Slide1: SAS Group and the Environment “Flying High with a Green Approach”


SAS and Environment: “Meeting the challenge”. ATAG Today and tomorrow’s environmental challenge in aviation. Niels Eirik Nertun SAS Envir. Dir SAS and Environment


Limited contribution from aircraft to the greenhouse effect: Limited contribution from aircraft to the greenhouse effect


Aviation will remain a minor contributor to the problem: Aviation will remain a minor contributor to the problem Source: IEA - International Energy Agency 14% of Transport = approx 3% of total


Slide5: Emissions containment instruments Technological progress Infrastructure improvements Operational measures Economic instruments ACARE New technology Alternative fuel Improved aerodynamics NUAC Effective flight management Single sky Fuel saving programme Green approach ETS Taxes, Charges and Regulations


Slide6: SAS and the Environment SAS Group IPCC Forecast Traffic estimates to grow approx. 5 % per year Growing environmental impact 2000 2015 CO2 net growth per year approx 3% 2% efficiency improvement Kyoto Gap Reduction/ permits - sector Traffic growth 5% per year


Klima-multiplikator: SAS holdning er at bruk av “multiplikator” av beregning av klimaeffekter i kvotehandelsammenheng er systemmessig og faglig feil. Fakta : CO2 utslipp har sammen klimaeffekt uansett utslippsted ( fly høyde eller ikke..) Klima-multiplikator


Slide9: Trafikk/Utslipp Trafikkvekst Uendelig vekst eller politisk intervensjon? 2000 2007 2012 2015 2020 2030 Trafikkvekst Dagens nivå Scenarier for vekst i CO2-ustlipp: RR 2015 Politisk intervensjon ACARE 2020 ATM 2007  % bio-fuel 2012 


IATA Fleet Fuel Efficiency Goal: IATA Fleet Fuel Efficiency Goal Fleet Fuel Efficiency calculated to go to 30 Liter / RTK in 2020 from 40 Liter /RTK in 2005 = 25% improvement


Slide11: ACARE (Advisory Council for Aeronautical Research in Europe) target until 2020: 50% fuel/CO2 per produced unit 80% NOx 10dB (halving of perceived noise)


Slide13: SAS and Carbon Neutral has introduced a scheme with renewable energy The system to be preliminary Will be replaced by ETS Carbon Offset Voluntary customer offer for CO2 compensation


Slide14: CO2 offset Acces via homepage – or direct to provider – or dialogue with KAM


Relationship between CO2e concentration and temperature increase according to the IPCC: 0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Relationship between CO2e concentration and temperature increase according to the IPCC Source: IPCC (AR4 WGIII Summary for policymakers, pp 23, 25) GHG concentration stabilization level ppm CO2e Equilibrium global mean temperature increase above pre-industrial levels, for IPCC’s scenario categories I and II, oC “Best estimate” line I II Max concentration range to hit 2°C upper/lower bound around best estimate , 2°C


Emission reduction required in 2030 compared to 1990 for categories I and II: Emission reduction required in 2030 compared to 1990 for categories I and II 1990 2004 IPCC BAU 2030** I II Global GHG emissions 2030 GtCO2e Note: Emission estimate accuracy has increased over time, hence numbers presented here differ from those in previous Vattenfall studies. * Range includes outcome of all assessed scenarios in category ** Assuming same future CO2 share of CO2e total as in 2004 (78%). BAU 2030 estimated to 58 GtCO2e in Vattenfall cost curve study. Source: IPCC (AR4 WGIII Summary for policymakers, pp 3, 5, 24) ~ –33% ~ –23% IPCC Category Upper bound* Lower bound* 37


Slide17: US + Canada OECD Europe China Rest of world** Regions Other Industrial* Eastern Europe (incl. Russia) Total Sector 4.4 2.5 2.5 1.6 4.6 11.1 26.7 Total * Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Israel, Bahrain, Mexico ** Africa, South and Central America excl. Mexico, Asia excl. China and countries included in “Other industrialized” (see previous note) GtCO2e, 2030 Total abatement potential per sector and region As low cost opportunities are geographically dispersed, a global solution is needed


Flyets øvrige utslipp vil øke i betydning: Flyets øvrige utslipp vil øke i betydning +2°C  500 ppm CO₂ X


Tänkbar framtida skärpning av ICAO buller Certifierings std : Tänkbar framtida skärpning av ICAO buller Certifierings std Chapter 4 Chapter 3 Future Generation ICAO CAEP kan komma att år 2013 föreslå ett Chapter 5 för certifiering av nya flygplantyper från ca 2017.


Relativ miljøbelastning og IATAS 0-visjon!: Relativ miljøbelastning og IATAS 0-visjon! 2050 IATAS miljøvisjon = 0-utslipp 2025 Biofuel RR


Slide21: See you on board!


Fly with a clearer sustainability conscience: Fly with a clearer sustainability conscience For more information: www.sasgroup.net


New Single Aisle AircraftEnvironment: New Single Aisle Aircraft Environment Introduction of a NEXT GENERATION MD-80 replacement likely later than the picture indicates but a later EIS could also provide even more improvements


SAS Group and the Environment: SAS Group and the Environment The global environmental challenge: Greenhouse gas emissions are an unavoidable effect of airline operations Fuel combustion causes a rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide, assumed to cause global climate change Air travel is expanding at a phenomenal pace Aircraft have a lifetime of 20 to 30 years The airline industry’s contribution to the greenhouse effect is becoming an increasingly serious problem - SAS has long been recognizing this


SAS Fleet relative fuel burn & CO2 emissions MD-82 = 100: SAS Fleet relative fuel burn & CO2 emissions MD-82 = 100


SAS Fleet Noise Certification status: SAS Fleet Noise Certification status Chapter 4 Chapter 3 Future Generation