NSTPRSC SPUR 05 07 SH final

Slide1: 

Steve Heminger Executive Director, MTC SPUR Presentation May 8, 2007

Commissioners: 

Commissioners Mary Peters Secretary of Transportation — Chairperson Jack Schenendorf Of Counsel, Covington & Burling — Vice Chair Frank Busalacchi Wisconsin Secretary of Transportation Maria Cino Deputy Secretary of Transportation Rick Geddes Director of Undergraduate Studies, Cornell University Steve Heminger Executive Director, Metropolitan Transportation Commission Frank McArdle General Contractors Association of New York Steve Odland Chairman and CEO, Office Depot Patrick Quinn Chairman, American Trucking Association Matt Rose CEO, Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railroad Tom Skancke CEO, The Skancke Company Paul Weyrich Chairman and CEO, Free Congress Foundation

Statutory Mandate: 

Statutory Mandate Study current condition and future needs of surface transportation system Evaluate short-tem sources for Highway Trust Fund revenues and long-term alternatives to replace or supplement fuel tax Frame policy and funding recommendations for 15-, 30-, and 50-year time horizons Report to Congress by January 1,2008

Field Hearings: 

Field Hearings September 20-21, 2006 Dallas, TX November 15–16, 2006 New York, NY Memphis, TN February 21–22, 2007 Los Angeles, CA Atlanta, GA March 19, 2007 Washington, DC April 18–19, 2007 Chicago, IL Minneapolis, MN

Slide5: 

Freight

China was 33% of US imports in 2000 and will be 50% by 2010: 

China was 33% of US imports in 2000 and will be 50% by 2010

Slide7: 

Dramatic Increase in U.S. Maritime Trade Volume of trade: 2004 and 2020 Source: U.S. DOTv

More trade means more domesticfreight movements…: 

More trade means more domestic freight movements… U.S. domestic freight tonnage growth forecast, 2000-2020 U.S. domestic freight tonnage forecasts by mode, 2000-2020 2020 2000 % change 2000-2020 62% 44% 39% 181% 57% 10,700 17,296 2,009 2,891 1,054 1,470 13,772 21,682 9 25 (tons in millions) Source: U.S. DOT

Freight Tons, Value, and Ton-Miles, 2002: 

Freight Tons, Value, and Ton-Miles, 2002 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 4% 1% 9% 3% 2% 0% 7% 3% 1% 40% 74% 67% 16% 40% 6% <1% <1% 6% 2% 13% 3% Tons Value Ton-Miles Percent s Truck Rail Water Air Pipeline Multiple Modes Other/Unknown Modes Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics and U.S. Census Bureau, “2002 Economic Census, Transportation, 2002 Commodity Flow Survey,” Table 1b. Trucking dominates domestic freight movement; rail is critical to the movement of bulky, lower-value commodities and for heavy shipments moving long distances

Slide10: 

Rail Network Today Today’s rail network has been rationalized and downsized to a core network that is descended directly from the 19th Century design

Metro Mobility: 

Metro Mobility

Slide12: 

Source: America 2050

Top Dozen Metro Areas: 

Top Dozen Metro Areas Source: U.S. Census

Metros Are Engines of Economic Growth: 

Metros Are Engines of Economic Growth Combined GDP of top dozen metro areas exceeds combined economic output of 35 states New York metro area ranks 10th in the world, with a larger economy than India, South Korea or Mexico Los Angeles and Chicago metro areas rank 18th and 19th — each larger than Belgium, Sweden or Taiwan Source: U.S. Conference of Mayors

Metros Capture Huge Market Share: 

Metros Capture Huge Market Share Sources: U.S. Census, Texas Transportation Institute, U.S. Conference of Mayors, EPA

U.S. Population Change, 2000 –2050: 

U.S. Population Change, 2000 –2050 Source: Woods & Poole 2002; University of Pennsylvania School of Design

Fuel Efficiency(“Energy Independence”): 

Fuel Efficiency (“Energy Independence”)

Slide18: 

U.S. Fuel Economy for New Light-Duty Vehicles 1975–2004 Model Years Sales-Weighted Horsepower and MPG

International Fuel Economy Comparison: 

International Fuel Economy Comparison Comparison of fleet average fuel economy and GHG emission standards for new-sale light-duty vehicles

Slide20: 

Source: U.S DOE World and U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Compared 1 Sources: US DOE and EPA

Is the Public Ready for Change?: 

Is the Public Ready for Change? Source: The New York Times / CBS News Poll, April 2007

Slide22: 

Safety

U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities Per 100 Million VMT: 

U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities Per 100 Million VMT Source: Leonard Evans, Traffic Safety, 2004

U.S. Traffic Deaths Far Exceed Casualties of War: 

U.S. Traffic Deaths Far Exceed Casualties of War Source: Leonard Evans, Traffic Safety, 2004

What’s Broken?: 

What’s Broken?

Environmental Impact Statement: 

Environmental Impact Statement Processing Time (FY 1998–2006) Source: FHWA

Length of Time to Complete the New Starts Process: 

Length of Time to Complete the New Starts Process Source: Holland & Knight

Slide30: 

Street and Highway Construction Costs Have Increased Dramatically Over the Past Few Years Source: AGC

Finance: 

Finance

Highway Account Cash Balance: 

Highway Account Cash Balance Source: FY 2008 President’s Budget Projections

Mass Transit Account Cash Balance: 

Mass Transit Account Cash Balance Source: FY 2008 President’s Budget Projections

Slide34: 

Year 600 Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year (through 2015) 100 200 300 400 500 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030 Year-of-Expenditure Dollars (in Billions) Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year (through 2015) Revenue Cost to Maintain Cost to Improve National Funding Gap Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce

State Gasoline Tax Rates including Sales and Petroleum Taxes Plus Local Option Gas Tax : 

State Gasoline Tax Rates including Sales and Petroleum Taxes Plus Local Option Gas Tax State Cents per Gallon 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 NY CT MI NV FL RI IN OH ME WV ID OR SD MD ND MN IA NH DC TX VI MS NM OK NJ AK CA IL WI PA HI WA NC MT NE GA KS UT MA DE CO AR TN AL LA VT AZ KY MO SC WY Source: American Petroleum Institute As of April 2006

Recent Public Private Partnerships: 

Recent Public Private Partnerships Source: Public Works Financing Project Location Intermodal Projects in Green Highway Projects in Blue Transit Projects in Yellow Reno Rail Corridor SR 125 Toll Road - Hudson Bergen Light Rail Line Chicago Skyway Asset Sale Dulles Greenway Miami Intermodal Center Central Texas Turnpike Pocahontas Parkway Camden Trenton Light Rail Line San Joaquin Hills Toll Road Foothill Eastern Toll Road Alameda Corridor - Trans Texas Corridor Denver E-470 Northwest Parkway NM 44 (US 550) Southern Connector Hiawatha Light Rail Line Jamaica JFK Airtrain Tacoma Narrows Bridge Osceola Parkway Las Vegas Monorail I-15 Reconstruction AZ-17 Indiana Toll Road Asset Sale CREATE

Slide37: 

“Our unity as a nation is sustained by free communication of thought and by easy transportation of people and goods... Together the unifying forces of our communication and transportation systems are dynamic elements in the very name we bear — United States. Without them, we would be a mere alliance of many separate parts.” — Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1955

For More Information:www.transportationfortomorrow.org: 

For More Information: www.transportationfortomorrow.org