Peter Barge Jones Lang LaSalle

Emerging Trends in Asian Commercial Real Estate Investment: 

Emerging Trends in Asian Commercial Real Estate Investment Peter Barge CEO, Jones Lang LaSalle

16 Real Estate Trends in Asia (1 of 3): 

16 Real Estate Trends in Asia (1 of 3) Economic outlook is positive for commercial property Occupier and investor demand remain strong underpinned by new business set-up and expansion Retail sector starting to slow Industrial sector remains favourable Investment market yields are compressing

16 Real Estate Trends in Asia (2 of 3): 

Investment activity and competition increases China’s investment markets are tending to be broader and deeper despite mid year government restrictions North Asia – remains a global investment hotspot Tokyo and Seoul to continue to outperform Borrowing rates in North Asia are still manageable 16 Real Estate Trends in Asia (2 of 3)

16 Real Estate Trends in Asia (3 of 3): 

Japanese land prices, up for the first time in 16 years set to continue Hong Kong Banks dispose of non-core property assets a trend likely to spread Aged care and health care emerging as an alternative investment class Unprecedented growth in REIT sector due to continue More cross border transactions India remains incredibly attractive but challenging for foreigners 16 Real Estate Trends in Asia (3 of 3)

GDP Growth Forecasts: 

GDP Growth Forecasts Source: EIU, November 2006

Asia-Pacific Residential Clock: 

Asia-Pacific Residential Clock Tokyo (Prime – Expatriate) Manila Kuala Lumpur Bangkok Shanghai-high end Shanghai-Luxury Singapore Beijing Jakarta Auckland Wellington Hong Kong Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research, 3Q06

Asia-Pacific Office Clock: 

Asia-Pacific Office Clock Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research, 3Q06 Singapore Bangkok Seoul Beijing Manila Kuala Lumpur Hong Kong Taipei Shanghai Bangalore (CBD & SBD) Mumbai (CBD & SBD) Chennai (CBD & SBD) Delhi (CBD & SBD) Tokyo Auckland (CBD) Jakarta Wellington (CBD) Brisbane Sydney Melbourne

Asia-Pacific Retail Clock: 

Asia-Pacific Retail Clock Tokyo (Prime) Wellington Manila Bangkok, Sydney (Regional) Shanghai Bangalore Delhi Mumbai Chennai Kuala Lumpur Jakarta Hong Kong Singapore Auckland Beijing Brisbane (CBD) Sydney (CBD) Melbourne (Regional) Melbourne (CBD) Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research, 3Q06

Slide10: 

What’s Hot in China: Investment momentum gathering pace with the RMB One Billion Central Walk Deal First major retail investment deal in Shenzhen, Southern China Growing interest from foreign institutional investors / private equity funds in South China A market offering higher yield among other well developed major China cities

Real estate investment in China: 

Real estate investment in China Total Real Estate Investment 97% 3% “Prime” Investment

2005 ‘prime’ real estate investment in China: 

2005 ‘prime’ real estate investment in China Total > USD 5.5 billion Beijing Tianjin Shanghai Hangzhou Nanjing Other Guangzhou/ Guangdong

Impact from new rules: 

Impact from new rules Impact of rules Market took short breather at most

Comparison of Net Effective Rents Across Major Asian Cities: 

Comparison of Net Effective Rents Across Major Asian Cities

What’s Hot in Hong Kong: Non-core Property Disposal by Banks: 

What’s Hot in Hong Kong: Non-core Property Disposal by Banks Disposal of 11 properties of over HKD100 million Total consideration over HKD4.9 billion since 2005.

Health and Aged Care: 

Health and Aged Care Alternate investment classes to the usual office, residential, retail and industrial sectors; potential diversification benefits Increasing healthcare expenditure supported by ageing population Properties include hospitals, medical suites, aged care facilities etc Novena Medical Suite in Singapore

Growth of Asian REITs: 

Growth of Asian REITs

Factors driving growth in Asian REITs: 

Factors driving growth in Asian REITs Consolidation and restructuring pressure, companies adopt asset-light strategy Property market upswing offering entry opportunity Yields of REITs offer healthy spread against long term government bonds Globalisation: movement away from “opportunistic” cycle in mature Asian markets Growing pool of provident funds: Asia’s ageing populations

Japan-REIT Market Capitalisation: 

Japan-REIT Market Capitalisation Source: TSE, OSE, Jones Lang LaSalle Research November 2006

What’s Hot in Japan: Growing Real Estate Securitisation: 

What’s Hot in Japan: Growing Real Estate Securitisation *Others include parking lots, mixed-use facilities, training facilities, etc. Source: “Survey on Real Estate Securitization (2006),” Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport Shin Marunouchi Building Gran Tokyo North & South Towers Shiba Park Building Orix Koraibashi Bldg Mori Tower

Slide21: 

Real Estate Transparency Index Asia Pacific Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, LaSalle Investment Management Highest High Semi Low Opaque 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 2006 2004 Australia, New Zealand Hong Kong, Malaysia Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Philippines, Thailand P.R. China, Vietnam India Indonesia Singapore Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore Malaysia, Japan Taiwan, South Korea Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam India P.R. China, Macau, Indonesia

Asia-Pacific Total Direct Commercial Transactions: 

Asia-Pacific Total Direct Commercial Transactions Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research

Major Transactions in Asia (2006): 

Major Transactions in Asia (2006) Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research, 3Q06

‘The India Factor’: 

‘The India Factor’ Inside Microsoft's largest development centre outside Redmond, US Outside Microsoft's largest development centre outside Redmond, US

Slide25: 

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH

Slide26: 

INFRASTRUCTURE PRESSURE

Slide27: 

Rapidly Expanding Real Estate Sectors 30%+ annual growth absorption 25 malls 2003 150 malls 2006 4.5 millions units required per year 125,000 extra rooms needed over next decade Offices Retail Residential Hotels

…Real Estate in India is expected to outpace economic growth: 

…Real Estate in India is expected to outpace economic growth China: GDP growth vs. Real Estate growth Source: National Bureau of Statistics - Indian real estate industry is expected to follow the trends in China and outpace GDP growth -The industry is expected to grow from USD 12 billion to USD 45-50 billion by 2010

India is profitable!: 

India is profitable! Prime Office Yields Source: Jones Lang LaSalle

What’s Hot in India: Many Sectors!: 

What’s Hot in India: Many Sectors! Development of Special Economic Zones - Pan India Pan India infrastructure development – PPP strategy gaining momentum for highways, ports, power and airports Commonwealth Games 2010. Proposing to host 2016 Olympics Increasing flow of FDI and FII in real estate. Real estate funds growing in size and number Retail sector boom, high number of malls Second highest tourist inflow growth over 2005-14; big boost for hospitality sector DLF Park in Noida City Centre in Delhi Embassy Icon in Bangalore Embassy Habitat in Bangalore

Emerging Trends in Asian Commercial Real Estate Investment: 

Emerging Trends in Asian Commercial Real Estate Investment Peter Barge CEO, Jones Lang LaSalle