Three Overlapping Market Opportunities:The International, 2nd Home/Investor, and Luxury Market Segments: Three Overlapping Market Opportunities: The International, 2nd Home/Investor, and Luxury Market Segments
Presented
By
Laurie Moore-Moore
The Institute for
Luxury Home
Marketing
Slide4: 2nd Home
& Investor Luxury International Segment Overlap =
Opportunity
Common factors driving the 3 segments: Common factors driving the 3 segments
What’s driving the International, 2nd Home/Investor and Luxury segments?: What’s driving the International, 2nd Home/Investor and Luxury segments? 1. Demographics: Growing Wealth:
Number of wealthy households is increasing
The rich are getting richer
Slide7:
World Wealth Report says there are 2,270,000 high net worth individuals in the US with a million or more in
financial assets (excluding primary residence)
There are more than 8 million
world wide!
Source: Merrill Lynch / CapGemini research
www.ml.com
World Wealth Report: World Wealth Report Households with $1m in financial assets
Fastest growing…
Location Growth Rate
Hong Kong 30%
India 22%
Spain 18%
Korea 18%
United States 14% (Has the most rich households)
Canada 11%
A look at world wealth(in US dollars): A look at world wealth (in US dollars) Merely rich, $1-$5 million: 7,445,800
Very rich, $5-$30 million: 744,800
Super rich, $30+ million: 77,500
Slide10: “The Wealth Effect”
Investing in homes has been paying off more for consumers than investing in the capital markets…
The desire to diversify and hedge against inflation
13% of portfolios of the wealthy -- in real estate, direct & indirect. Brazil- -50%
Money coming out of the financial markets
and into real estate
US $ Million+ market is booming!: US $ Million+ market is booming! 1999 10,000 homes sold at $1 million +
2004 51,000 homes sold at $1 million +
2005 109,000 homes sold at $1 million+
Source: DataQuick
$1 million+ sales in 2005, 2004: $1 million+ sales in 2005, 2004 2005 2004
California 48,666 33,107
Florida 14,567 4,698
New York 6,784* 2,180*
Maryland 3,323 915
Massachusetts 3,292 1,067
Arizona 3,175 995
Illinois 3,082 1,336
Virginia 2,799 <659
Washington 2,404 696
Connecticut 2,401 795
Nevada 1,898 659
High priced property sales: High priced property sales $42.5 million apartment condo in NYC’s
Time Warner Center at One Columbus Circle
-- 12,600 square ft. of “raw space on 76th floor
-- International Buyer: David Martinez a Mexican-born,
London-based financier
-- Closing costs $2.5 million. Monthly fees $30,000
Price = $3,541 per sq. ft. unfinished
High priced property sales: High priced property sales World record: $128 million London home near Kensington Palace (2004)
International Buyer
Lakshmi Mittal
Forbes #3 Billionaire
A new US luxury record on the horizon?: A new US luxury record on the horizon? “The Donald” thinks so…
$125 million dollar TRUMP home
on the market
in Palm Beach
International buyer?
What’s driving the International, 2nd Home/Investor and Luxury segments?: What’s driving the International, 2nd Home/Investor and Luxury segments? 2. Changing Demographics: Boomers
Peak earning years
Thinking retirement
Inheriting $$$
What’s driving the International, 2nd Home/Investor and Luxury segments?: What’s driving the International, 2nd Home/Investor and Luxury segments? Changing psychographics
(attitudes, tastes & preferences)
Mounting levels of education, taste, mobility
and desire for “experiences”
The increasing economic, buying, and
decision-making power of women
What’s driving the International, 2nd Home/Investor and Luxury segments?: What’s driving the International, 2nd Home/Investor and Luxury segments? 3. Changing psychographics
(attitudes, tastes & preferences)
The emotional pressure of modern life, which makes people feel the need, and gives them the permission to spend
“I’ve earned it!” mentality
US Second Home Market, 2005: US Second Home Market, 2005 In 2005, 4 out of 10 residential sales were
investor or “vacation” home transactions
27.7% investment
12.2% “vacation”
US Second Home Market, 2005: US Second Home Market, 2005
Median income of second home buyer is $82,800
Median value of home $204,100
Median age of buyer is 52 (Boomer)
Equity from stocks and bonds used by 16% of those who bought between 2000-2004.
