Slide1: Vickie Eisenstein
&
Steven Novakovic
About Blue Nile: About Blue Nile Founded in 1999.
IPO’d May 20th 2004 at $20.50 a share.
9 consecutive quarters of positive net income.
www.bluenile.com
Let’s get in the investment boat and take a trip down the Blue Nile.
Why Blue Nile isn’t Tiffany’s: Why Blue Nile isn’t Tiffany’s All business is conducted online.
They have the same certified diamonds from the retailers that Tiffany’s deals with.
Less retail mark ups, and mark ups overall.
More educational features.
Customizable/build your own rings.
No inventory!
“Amazon-esque” -Steve
Why you should rough it down the river rather than take a cruise!: Why you should rough it down the river rather than take a cruise! STARTING VALUE OF A 1-CARAT DIAOMOND
$1,200
MARKUP
Blue Nile | Other Jewelers
MINING & ROUGH BROKERING
61% 61%
CUT/POLISH & WHOLESALE
96% 109%
JEWELERY MANUFACTURING
0 5%
JEWELRY RETAIL
25% 67%
FINAL SALE
$4,733 $7,080
Blue Nile vs. the Other Online Competition: Blue Nile vs. the Other Online Competition Blue Nile has been around the longest.
Blue Nile has a wider selection of jewelry and watches.
More than a dozen diamond wholesalers buy from one another through the website.
How Does Blue Nile Beat the Competition? High Visibility.: How Does Blue Nile Beat the Competition? High Visibility. Blue Nile had nearly twice as many top-20 and top-30 paid and organic search positions than all other sites examined, resulting in an overall Visibility Percentage of 79.09%.
Diamond.com was the second most visible site at 45.08%,
Tiffany & Co. at 32.58%,
Zales at 16.52%
Jewelry Television at 10.61%.
The Fertile Crescent: Most Recent 4Q Earnings Report:: The Fertile Crescent: Most Recent 4Q Earnings Report: Beat earnings estimates by 2 cents a share.
Increased Free Cash Flow by 100%
30.3% Sales Growth.
Where’s Blue Nile Flowing?: Where’s Blue Nile Flowing? “In 2005, our priorities are clear. We will continue to focus on building our brand and expanding our market share in our core customized diamond jewelry business in the U.S. We intend to extend our brand in international markets as we develop our business in Canada and in the UK. Lastly, we will maintain our disciplined focus on profitable growth." January 1st, 2005 opened their Canadian website
Disciplined focus= Blue Nile is controlling its growth.
Where the stock is flowing.: Where the stock is flowing. Blue Nile's board authorized the repurchase of up to $30 million of the company's common stock during the next 12 months.
Over 23% Insider Holdings. "We believe a stock repurchase program is an attractive investment opportunity for the company, based upon current market conditions and the confidence we have in our ability to scale and grow the business with minimal capital expenditures," CEO, Vadon said.
The Deluge of the Nile: The Deluge of the Nile Consistently beats analyst estimates!
Past three quarters has beat analysts’ EPS estimates.
Quarter Estimate Actual 12/04 qtr. $0.22 $0.24
09/04 qtr. $0.07 $0.09
06/04 qtr. $0.09 $0.11
Charting Blue Nile’s Price Flow: Charting Blue Nile’s Price Flow
Cash Flowsssss: Cash Flowsssss January 2, December 31,
2005 2003
(in thousands)
Operating activities:
Net income $9,987 $26,986
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net
cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization 1,510 1,293
(Gain) loss on disposal of assets (5) 14
Stock-based compensation 375 90
Warrant-based interest expense -- 87
Restructuring charges -- (87)
Deferred income taxes 5,388 (15,700)
Changes in assets and liabilities:
Receivables, net 83 (441)
Inventories 290 (5,023)
Prepaid expenses and other assets (581) (235)
Accounts payable 11,487 10,497
Accrued liabilities 1,246 1,044
Deferred rent (29) 1,291
Net cash provided by operating activities 29,751 19,816
More Cash Flowsss: More Cash Flowsss January 2, December 31,
2005 2003
(in thousands)
Investing activities:
Purchases of property and equipment (1,833) (3,506)
Proceeds from the sale of property
and equipment 7 3
Purchases of marketable securities (82,870) --
Proceeds from the sale of marketable
securities 41,000 --
Transfers of restricted cash 400 --
Net cash used in investing activities (43,296) (3,503)
Financing activities:
Proceeds from sale of common stock,
net of issuance costs 42,516 --
Repurchase of restricted and common stock -- (8)
Payments on subordinated notes payable -- (6,638)
Payments on capital lease obligations -- (995)
Payments on note payable to related party -- (1,140)
Proceeds from warrant and stock option exercises 145 254
Net cash provided by (used in) financing
activities 42,661 (8,527)
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 29,116 7,786
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period 30,383 22,597
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period $59,499 $30,383
Balance Sheet: Balance Sheet January 2, December 31,
2005 2003
(in thousands)
Assets
Current assets:
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash $59,499 $30,783
Marketable securities 41,868 --
Total cash and marketable securities 101,367 30,783
Accounts receivable 760 843
Inventories 9,914 10,204
Deferred income taxes 8,442 5,300
Prepaids and other current assets 1,046 465
Total current assets 121,529 47,595
Property and equipment, net 3,916 3,979
Intangible assets, net 385 --
Deferred income taxes 2,475 10,654
Other assets 77 77
Total assets $128,382 $62,305
Balance Sheet: Balance Sheet January 2, December 31,
2005 2003
(in thousands)
Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity (Deficit)
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable $37,775 $26,288
Accrued liabilities 5,713 4,467
Current portion of deferred rent 203 177
Total current liabilities 43,691 30,932
Deferred rent, less current portion 1,071 1,126
Commitments and contingencies
Mandatorily redeemable convertible preferred
stock -- 57,485
Stockholders' equity (deficit):
Common stock 18 5
Additional paid-in capital 104,684 4,247
Deferred compensation (929) (1,352)
Accumulated other comprehensive loss (2) --
Accumulated deficit (19,515) (29,502)
Treasury stock (636) (636)
Total stockholders' equity (deficit) 83,620 (27,238)
Total liabilities and stockholders'
equity (deficit) $128,382 $62,305
Statement of Operations: Statement of Operations Quarter Ended Year to Date Ended
Jan. 2, Dec. 31, Jan. 2, Dec. 31,
2005 2003 2005 2003
(in thousands, except per share data)
Net sales $64,548 $49,555 $169,242 $128,894
Cost of sales 50,404 38,468 131,590 99,476
Gross profit 14,144 11,087 37,652 29,418
Operating expenses:
Selling, general and
administrative 7,343 6,078 22,795 18,207
Restructuring charges -- (87) -- (87)
7,343 5,991 22,795 18,120
Operating income 6,801 5,096 14,857 11,298
Other income (expense) net:
Interest income 329 35 709 109
Interest expense -- -- -- (209)
Other income 10 33 63 88
339 68 772 (12)
Income before income taxes 7,140 5,164 15,629 11,286
Income tax expense (benefit) 2,577 (15,700) 5,642 (15,700)
Net income $4,563 $20,864 $9,987 $26,986
Basic net income per share $0.26 $4.80 $0.80 $6.98
Diluted net income per share $0.24 $1.27 $0.56 $1.65
Shares used for computation:
Basic 17,705 4,349 12,450 3,868
Diluted 18,812 16,383 17,885 16,363
How the Nile feeds into our Portfolio.: How the Nile feeds into our Portfolio. We recommend a $2,000 position.
A fabulous retail stock to replace Tiffany’s.