Solar EnergyChallenges and Opportunities : Solar Energy Challenges and Opportunities with
Nathan Lewis, Caltech
Arthur Nozik, NREL
Michael Wasielewski, Northwestern
Paul Alivisatos, UC-Berkeley George Crabtree
Materials Science Division
Argonne National Laboratory
Preview : Preview Grand energy challenge
- double demand by 2050, triple demand by 2100
Sunlight is a singular energy resource
- capacity, environmental impact, geo-political security
Breakthrough research directions for mature solar energy
- solar electric
- solar fuels
- solar thermal
World Energy Demand : World Energy Demand EIA Intl Energy Outlook 2004
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/index.html energy gap
~ 14 TW by 2050
~ 33 TW by 2100 Hoffert et al Nature 395, 883,1998
Fossil: Supply and Security : Fossil: Supply and Security EIA: http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/FTPROOT/
presentations/long_term_supply/index.htm
R. Kerr, Science 310, 1106 (2005) When Will Production Peak? gas: beyond oil
coal: > 200 yrs production peak
demand exceeds supply
price increases
geo-political restrictions World Oil Reserves/Consumption
2001 OPEC: Venezuela, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,
United Arab Emirates, Algeria, Libya, Nigeria, and Indonesia http://www.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2004/fcvt_fotw336.shtml uneven distribution
insecure access
Fossil: Climate Change : Fossil: Climate Change J. R. Petit et al, Nature 399, 429, 1999
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2001
http://www.ipcc.ch
N. Oreskes, Science 306, 1686, 2004
D. A. Stainforth et al, Nature 433, 403, 2005 Climate Change 2001: T he Scientific Basis, Fig 2.22
The Energy Alternatives : The Energy Alternatives Fossil Nuclear Renewable Fusion energy gap
~ 14 TW by 2050
~ 33 TW by 2100 10 TW = 10,000 1 GW power plants
1 new power plant/day for 27 years no single solution
diversity of energy sources required
Renewable Energy : Renewable Energy Solar
1.2 x 105 TW on Earth’s surface
36,000 TW on land (world)
2,200 TW on land (US) Biomass
5-7 TW gross (world)
0.29% efficiency for
all cultivatable land
not used for food Hydroelectric Geothermal Wind
2-4 TW extractable 4.6 TW gross (world)
1.6 TW technically feasible
0.6 TW installed capacity
0.33 gross (US) 9.7 TW gross (world)
0.6 TW gross (US)
(small fraction technically feasible) Tide/Ocean
Currents
2 TW gross energy gap
~ 14 TW by 2050
~ 33 TW by 2100
Solar Energy Utilization : Solar Energy Utilization .0002 TW PV (world)
.00003 TW PV (US)
$0.30/kWh w/o storage natural
photosynthesis artificial
photosynthesis 50 - 200 °C
space, water
heating 500 - 3000 °C
heat engines
electricity generation
process heat 1.5 TW electricity (world)
$0.03-$0.06/kWh (fossil) 1.4 TW biomass (world)
0.2 TW biomass sustainable (world) 0.006 TW (world) 11 TW fossil fuel
(present use) 2 TW
space and water
heating (world)
BES Workshop on Basic Research Needs for Solar Energy Utilization : BES Workshop on Basic Research Needs for Solar Energy Utilization April 21-24, 2005 Workshop Chair: Nathan Lewis, Caltech
Co-chair: George Crabtree, Argonne Panel Chairs
Arthur Nozik, NREL: Solar Electric
Mike Wasielewski, NU: Solar Fuel
Paul Alivisatos, UC-Berkeley: Solar Thermal Plenary Speakers
Pat Dehmer, DOE/BES
Nathan Lewis, Caltech
Jeff Mazer, DOE/EERE
Marty Hoffert, NYU
Tom Feist, GE 200 participants
universities, national labs, industry
US, Europe, Asia
EERE, SC, BES Topics
Photovoltaics
Photoelectrochemistry
Bio-inspired Photochemistry
Natural Photosynthetic Systems
Photocatalytic Reactions
Bio Fuels
Heat Conversion & Utilization
Elementary Processes
Materials Synthesis
New Tools
Basic Research Needs for Solar Energy : Basic Research Needs for Solar Energy The Sun is a singular solution to our future energy needs
- capacity dwarfs fossil, nuclear, wind . . .
