: German Portfolio Statistics
Germany – Total Returns for 2005: Germany – Total Returns for 2005 Net income on present portfolio running at the rate of €5m p.a. (after property costs, interest and Jersey costs).
Cash return on our equity after debt and management costs of a minimum of 12% and rising with indexation and asset management. Germany – Total Returns for 2005
Slide48: Sinzheim and Brühl
German retail warehouse market: Severe restrictions on further out of town development
Good tenant covenants and long leases
Index linked rents
High yield off low rental value base
No security of tenure after lease expiry
Many asset management opportunities German retail warehouse market
The Future: Opportunities to add value to existing portfolio
Good pipeline of additional properties to buy
Yield compression under way (both good and bad news)
Early signs of consumer confidence returning
The Future
Summary: Summary Great year
Tenant market tough but not as hard as we expected last September
Good expansion of funds from £4bn to £5.6bn now
Outlook: Outlook We expect further yield shift this year
We hope to see further expansion of all three funds. Also additions to our trade park and German assets
Our business model is working well
Slide53: NAV per share Dividend per share
Dec 1996 223p + 20% 3.0p + 20%
Dec 1997 272p + 28% 3.5p + 17%
Dec 1998 321p + 18% 4.25p + 21%
Dec 1999 376p + 17% 5.0p + 18%
Dec 2000 360p - 4% 5.5p + 10%
Dec 2001 343p - 5% 6.0p + 11%
Dec 2002 388p + 15% 7.0p + 17%
Dec 2003 521p* + 33% 9.0p + 28%
Dec 2004 710p + 36% 14.0p + 56%
Dec 2005 976p + 37% 18.0p + 29% Track Record