Slide1: Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathways for Youth Jonathan Latner Research and Evaluation Analyst 617-727-8158 jlatner@commcorp.org


Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth : Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth Skills Gap Income Inequality Critical Industries Healthcare Retail Manufacturing Hot Jobs


Massachusetts Employment Trends: Massachusetts Employment Trends Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics CES Data, Seasonally Adjusted Data January, 2001 – December, 2007 Employment is recovering from recession, but has not equaled its Peak: Feb, 2001 MA is 1 of 6 states that has not reached pre-recessionary employment numbers


Do We Have Enough Workers Now? Many people are still seeking work : Do We Have Enough Workers Now? Many people are still seeking work In December ’07, 90,800 fewer jobs than at peak Feb ’01 From 2000 to 2006, virtually no population growth From Q1 ’01 to Q1 ’07: 71,790 more “unemployed” From 2000 to 2006* 21,100 more working part- time 15,200 more marginally attached –stopped looking for jobs recently: 3,000 more “discouraged” 12,200 more stopped due to family or transportation reasons From 2000 to 2005 58,316 more “non-employer” businesses in 2005 compared to 2000 *Note: Based on 12 month averages from Current Population Survey (CPS) Sources: LAUS, Census Projections, and Census Nonemployer Statistics


Massachusetts Employment by Industry: Massachusetts Employment by Industry Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, ES-202 2006 Employment


Massachusetts Employment Tends by Industry: Massachusetts Employment Tends by Industry 2000 - 2004 2004 - 2006 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, ES-202


Massachusetts Projected Employment Growth and Current Job Openings: Massachusetts Growth projected, 2006-2011 (‘000) Massachusetts Projected Employment Growth and Current Job Openings Source: CommCorp Analysis of New England Economic Partnership Data Source: Department of Workforce Development = Net New Jobs in Future Includes Replacement Jobs and New Jobs = Current Hiring Needs Massachusetts Job Vacancies, Q4, 2006 (‘000) Educ. & Health Hotels & Food Other Services Construction Finance Government Trade, Trans Information Prof. & Bus. Svcs. Manfg


Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth : Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth Skills Gap Income Inequality Critical Industries Healthcare Retail Manufacturing Hot Jobs


Slide9: Source: Structural Demand Shifts and Potential Labor Supply Responses in the New Century. Prepared for the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Conference on “Labor Supply in the New Century.” David Autor.


Slide10: Source: Economic Policy Institute. Minimum Wage Issue Guide. April, 2007


Slide11: Source: How Progressive is the U.S. Federal Tax System? A Historical and International Perspective. Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez. Journal of Economic Perspectives. Winter, 2007.


Slide12: Source: The polarization of the U.S. Labor Market. David Autor, Lawrence Katz, and Melissa Kearney. NBER. January, 2006.


Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth : Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth Skills Gap Income Inequality Critical Industries Healthcare Retail Manufacturing Hot Jobs


What is included in the “Healthcare” sector?: What is included in the “Healthcare” sector? Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages


Proportion of Total Massachusetts Workforce Employed by Healthcare Sub-Sector, 2006: Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Proportion of Total Massachusetts Workforce Employed by Healthcare Sub-Sector, 2006 Sector 2006 Employment


Healthcare Industry Group Level Employment (2006) and Trends (2000 – 2006): Healthcare Industry Group Level Employment (2006) and Trends (2000 – 2006) 2006 Employment Change from 2000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages


Regional Employment in the Healthcare Industry: Regional Employment in the Healthcare Industry Source: Mass. Department of Workforce Development Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 2006 Employment


Regional Structure of the Healthcare Industry: Regional Structure of the Healthcare Industry Source: Mass. Department of Workforce Development Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages


Slide19: Healthcare Occupations Comprise 50% of Healthcare & Social Assistance Sector Source: Mass. Department of Workforce Development Industry – Occupation Crosswalk


Slide20:   Industry Sectors and Occupations 79% of Healthcare professionals and 81% of Healthcare support occupations work in the Healthcare sector Source: Mass. Department of Workforce Development Industry-Occupation Crosswalk Share (%) of Employees from Major Occupational Groups Working in Healthcare 100% Total 100%