- sunlight delivers more energy in one hour
than the earth uses in one year
- free of greenhouse gases and pollutants
- secure from geo-political constraints Enormous gap between our tiny use
of solar energy and its immense potential
- Incremental advances in today’s technology
will not bridge the gap
- Conceptual breakthroughs are needed that come
only from high risk-high payoff basic research Interdisciplinary research is required
physics, chemistry, biology, materials, nanoscience
Basic and applied science should couple seamlessly http://www.sc.doe.gov/bes/reports/abstracts.html#SEU
Solar Energy Challenges : Solar Energy Challenges Solar electric
Solar fuels
Solar thermal
Cross-cutting research
Solar Electric : Solar Electric Despite 30-40% growth rate in installation, photovoltaics generate
less than 0.02% of world electricity (2001)
less than 0.002% of world total energy (2001)
Decrease cost/watt by a factor 10 - 25 to be competitive with fossil electricity (without storage)
Find effective method for storage of photovoltaic-generated electricity
Slide13 : Cost of Solar Electric Power I: bulk Si
II: thin film
dye-sensitized
organic
III: next generation module cost only
double for balance of system
Slide14 : Revolutionary Photovoltaics: 50% Efficient Solar Cells present technology: 32% limit for
single junction
one exciton per photon
relaxation to band edge multiple junctions multiple gaps multiple excitons
per photon nanoscale
formats
Slide15 : Organic Photovoltaics: Plastic Photocells opportunities
inexpensive materials, conformal coating, self-assembling fabrication,
wide choice of molecular structures, “cheap solar paint” challenges
low efficiency (2-5%), high defect density, low mobility, full absorption spectrum, nanostructured architecture donor-acceptor junction polymer donor
MDMO-PPV fullerene acceptor
PCBM
Solar Energy Challenges : Solar Energy Challenges Solar electric
Solar fuels
Solar thermal
Cross-cutting research
Solar Fuels: Solving the Storage Problem : Solar Fuels: Solving the Storage Problem Biomass inefficient: too much land area. Increase efficiency 5 - 10 times
Designer plants and bacteria for designer fuels:
H2, CH4, methanol and ethanol
Develop artificial photosynthesis
Slide18 : Leveraging Photosynthesis for Efficient Energy Production photosynthesis converts ~ 100 TW of sunlight to sugars: nature’s fuel
low efficiency (< 1%) requires too much land area Modify the biochemistry of plants and bacteria
- improve efficiency by a factor
of 5–10
- produce a convenient fuel
methanol, ethanol, H2, CH4 Scientific Challenges
understand and modify genetically controlled biochemistry that limits growth
elucidate plant cell wall structure and its efficient conversion to ethanol or other fuels
capture high efficiency early steps of photosynthesis to produce fuels like ethanol and H2
modify bacteria to more efficiently produce fuels
improved catalysts for biofuels production hydrogenase
2H+ + 2e- H2 switchgrass
Slide19 : photosystem II Biology: protein structures dynamically control energy and charge flow
Smart matrices: adapt biological paradigm to artificial systems Scientific Challenges
engineer tailored active environments with bio-inspired components
novel experiments to characterize the coupling among matrix, charge, and energy
multi-scale theory of charge and energy transfer by molecular assemblies
design electronic and structural pathways for efficient formation of solar fuels Smart Matrices for Solar Fuel Production smart matrices carry energy and charge
Slide20 : Efficient Solar Water Splitting demonstrated efficiencies 10-18% in laboratory Scientific Challenges
cheap materials that are robust in water
catalysts for the redox reactions at each electrode
nanoscale architecture for electron excitation transfer reaction
Solar-Powered Catalysts for Fuel Formation : Solar-Powered Catalysts for Fuel Formation new catalysts targeted for
H2, CH4, methanol and ethanol
are needed Prototype Water Splitting Catalyst multi-electron transfer
coordinated proton transfer
bond rearrangement “uphill” reactions enabled by sunlight
simple reactants, complex products
spatial-temporal manipulation of
electrons, protons, geometry
Solar Energy Challenges : Solar electric
Solar fuels
Solar thermal
Cross-cutting research Solar Energy Challenges
Solar Thermal : Solar Thermal heat is the first link in our existing energy networks
solar heat replaces combustion heat from fossil fuels
solar steam turbines currently produce the lowest cost solar electricity
challenges:
new uses for solar heat
store solar heat for later distribution
Slide24 : Solar Thermochemical Fuel Production high-temperature hydrogen generation 500 °C - 3000 °C Scientific Challenges high temperature reaction kinetics of - metal oxide decomposition - fossil fuel chemistry robust chemical reactor designs and materials A. Streinfeld, Solar Energy, 78,603 (2005)
Thermoelectric Conversion : Thermoelectric Conversion figure of merit: ZT ~ ( /) T
ZT ~ 3: efficiency ~ heat engines
no moving parts Scientific Challenges
increase electrical conductivity
decrease thermal conductivity nanoscale architectures
interfaces block heat transport
confinement tunes density of states
doping adjusts Fermi level nanowire superlattice thermal gradient electricity Mercouri Kanatzidis
Solar Energy Challenges : Solar electric
Solar fuels
Solar thermal
Cross-cutting research Solar Energy Challenges
Slide27 : Molecular Self-Assembly at All Length Scales Scientific Challenges - innovative architectures for coupling light-harvesting, redox, and catalytic components - understanding electronic and molecular interactions responsible for self-assembly - understanding the reactivity of hybrid molecular materials on many length scales The major cost of solar energy conversion is materials fabrication Self-assembly is a route to cheap, efficient, functional production biological physical
Defect Tolerance and Self-repair : Defect Tolerance and Self-repair Understand defect formation
in photovoltaic materials and
self-repair mechanisms in
photosynthesis
Achieve defect tolerance and
active self-repair in solar
energy conversion devices,
enabling 20–30 year operation the water splitting protein in Photosystem II
is replaced every hour!
Nanoscience : Nanoscience theory and modeling
multi-node computer clusters
density functional theory
10 000 atom assemblies manipulation of photons, electrons, and molecules quantum dot solar cells artificial
photosynthesis natural
photosynthesis nanostructured
thermoelectrics nanoscale architectures
top-down lithography
bottom-up self-assembly
multi-scale integration characterization
scanning probes
electrons, neutrons, x-rays
smaller length and time scales
Perspective : Perspective The Energy Challenge
~ 14 TW additional energy by 2050
~ 33 TW additional energy by 2100
13 TW in 2004
Solar Potential
125,000 TW at earth’s surface
36,000 TW on land (world)
2,200 TW on land (US)
Breakthrough basic research needed
Solar energy is a young science
- spurred by 1970s energy crises
- fossil energy science spurred by industrial revolution - 1750s solar energy horizon is distant and unexplored