TRB 2005 McMillan

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Planning with our Neighbors: Boundary Challenges for the San Francisco Bay Area: 

Planning with our Neighbors: Boundary Challenges for the San Francisco Bay Area Therese W. McMillan Deputy Director-Policy Metropolitan Transportation Commission TRB — January 2005

The San Francisco Bay Area is a Large Region and Growing: 

The San Francisco Bay Area is a Large Region and Growing Nine counties Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Solano, Sonoma Population in 2000: 6.8 million Est. population in 2030: 8.8 million Growth over 30 years: 29.4 %

However, our Neighbors are growing, too (and faster): 

However, our Neighbors are growing, too (and faster) 11 adjacent counties North: Mendocino, Lake, Colusa Sacramento area: Yolo, Sacramento, Placer Central Valley: San Joaquin, Stanislaus, Merced South: Santa Cruz, San Benito, Monterey Population in 2000: 3.7 million Estimated Pop in 2030: 6.0 million Growth over 30 years: 62 %

Bay Area Realities : 

Bay Area Realities We are in a severe housing deficit Housing deficit is driving people far from jobs — often into neighboring regions MTC has an infill transportation policy — now we need an infill housing policy to match Smart Growth Vision calls for an additional 270,000 housing units over “base case” housing production in next 20 years

Untapped Potential for TOD: 

Untapped Potential for TOD Percent of New Development that could be located near rail or frequent bus service under Smart Growth Scenario


Smart Growth Scenario calls for increased densities within Resolution 3434 transit expansion corridors

The “Next Door” Dilemma: 

The “Next Door” Dilemma Our Smart Growth Scenario counts on more housing within the region than current General Plan-based trends would dictate The Bay Area would “bring in” 200,000 more housing units under infill assumptions , and locate them around existing urban centers and along Resolution 3434 transit corridors. But what if our neighboring counties aren’t planning along the same lines?

The “Next Door” Dilemma: 

The “Next Door” Dilemma Bay Area County Growth

Compare-Neighboring Counties Growth: 

Compare-Neighboring Counties Growth

What We Need To Do: 

What We Need To Do Get better handle on demographic assumptions of our neighbors (easy) Coordinate transportation investments in key corridors that cross or approach county boundaries (harder) Coordinate housing and/or employment planning and development in key travel corridors that traverse regional borders (impossible?)

How We Are Getting Started: 

How We Are Getting Started MTC’s Transportation/Land Use Policy in our long range plan includes provision to coordinate planning with regional neighbors Pursuing grant funding from California DOT (Caltrans) to initiate this coordination in Interstate 80 corridor linking Bay Area with Sacramento region.

Transportation 2030 Plan Goal: “Efficient Freight Travel”: 

Objectives: Identify key improvements where public investment can help the freight industry Identify long-term capacity issues associated with cargo movement through airports and seaports Collaborate with private sector to leverage public and private funds to improve freight-related infrastructure Transportation 2030 Plan Goal: “Efficient Freight Travel”

What is Goods Movement in the Bay Area?: 

What is Goods Movement in the Bay Area? Local distribution and service trucking Almost 46% of total tons moved stay within Bay Area Truck-oriented Supports local business and consumer markets Domestic trade Access to national markets for local manufacturers Long haul network of truck, rail, and air systems International trade — airports and seaports Fastest growing — almost 50% growth from 1993–1999 Largest shares — consumer imports and high-tech and food exports

Most of the Bay Area’s Domestic Trade Flows Stay Within California — : 

Most of the Bay Area’s Domestic Trade Flows Stay Within California — Total = $408 Billion

What Does This Mean?: 

What Does This Mean? While intra-regional freight demands and planning is crucial to Bay Area, our economy also hinges on efficient inter-regional movement across our borders. As the MPO, MTC cannot effectively plan for freight in isolation Therefore, we are pursuing a multi-pronged strategy that will involve our neighboring regions, and other areas of the State.

Strategic Investment Strategies — Highway: 

Strategic Investment Strategies — Highway Inter-Regional Gateway Strategy SR-152 upgrades for improved South Bay access I-80/I-680/SR-12 interchange improvements and truck scale relocation Capacity improvements on I-580 (e.g., tolled truck lanes) US 101 widening and operational improvements I-880 Corridor Strategy Bottleneck capacity improvements Public/private information technology systems (ITS) Design deficiency improvements – interchange focus Improvements to connecting and parallel arterials Industrial preservation land use strategies

Planning Strategies: 

Planning Strategies Truck route planning (standards, coordination, and priority funding for maintenance) MTC travel model improvements Leadership in regional goods movement/land use planning — industrial land use elements for Smart Growth Technical/Financial Assistance for Goods Movement/ Land Use Planning Support best practices

The Million Dollar Question: How Do You Make It Happen?: 

The Million Dollar Question: How Do You Make It Happen? Planning with your regional neighbors (like living next to your own) requires a shared agenda and the desire to work together harmoniously. Volunteerism can be a start — but may be difficult to sustain relationships, processes and outcomes in the long run. Regions need to think differently in these situations — but do they need to “be” something else?

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