2001 - 2006 Occupational Pay Structure : 2001 - 2006 Occupational Pay Structure Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Occupational Employment Statistics1


Slide22: Age of Healthcare Professionals Source: 2000 Census & 2006 ACS


Slide23: Source: 2000 Census Equal Employment Opportunity Tabulation Diversity of Nursing Professionals & Paraprofessionals


Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth : Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth Skills Gap Income Inequality Critical Industries Healthcare Retail Manufacturing Hot Jobs


2006 Distribution of the Retail Industry: 2006 Distribution of the Retail Industry Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages, 2006


2006 Occupational Distribution – Retail Industry: 2006 Occupational Distribution – Retail Industry Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Occupational Employment Statistics, 2006


Distribution of Sales Occupations – Retail Industry: Distribution of Sales Occupations – Retail Industry Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Occupational Employment Statistics, 2006


Median Salary of Sales Occupations – Retail Industry: Median Salary of Sales Occupations – Retail Industry Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Occupational Employment Statistics, 2006


No Shame in My Game – Katherine Newman: No Shame in My Game – Katherine Newman “…our culture confers honor to those who hold down jobs of any kind over those who are outside of the labor force “Despite odds, job seekers work their networks, turn in applications wherever they find an open door, and take civil service exams in hopes of landing a plum opportunity. “There are competencies involved in these jobs that should be more widely known and more easily built upon as the basis for advancement in the labor market. “It is a long way from first-line management to the point where the ‘real money’ comes their way. “Despite difficulties, the nation’s working poor continue to seek their salvation in the labor market.


Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth : Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth Skills Gap Income Inequality Critical Industries Healthcare Retail Manufacturing Hot Jobs


Massachusetts’ Top Exports by Type, 2006 (in Billions of Dollars): Massachusetts’ Top Exports by Type, 2006 (in Billions of Dollars) Source: Harmonized Tariff Schedule of the United States dataset Acquired from the World Institute for Strategic Economic Research (WISER), 1996 & 2006 Note: Figures are rounded to the nearest $1,000,000


Change in Educational Attainment of Workers in the Manufacturing Industry in Massachusetts, 2000 - 2006: Change in Educational Attainment of Workers in the Manufacturing Industry in Massachusetts, 2000 - 2006 2000 Census PUMS Data, 5% sample 2006 ACS PUMS Data Population aged 25 or older


Change in Educational Attainment of Workers in Production Occupations in Massachusetts, 2000 - 2006: Change in Educational Attainment of Workers in Production Occupations in Massachusetts, 2000 - 2006 2000 Census PUMS Data, 5% sample 2006 ACS PUMS Data Population aged 25 or older


Occupational Distribution of Manufacturing in Massachusetts and Nationwide, 2005: Occupational Distribution of Manufacturing in Massachusetts and Nationwide, 2005 MA Source: Executive Office of Labor and Workforce Development Occupational Employment and Wage Industry Staffing Patterns, May, 2005 US Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics National Industry Specific Occupational Employment & Wage Estimates, May, 2005


Massachusetts Vacancies in the Manufacturing Sector, 2006 (4th Quarter): Massachusetts Vacancies in the Manufacturing Sector, 2006 (4th Quarter) Source: Executive Office of Labor and Workforce Development, Division of Career Services, Job Vacancy Survey, Q2, 2006


Vacancies in the Massachusetts Manufacturing Sector by Occupational Group, 2006 (4th Quarter) : Vacancies in the Massachusetts Manufacturing Sector by Occupational Group, 2006 (4th Quarter) Source: Executive Office of Labor and Workforce Development, Division of Career Services, Job Vacancy Survey, Q2, 2006


Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth : Understanding Labor Market Trends and Identifying Career Pathway for Youth Skills Gap Income Inequality Critical Industries Healthcare Retail Manufacturing Hot Jobs


Slide40: Hot Jobs Source: Crittenton Women’s Union Professional Blue Collar Sales and Service Administrative Protective Service