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Air Safety and Terrorism : Air Safety and Terrorism Thomas Songer Mita Lovalekar


Learning and Performance Objectives : Learning and Performance Objectives Understand the spectrum of safety risk in airline transportation Identify the data sources available for studying airline crashes Identify the potential risk related to terrorism in airline transportation


Slide3 : Carmen Taylor via KHBS/KHOG-TV


Number of Passengers (in millions) : Number of Passengers (in millions) U.S. Scheduled Airlines Source: Air Transport Association


Slide5 : Officials Probe Crash of Plane Into Tampa Building Reuters, 6 Jan 2002


Disasters : Disasters Fatalism vs. Preparedness


Risk Perception : Risk Perception Our response to a real or imagined hazard is a function of our perception of that hazard. In many situations, hazards are ignored or disregarded. In other situations, they are magnified. Some of the factors which govern risk perception include: familiarity, degree of dread, memorability


Applications of Epidemiology : Applications of Epidemiology (A) Understanding the causes of a disaster (B) Understanding ways of controlling a disaster situation


Data Sources : Data Sources Global Aviation Safety Network U.S. Fed. Aviation Administration Air Transport Association National Transportation Safety Board


2001 Statistics : 2001 Statistics 34 fatal airliner accidents 80% passenger carrying 15% cargo carrying 1118 fatalities among airplane occupants Aviation Safety Network


Slide11 : 29 3 17 42 9 Europe Africa Asia/Australia N. America S.C. America 2001 Flights Accidents Aviation Safety Network


Worldwide Airline Accidents 1945-2001 : Worldwide Airline Accidents 1945-2001 Aviation Safety Network


Slide13 : United States Scheduled Airlines Source: Air Transport Association


1996 U.S. Aviation Statistics : 1996 U.S. Aviation Statistics Number of Accidents Accidents per 100,000 flight hrs All Fatal All Fatal Major Carriers 49 4 0.32 0.026 Commuters 98 21 3.16 0.677 General Aviation 1854 350 7.51 1.420 NTSB


Death Rates of Vehicle Occupants : Death Rates of Vehicle Occupants Vehicle Deaths per 100 million person miles of travel Motorcycle 45 Gen. Aviation 8 Automobile 1.23 Bus 0.06 Passenger Train 0.03 Com. Plane 0.03 Source: National Safety Council


Causes of Death in Air Force, 1994 : Causes of Death in Air Force, 1994 Number 227 Percent Motor Vehicle Accidents 71 31.3% Suicide 67 29.5% Medical Conditions 40 17.6% Aviation Accidents 22 9.7% Homicides 9 4.0% Other 18 7.9 % Total


Terrorism and Flying : Terrorism and Flying 1012 hijackings or attempted hijackings 20 accidents and 1060 fatalities 42 accidents involving a bomb or sabotage 2101 fatalities 76 accidents where plane was shot down 2003 fatalities Aviation Safety Network


Hijackings by Year 1947-2001 : Hijackings by Year 1947-2001 Aviation Safety Network


Health and Airline Travel : Health and Airline Travel


Potential Health Risks : Potential Health Risks From Acute Exposures Deep Vein Thrombosis Infection Injury Adverse events in the medically vulnerable


Potential Health Risks : Potential Health Risks From Chronic Exposures cancers/leukemia from cosmic radiation cabin air exposures


Conclusions : Conclusions Air travel is one of the safest forms of transportation and accident risk is lower now than in previous years there are about 22 hijackings per year; and, on average, 100 deaths from all forms of terrorism worldwide per year. The information reviewed suggests that: