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Statistics 511: 

Statistics 511 (lecture) 4:00-5:50 AM Mon, Wed, Fri 299 TMCB (lab) –250 & 244 TMCB 4:00-5:50 PM Tues, Thur

Introduction of Instructor -- Wayne Ammon Larsen: 

Introduction of Instructor -- Wayne Ammon Larsen Born in Waynesboro, Virginia (They named the town after me!) 1939 From my middle name you can tell I was raised LDS

Slide3: 

Highlight of High School In the 8th grade I predicted that we would win the state championship when we were seniors We did! (I was a bench warmer).

Slide4: 

BYU I attended BYU (never considered another school). I loved it! After three majors I settled on statistics, which I have always enjoyed. Graduated in the first class of statistics majors at this institution.

Slide5: 

Elena Bodily In SLC I met Elena Bodily, originally from Meridan Idaho We were married in the Logan Temple in 1964

Slide6: 

Virginia Tech We spent four years in graduate school In Blacksburg, VA Graduated with a PhD in Statistics 1967

Slide7: 

Jobs and Locations Hercules Powder Bell Telephone Labs Eyring Research Brigham Young Univ Dupont BYU (again) SLC/Magna, UT Murray Hill, NJ Provo, UT Provo, UT Wilmington, DE fall 98

Slide8: 

Professional Accomplishments Published a couple of statistical techniques which have made their way into many software packages A sports ranking system that has been used in many guises ‘WordPrint’ analysis of the Book of Mormon

Slide9: 

Children Tara Kirk Tory Maren Ross – attending BYU, he will be one of your TA’s this term

Slide10: 

Church Service Young Men’s Superintendent CubMaster Stake Executive Secretary High Council High Priest Group Leader

Slide11: 

I am retired as you can see Actually, I retired at the end of Fall Semester 2003 However, BYU allows retirees to work part-time for up to 3 years So this spring term I am ‘full time’ – 2 courses

Why are you here?: 

Why are you here? Why are taking this class? What is your major? Class level? What do you hope to get out of the class? Any concerns?

Math Anxiety Anyone?: 

Math Anxiety Anyone? The way to overcome math anxiety is to stay current If you stay current – learn definitions, etc., then the next lecture can be followed.

Syllabus: 

Syllabus You each have a copy of the course syllabus The syllabus is also on the web Any changes to the schedule will be announced in class and recorded on the web copy

PowerPoint Slides: 

PowerPoint Slides For the chapters in our course, I have developed these PowerPoint slides They are also on the web (same address) They can be downloaded Or printed (up to six per page) Some of you will want to print them out so that you can take notes on them

PowerPoint Continued: 

PowerPoint Continued One caution about these slides They are dynamic That is, they may change slightly as the semester progresses

Instructor: 

Instructor Wayne Ammon Larsen 233 TMCB 422-9393 larsen@byu.edu Office Hours – 12:00 – 1:30 M, W, F

Lab Instructors: 

Lab Instructors Paul Johnson Ross Larsen These TA’s plan on opening one lab a week with a short 5-10 minute lecture illustrating how to do one of the homework problems.

Materials Needed for Class: 

Materials Needed for Class Book -- “The Statistical Sleuth” -- by Ramsey and Schafer This is my all-time favorite statistics text Signature Card -- needed to print Homework & Tests from computer-7 cents per page.

Six Components to Your Grade: 

Six Components to Your Grade Homework -- 16% Quizzes -- 16% Exam 1 -- 18% Exam 2 -- 18% Data Analysis Report – 14% Final -- 22% Note these total more than 100%, more on that later.

Quizzes: 

Quizzes There will be 15-25 unannounced quizzes this semester The can be at the beginning, the middle or the end of the class period (or all three) I will drop the 4 lowest quiz scores.

Why Quizzes?: 

Why Quizzes? I need the immediate feedback. Encourage Class attendance. Encourage students to keep up with the terminology, so that lectures are not a waste of time. Quizzes will normally be 5 minutes, either open or closed book.

More on Quizzes: 

More on Quizzes Some quizzes may even be open neighbor The purposes of open neighbor is get you talking in statistical terminology I have found that frequent quizzes HELP students learn the concepts in the course.

Absences: 

Absences If you are going to be absent for a legitimate reasons such as travel for an University activity, please write me an e-mail and tell me when you will be gone and why. At the end of the semester, I will determine whether there is any need to adjust your quiz scores.

Homework: 

Homework Homework is due each Friday at the beginning of class Work together on Homework Late homework 30% off Any late homework must be one week of the original due date Any exceptions to this must be approved by me.

Exams: 

Exams Exam I and Final will have both a take-home and in-class portion Dates given in the syllabus Exam II will be in-class only In-class portions may have a short closed book portion, followed by an open book portion

Data Analysis Project: 

Data Analysis Project On the second week of class, I will divide you into teams of 3 to 5 people. Each team will be responsible for analyzing some data, preferably from your own field Near the end of the semester, we will have short oral reports on this analysis More on this project later

Total Grade: 

Total Grade Since the weights on each individual grade component, total 104%, I will drop the lowest 4% component We see how this works by looking at Jane Doe’s scores on the next slide

Jane Doe’s Scores: 

Jane Doe’s Scores

Jane Doe’s Scores: 

Jane Doe’s Scores

Jane Doe’s Scores: 

Jane Doe’s Scores

Jane’s Final Grade: 

Jane’s Final Grade = 0.16 * 0.95 + 0.16 * 0.85 +…+ 0.18*0.70 = 83.9% The grade distribution is given in the syllabus Jane would get a B

Prerequisites : 

Prerequisites Each of you should have had an earlier statistics class (510 or 221 for example) If you have not had these prerequisites, please see me after class

Computer Software: 

Computer Software The syllabus lists several computer packages students may use Class room examples will be done in MINITAB

Grades on Web: 

Grades on Web I will post the semesters grades as they occur on the web To do this I need a code for each of you

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