2ND Home/Investor market is an international “two way street”: 2ND Home/Investor market is an international “two way street” The US buyer abroad
The international buyer purchasing here
4 Million US Citizens Live Abroad: 4 Million US Citizens Live Abroad Mexico: 1,036,300
Canada: 687,000
UK: 224,000
Germany: 210,000
Italy: 168,000
Philippines: 105,000 Australia: 102,000
France: 101,000
Spain: 94,000
Israel: 94,000
All other: 1,247,705
Some new “Sweet Spots” attracting US buyers: Some new “Sweet Spots” attracting US buyers “The New Panama”
Costa Rica
Belize
Mexico
Nicaragua
Top Global Retirement Spots*: Top Global Retirement Spots* Panama (81)
France (80)
Malta (78)
Mexico (76)
Romania (75)
Italy (73)
Cyprus (72)
Nicaragua (71)
Uruguay (70)
* International Living
Institute Research on owners of at least one $2.5 million home: Institute Research on owners of at least one $2.5 million home 70 % of them own more than one $2.5 million home
14% were born outside the US
International buyers and wealthy immigrants
8 % owned homes abroad
2ND Home/Investor market is an international “two way street”: 2ND Home/Investor market is an international “two way street” The US buyer abroad
The international buyer purchasing here
Factors keeping international demand for US residences high: Factors keeping international demand for US residences high Affluent foreign boomers
Weaker dollar
Home supply
Fast, easy turnover
Few restrictions Reliable economy
Political stability
Lifestyle
Affordability, value & potential growth
Florida = Opportunity: Florida = Opportunity Second strongest luxury market in US (2005)
Second in property appreciation (26.83% -- 2005)
Nine of the top 20 highest appreciation metropolitan areas
in 2005 were in Florida
Fastest growing state based on population
(fueled by boomers, retirees, immigrants)
International market appeal
International Homebuyers in Florida*: International Homebuyers in Florida* International buyers account for 15% of total residential sales in Florida!
On average the International buyer spends 52% more for a home than the median price paid by all Florida homebuyers
36% are all cash buyers, 22% spend $500,000+
Source: National Association of REALTORS®
International Homebuyers in Florida*: International Homebuyers in Florida* WHERE do they come from? (100 countries)
33% 7%
International Homebuyers in Florida*: International Homebuyers in Florida* WHY do they buy?
38% bought for vacation use
37% bought for purely investment reasons
17% spend time working in the US
International Homebuyers in Florida*: International Homebuyers in Florida* WHAT do they buy?
International Homebuyers in Florida*: International Homebuyers in Florida* WHERE do they buy?
International Homebuyers in Florida*: International Homebuyers in Florida* LOCATION preference by country of origin
Buying in
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale
International Homebuyers in Florida*: International Homebuyers in Florida* LOCATION
preference
by country
of origin
Buying in
Orlando
International Homebuyers in Florida*: International Homebuyers in Florida* LOCATION
preference
by country
of origin
Buying in
Naples, Ft. Meyers, Sarasota
International Homebuyers in Florida*: International Homebuyers in Florida* LOCATION
preference
by country
of origin
Buying in
Tampa, St. Pete
Markets expected to appreciate the most between June ‘06 and June ’07: Markets expected to appreciate the most between June ‘06 and June ’07 1. Panama City (FL) 21%
2. Wenatchee (WA) 16%
3. Mt. Vernon (WA) 14%
4. El Centro (CA) 14%
5. Olympia (WA) 13%
6. Yakima (WA) 13%
7. Spokane (WA) 12%
8. Flagstaff (AZ) 12%
(Source: Fiserv Lending Solutions and Moodys report)
Slide39: Myths vs. Realties of Investing in the US (agent must be prepared to educate the international client)
Any US investment is a good investment
“Get rich quick” expectation
Foreigners don’t pay taxes
Factors which may limit international demand for US residences: Factors which may limit international demand for US residences Cultural differences
Language
Homeland security
“Bubble” fears
Natural disaster concerns
A softening market
Existing home sales are droppingSame month previous year comparisons, seasonally adjustedSingle Family, condo and co-op sales nationally: Existing home sales are dropping Same month previous year comparisons, seasonally adjusted Single Family, condo and co-op sales nationally April 06 - 5.7%
March 06 - .7%
February 06 - .3%
January 06 - 5.2%
December 05 - 3.1%
November 05 - .1%
Source:
National Association of Realtors
April median price up 4.2%
