Presentation Transcript
Defense of the Space Elevator: Defense of the Space Elevator Bryan Laubscher
Los Alamos National Laboratory
June 2004
3rd Annual International Space Elevator Conference
Threats to the Space Elevator: Threats to the Space Elevator Adversaries
Terrorist Groups – willing to perpetrate suicide attacks
Rogue Nations – willing to aid terrorists and/or to use its military capability to destroy elevator
Desperate Nations – may decide to destroy elevator to keep the builder from the prosperity Attacks
Space-borne
Air-borne
Sea Surface
Sub-surface
Platform Infiltration
Delivery Infiltration
Payload-borne
Defense of the Space Elevator: Defense of the Space Elevator Assumptions
US entity builds SE
SE placed in the ocean on equator, hundreds of kilometers from land. This affords some inherent defense from terrorists.
US Navy given the responsibility to protect SE
Defense resources
Defense platform
Fighter aircraft
Anti-ship and anti-submarine aircraft
Patrol ships
Platform mounted radar and sonar
Platform mounted surface-to-air missiles and anti-aircraft artillery
Marine contingent
Defense Perimeters: Defense Perimeters Air defense perimeter
~100 km radius
Provides 7 minutes warning for jet liner
RADAR surveillance
Sea surface defense perimeter
~40 kilometer radius
Maximum range of shipboard artillery
RADAR and SONAR surveillance
Sub-sea defense perimeter
~10 kilometer radius
SONAR surveillance
Ground Station: Ground Station
Space-borne Attack: Space-borne Attack ICBM launched toward SE platform
Requires rogue nation or more probably a desperate nation
Platform moves routinely, want a direct hit with conventional explosives
Nuclear warhead would require only a near miss
20 minute or more flight time plus other latency would place the platform at another location
Spy on platform with a GPS and a satellite phone could improve targeting
Homing device on the platform could increase accuracy of strike
Very difficult to stop
Sub-orbital or orbital vehicle launched into space to strike elevator and destroy it
Would require a desperate nation
Sub-orbital has only a few chances to sever the 1-meter wide ribbon
Orbital vehicle has many chances to strike ribbon
Orbiting satellite could escape suspicion by performing another mission for months or years - then when close, maneuvering to collide
If an orbiting object was obviously maneuvering to strike ribbon, then a “defense” climber could ascend and engage the object
A homing device on an SE payload could guide such an interceptor to the ribbon
Very difficult to stop
Air-based Attacks: Air-based Attacks Short-range and/or cruise missile attack
SR missiles would require launch from aircraft, ship or submarine
Nuclear or conventional warhead
Missile to missile kill is difficult
Terminal defense guns like the Phalanx could destroy missile
Commercial airliner attack or dedicated aircraft
Could be terrorist, rogue or desperate nation
Historic precedent
Stoppable at point of origin of the flight
Fighter jets stationed on a “defense” platform could shoot down the aircraft
Anti-aircraft missiles or artillery could defend the platform.
Sea Surface Attacks: Sea Surface Attacks Ships
Artillery has a 40 kilometer range (Iowa class battleships)
Ships are slow compared to all other threats
Ships are very easy to detect
Long range torpedoes could sink the platform but it is massive and the ribbon could be transferred or survive sinking
Helicopters and ground effect vehicles launched from ships
Could be terrorist, rogue or desperate nation
Helicopters would probably not get close enough to crash or land troops because of air defense
Troops delivered at sea level would have a difficulty gaining the platform
Marines on the platform could defeat a large force with prepared defenses
Sub-sea Surface Attacks: Sub-sea Surface Attacks Submarines
Would require a rogue or desperate nation
Torpedoes launched far from the platform could sink the platform although it is massive
“Mines” released from great depths by deep diving vehicles could surface below the platform and destroy it
Active sonar could detect but the 10 kilometer range I proposed is very close in modern battles
Floating Platform: Floating Platform
Delivery/Platform Infiltration: Delivery/Platform Infiltration Delivery Infiltration
Any adversary could achieve this
Become crew member or stowaway or entire crew
Gain access to the platform
Could use a “cutting tool” to sever ribbon
Background checks
Security at the loading port
Offloading on a secure platform, have payloads inspected and readied for integration to climber and then loaded
Platform Infiltration
Any adversary could achieve this
Platform workers must have extensive background checks
Access to the ribbon vicinity must be controlled
EM transmissions must be monitored
Payloads must be delivered and inspected elsewhere and then delivered to the launch platform
Power beaming stations must have the same kind of security
Payload Tampering: Payload Tampering Payload could be a bomb
Any entity could accomplish this subversion
It should be detectable at ship loading, especially if the SE personnel have a part in packaging it for shipment
Must be detected before it gets to the launch platform
Payload could have a homing device on it
Any entity could accomplish this subversion
In and of itself this is not a threat, but a part of a threat
Very difficult to stop
Conclusions: Conclusions The space elevator can be defended commensurate with its value
It will require an end-to-end security plan
It will require large resources
Another example of asymmetry, i.e., it is much more costly to defend than to attack
The economic benefit from space elevator technology will ensure its protection
Defense implies a co-location of space elevators
Slide14: Future Conference
Space Exploration 2005, 1st Biennial Space Elevator Workshop, April 3 – 7, 2005, Albuquerque, New Mexico www.sesinstitute.org