wang

Slide1: 

(Personal opinion only) Wang Jinzhao Energy Conservation in China Development research center, State Council of China Workshop on climate change and sustainable city development University of California at San Diego & World institute, APRU

Slide2: 

Economic growth Economic Growth and Energy Consumption China GDP growth rate: historical data (blue) and projection (yellow)

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Urbanization Percentage Urban: Past (blue), Projection (yellow)

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Modernization Auto population Growth (Unit: Million)

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Industrialization Industry structure : heavy industries (yellow) vs. light industries (blue)

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International Energy consumption Experience Data Source：Mineral Resource and Economic Growth

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Energy consumption prediction

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Energy use per capita at 2020 China’s energy use per capita at 2020

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2.Energy conservation Central government set energy conservation highest priority, because following reasons: Energy resource scarcity The ratio of china’ s energy reservation per capita to the world average Oil: 7.0% Natural gas: 6.1% Coal: 61.5%

Slide10: 

Environmental pollution The sulfur emission at 2020 predicted in the without-control scenario Data Source：Energy environment and public health

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11th Five Year Planning Set very ambitious target: Reduce energy intensity (energy consumption pre GDP) by 20% during 11th Five Year Planning(2006-2010). Energy intensity data(1980-2008)

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International experience of energy intensity during industrialization

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achievement at 2006 Adopt strong policy, including: National campaign of the energy conservation awareness education Increase the energy price for high energy consumption industry Enforce the energy efficiency standard Sign energy conservation commitment protocol with local government and industrial Achievement: first three quarters, the energy intensity still increase fourth quarter, energy intensity began to decrease. but the target to reduce energy intensity by 4% at 2006 is not realized

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3. Next Step Close 50 GW small coal power plant which capacity less than 100MW and small steel and cement plant Set tax on high energy consumption goods exporting Reform the pricing mechanism of the energy resource keep the 11th five year planning unchanged Adopt more strict policy

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Clean energy supply structure Adopt leapfrog technology strategy Increase the clean fossil energy percentage in energy supply matrix Develop nuclear energy Develop renewable energy China is in construction, has chance to use new technology New technology: clean coal technology, advanced nuclear power plant technology, wind power plant technology, advanced vehicle motor technology International cooperation Communication and information sharing Technology transfer and R&D cooperation

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4. Summary Because of urbanization, modernization, industrialization and economic growth, china energy consumption will continue to grow before 2020 China government set an ambitious energy conservation target: reduce energy intensity by 20% during 11th Five Years Planning(2006-2010), and strong policies are adopted and implemented. International cooperation is important to china’s energy sustainable development, especially in the field of technology transfer and R&D cooperation.

Slide17: 

Thank you for attention!