US Market Conditions Sales of existing homes/condos/co-ops, comparing same month 2006 to 2005: US Market Conditions Sales of existing homes/condos/co-ops, comparing same month 2006 to 2005 April 06 number of sales*
US - 5.6%
NE - 2.5%
MW - 3.1%
S - 3.7%
W - 13.0%
Months’ supply: 6 months
Inventory up to 3.38 million resale homes
“Unless the broader (US) economy stumbles and job losses mount, home sales and construction activity will dip only modestly…“House price appreciation should remain positive in most markets…“Over the longer term, the outlook for housing is favorable.”: “Unless the broader (US) economy stumbles and job losses mount, home sales and construction activity will dip only modestly… “House price appreciation should remain positive in most markets… “Over the longer term, the outlook for housing is favorable.” --Harvard State of the Housing Market Report,
released yesterday! The Good News
Slide44: 10 Ideas to develop
your International business
Earn CIPS designation
Discover ICREA www.WorldProperties.com
Join FIABCI
Slide45: 10 Ideas to develop
your International business
4. Become an expert
--Learn customs, business practices and terms
“Alien licenses, concessions and completions”
Slide46: 10 Ideas to develop
your International business
Join International Chambers of Commerce, trade groups and get involved!
Travel on Trade Missions consistently
Slide47: 10 Ideas to develop
your International business
7. Give your website an International twist
Slide48: 10 Ideas to develop
your International business
8. Network with other agents (locally and abroad)
Create a network of service providers
(CPAs, Bankers, Attorneys)
Use the available resources!: Use the available resources!
Resources: Resources www.xe.com Currency conversions
RAMB Reference Book for the International Marketplace
www.WorldProperties.com (ICREA)
Slide51: Foreign language list!
More resources: More resources --www.GetCustoms.com
Cultural sensitivity test and information on working with different cultures
(test on the website)
--ExecutivePlanet.com
Information on business practices
Slide54: Test your
cultural IQ www.GetCustoms.com
Slide55: 2nd Home
& Investor Luxury International Segment Overlap =
Opportunity
Presented by Laurie Moore-Moore: Presented by Laurie Moore-Moore Founder and President
Pending Sales (Contracts signed in March 2006): Pending Sales (Contracts signed in March 2006) Number Pending Sales
Compared to same month last year
US - 6.0%
NE - 1.1%
MW - 9.3%
S - 1.6%
W - 13.3%
Source: NAR Pending sales report
Slide58: Target
your
prospects
Tips for TARGETINGInformation gatheringabout the affluent: Tips for TARGETING Information gathering about the affluent
Slide60: New research by
The Institute for Luxury Home Marketing
in conjunction
with Unique Homes magazine
on owners of at least one $2.5 million dollar home
Owners of $2.5+ million homesMajority…: Owners of $2.5+ million homes Majority… Married
Age 55 or younger
Made own money
Play golf
Are Online
Earn $1 million yr.
Use private schools
14% born outside US
CEO, self-employed professional, business owner
70% own more than one $2.5+ million home
8% own homes abroad
50% Purchased a home 500 miles or more away from their closest other residence!: 50% Purchased a home 500 miles or more away from their closest other residence!
“Important” or “Very Important” Resources for Buyers of $2.5 Million+ Homes: “Important” or “Very Important” Resources for Buyers of $2.5 Million+ Homes Property Brochures (60%)
Friends or acquaintances (48%)
Internet listings with photos (42%)
Internet listings with Virtual Tours (36%)
Newspaper display ads (36%)
Free local real estate magazines (33%)
Slide64: Affluent
are
early
adopters
of
technology
Slide65: Internet
exposure
is
important
What the super rich buy: What the super rich buy
What the super rich buy! : What the super rich buy! Single Family (89%)
> 4 bedrooms (78%)
Home office (84%)
> 4 bathrooms (92%)
Internet connections (95%)
Home theatre (34%)
Separate guest house (19%)
Staff quarters (19%)
Pool (54%)
Pool house (30%) Outdoor kitchens (38%)
Catering kitchens (11%)
Bedroom kitchen (11%)
Home gym (59%)
Waterfront/view (58%)
New construction (26%)
Historic (8%)
Gated community (18%)
Golf community (5%)
Understand your client…and their motivations: Understand your client… and their motivations
7 Decision Drivers: 7 Decision Drivers 1. They want to be respected for their success
7 Decision Drivers: 7 Decision Drivers 2. They are successful because of their professionalism and competence … and they expect no less from YOU.
