IT Trends 2005 2010

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IT-Trends 2005-2010: 

IT-Trends 2005-2010 4.12.2002 http://www.fraber.de/

My Guess: 

My Guess No major new Disruptive Technologies anymore Competitiveness depends on the capability to implement projects Radical improvement after a number of incremental steps

Some Trends: 

Some Trends General Trends Moore’s Law Globalization Digitalization Mobility (GRPS&WiFi) Knowledge Value IT Commoditization Specific Trends Importance of Security (every computer connected to the Internet needs security) Machine-to-machine communication Open Source Software Read it everywhere!

Conceptual Model: Extended Company: 

Conceptual Model: Extended Company Providers Clients Manufacturer Sub- contractors Technologies Collaboration & Project Rooms Web Services Extranet/VPN Sales Support CRM/SCM/… Collaborative Forecasting ...

My Guess: 

My Guess Ideas have been tested during the Dot.Com era “Applications à la carte” methodologies “Value patterns” (supply chain, integration, network, …) have become common knowledge No major new Disruptive Technologies anymore

Disruptions à la Carte: 

Disruptions à la Carte Market Share Value Reduce Costs Service Time to Market Extend Brand Client Retention Put here: where you are where you want to go and what applications to use How to define my IT-Strategy?

Implementation Jam: 

Cost ROI Dependency 250k€ 2M€ 1M€ 500k€ Procurement Demand Forecasting Data Consolidat. B2B Catalog & Order Track B2C Product Catalog Bench- marking 0m 6m 12m 18m Intranet & KM. Data Warehouse Production Tracking Implementation Jam How to implement my IT-Strategy?

My Guess: 

My Guess Disruptive Technologies have to be easy to learn in order to be successful Disruptive Technologies have to satisfy basic needs No major new Disruptive Technologies anymore

The Limits of Disruptive Technologies: 

The Limits of Disruptive Technologies Content Formalization formalized unstructured indexed Video Audio Google Messenger Learning Effort ERP WWW Intranet Project Rooms Force people to use it People like it SCM

The Limits of Disruptive Technologies: 

Build around existing processes Supported by innovative management practices Limited by learning complexity Implemented by digitalizing existing processes Look at your processes and digitalize them Examples: Volkswagen/Seat Project Recent announcement by General Electric . . . Look at your processes and digitalize them The Limits of Disruptive Technologies

My Guess 2010: 

My Guess 2010 Competitiveness depends on the capability to implement projects

Capability to Implement Projects: 

Capability to Implement Projects Critical Factors IT Infrastructure IT Strategy Change Management Project Management Look at your processes and digitalize them Standardization?

Standardized Infrastructure?: 

Internet Standardized Infrastructure? Shared Systems Firewall VPN Access Web Server with Intranet/Extranet File Server (VPN) Email Local Area Network Web/ Mail ERP . . . DMZ Router FW Shared Services Maintenance Support Firewall Security Web Server Security Incident Tracking Backup VPN Clients PC PC xDSL Just an idea... Develop a service around the standard