7 Decision Drivers: 7 Decision Drivers 3. Try to deceive or manipulate them and they’ll go elsewhere, FAST!
7 Decision Drivers: 7 Decision Drivers 4. They will do their research, trust their own judgment to define value,
and make a value decision whether choosing a real estate agent or a property…(at least they THINK they will!)
MILLIONAIRES’“Guidelines for homebuying”: MILLIONAIRES’ “Guidelines for homebuying” Take the time to be thorough
Negotiate price
Be willing to walk away from the deal
Research prices
Watch for good deals
7 Decision Drivers: 7 Decision Drivers Today’s affluent aren’t keeping up with the Jones, they want to be DIFFERENT.
And, they want to be connoisseurs
Their homes are important opportunities for self expression and they want the top amenities
7 Decision Drivers: 7 Decision Drivers 6. They already deal with high levels of stress and want to be free from it when dealing with you.
They want you to make buying/selling as simple and seamless as possible.
7 Decision Drivers: 7 Decision Drivers 7. With regard to service, they can afford and are willing to pay for the best information, highest level of competence, and best professional service available.
But, you must demonstrate VALUE for the dollar
Source: The Art of Selling to the Affluent, Matt Oechsli
You must…: You must… Be totally authoritative and expert in your business
Dissect, understand, and add value to their buying/selling experience
Understand the cultural differences…how people do business and how they live in a home
You must…: You must… Never underestimate your clients ’ intelligence, emotional touch points, and potential to become a “brand apostle” for you.
Deliver a flawless experience.
To Succeed...: To Succeed... The tasks are not different…
1. Look and act successful
2. Demonstrate professionalism and competence
3. Be unintimidated by money, power, and fame
4. Do business with style
5. Have quality tools
6. Be ethical
Network with upper-tier agents and other purveyors of luxury products and services
One final thought…: One final thought… If you are selling to the affluent,
be prepared for just about anything!
Define the upper-tier buyer and seller...: Define the upper-tier buyer and seller... Two types of wealth
OLD money vs. NEW money
Don’t forget other type of upper-end player:: Don’t forget other type of upper-end player: Ultra-Consumers who
S-T-R-E-T-C-H
to lead a wealthy lifestyle
(Find these folks at bottom of upper-tier)
Old Money: Old Money
New Money: New Money
Differences: Differences
Old money may be cash poor
Old money may request more discretion
Old money may be more conservative
Old money may be less likely to look wealthy
New money may be all cash buyers
New money may like publicity
New money may want more “flash”
(Recognize these are generalizations)
Top 10 Agent Selection Criteria : Top 10 Agent Selection Criteria Luxury home market expertise
Process expertise
Previous experience with agent
Product (inventory) knowledge
Ability to be discreet (Privacy is important!)
Has a luxury designation
Best marketing plan
Best listing presentation
Ability to use Internet as a resource and communicate via email
Referred by friend or family
No one ranked ‘Someone who lives the same lifestyle”or“Someone who is a friend”as a very importantcharacteristicin the choice of a real estate agent. : No one ranked ‘Someone who lives the same lifestyle” or “Someone who is a friend” as a very important characteristic in the choice of a real estate agent.
Sellers’ Marketing Plan Expectations: Sellers’ Marketing Plan Expectations MLS listing (89%)
Full color brochure (86%)
Agent “open house” (81%)
Internet listing with Virtual tours (61%)
Internet listing with multiple photos (53%)
Luxury Home Magazine ads (53%)
Special VIP targeted event (44%)
Slide89: Color Brochures
Condo market: Condo market Median price as of end of 2003: $174,700
Higher than SF price: $171,600
898,000 condo sales in 2003
Sales prices grew 15.2% in 2003
Luxury condo market is strong
Does not include new condos or others not listed in MLS.