2007 August IRI Indexes I and II

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Pakistan Public Opinion Survey June 13 – July 3, 2007: 

Pakistan Public Opinion Survey June 13 – July 3, 2007

Survey Specifications: 

Survey Specifications In-person, in-home interview National representative sample of 4,000 adult residents of Pakistan. Conducted between June 12 and July 3, 2007 Margin of error is ±1.58% overall Data collected by Socio Economic Development Consultants (SEDCO)

IRI Index I: Issues & Ratings: 

IRI Index I: Issues & Ratings

Slide4: 

Do you think that Pakistan is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction?

Slide5: 

In the past year, has your personal economic situation improved, worsened, or stayed the same?

Slide6: 

Thinking about next year, do you expect the economic situation in Pakistan to get better, get worse or stay the same?

When it come to casting your vote in the next election, which of these one issues determine which party will you vote for? (Choose one): 

When it come to casting your vote in the next election, which of these one issues determine which party will you vote for? (Choose one)

Do you support the decision to suspend the Chief Justice?: 

Do you support the decision to suspend the Chief Justice?

Agree or Disagree: The Chief Justice should be reinstated: 

Agree or Disagree: The Chief Justice should be reinstated 80% Agree 11% Disagree

Do you support the government’s recent actions restricting the media coverage of the Chief Justice issue?: 

Do you support the government’s recent actions restricting the media coverage of the Chief Justice issue?

Would you support a declaration of emergency?: 

Would you support a declaration of emergency?

PML-Q voters (n=920): 

PML-Q voters (n=920)

Thinking about the violence in Karachi, who do you think is to blame for the incident?: 

Thinking about the violence in Karachi, who do you think is to blame for the incident?

Thinking again about the violence in Karachi, do you agree or disagree with the following statement: there should be an investigation into the incident and those to blame should be arrested, put on trial and punished.: 

Thinking again about the violence in Karachi, do you agree or disagree with the following statement: there should be an investigation into the incident and those to blame should be arrested, put on trial and punished. 89% Agree 4% Disagree

After the violence in Karachi, a general strike was called to protest the incident. Did you support the general strike?: 

After the violence in Karachi, a general strike was called to protest the incident. Did you support the general strike?

Do you support a roundtable conference of all parties, nongovernmental organizations and other stakeholders to resolve the current crisis?: 

Do you support a roundtable conference of all parties, nongovernmental organizations and other stakeholders to resolve the current crisis?

Agree or Disagree: I feel more secure this year than I did last year.: 

Agree or Disagree: I feel more secure this year than I did last year.

Agree or Disagree: Religious extremism is a serious problem in Pakistan.: 

Agree or Disagree: Religious extremism is a serious problem in Pakistan.

How concerned are you about the Lal Masjid (Red Mosque) issue in Islamabad?: 

How concerned are you about the Lal Masjid (Red Mosque) issue in Islamabad? 71%

Which of Lal Masjid’s activities are you most concerned about? : 

Which of Lal Masjid’s activities are you most concerned about?

In 1999, President Musharraf laid out a Seven Point Agenda for the country. How would you rate the President’s achievements on the following points?: 

In 1999, President Musharraf laid out a Seven Point Agenda for the country. How would you rate the President’s achievements on the following points?

In your opinion how has the government performed on the issues that are important to you?: 

In your opinion how has the government performed on the issues that are important to you? 38% Good 58% Poor

Slide23: 

Would you say that the ruling coalition has done a good enough job to deserve re-election?

Slide24: 

Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Musharraf is doing?

Musharraf Job Approval By Province: 

Musharraf Job Approval By Province Punjab Balochistan North West Frontier Province (NWFP) Sindh

Some people have called for the resignation of President Musharraf. Do you think he should resign?: 

Some people have called for the resignation of President Musharraf. Do you think he should resign?

Should President Pervez Musharraf be re-elected?: 

Should President Pervez Musharraf be re-elected? 33% Support 50% Support 40% Oppose 64% Oppose

Musharraf Re-election by Province: 

Musharraf Re-election by Province

Who do you believe can best steer the country out of the present crisis, Pervez Musharraf or Benazir Bhutto?: 

Who do you believe can best steer the country out of the present crisis, Pervez Musharraf or Benazir Bhutto?

Who would be the best President for Pakistan, Pervez Musharraf or Benazir Bhutto?: 

Who would be the best President for Pakistan, Pervez Musharraf or Benazir Bhutto?

Who would be the best President for Pakistan, Pervez Musharraf or Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry?: 

Who would be the best President for Pakistan, Pervez Musharraf or Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry?

Slide32: 

Which one leader do you think can best handle the problems facing Pakistan?

Best Leader by Province: 

Best Leader by Province

How would you rate each of the following political personalities? (% saying favorable): 

How would you rate each of the following political personalities? (% saying favorable)

Slide35: 

Bhutto/Musharraf: Job Approval, Favorability, Best Leader 28% 51% 46% 63% 45% 32% 24% 34% Musharraf Job Approval 60% 54% 35% Musharraf Favorability 27% 38% 45% 46% 54%

IRI Index II: Parliamentary Elections : 

IRI Index II: Parliamentary Elections

Are you registered to vote?: 

Are you registered to vote?

If not: Why are you not registered to vote? (6%; n=240): 

If not: Why are you not registered to vote? (6%; n=240)

If elections for National Assembly were held this weekend how likely is it that you would vote? : 

If elections for National Assembly were held this weekend how likely is it that you would vote? 1%

If unlikely: Why wouldn’t you vote? (11%; n=440): 

If unlikely: Why wouldn’t you vote? (11%; n=440)

Slide41: 

If the elections for National Assembly were held next week, for which party would you vote?

Party Vote By Province: 

Party Vote By Province Punjab NWFP Balochistan Sindh

How likely is it that you will support a party?: 

How likely is it that you will support a party?

The opposition parties are discussing whether or not to form a Grand Opposition Alliance to challenge the government. Would you support this Grand Alliance ?: 

The opposition parties are discussing whether or not to form a Grand Opposition Alliance to challenge the government. Would you support this Grand Alliance ?

Should MQM and PML-Q keep their governing alliance ?: 

Should MQM and PML-Q keep their governing alliance ?

Should MQM and PML-Q keep their governing alliance? (PML-Q Voters & MQM Voters) (PML-Q n=920; MQM n=80 ): 

Should MQM and PML-Q keep their governing alliance? (PML-Q Voters & MQM Voters) (PML-Q n=920; MQM n=80 )

If the election were held next week and the following parties formed coalitions, which of these coalitions would you vote for?: 

If the election were held next week and the following parties formed coalitions, which of these coalitions would you vote for?

If the election were held next week and the following parties formed coalitions, which of these coalitions would you vote for?: 

If the election were held next week and the following parties formed coalitions, which of these coalitions would you vote for?

If Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry were to form a political party to contest the elections would you support this party?: 

If Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry were to form a political party to contest the elections would you support this party?

Do you believe that elections under President Musharraf while keeping his position as head of the Army will be free and fair?: 

Do you believe that elections under President Musharraf while keeping his position as head of the Army will be free and fair?

President Musharraf recently stated that exiled leaders would NOT be allowed to participate in the next election. Do you agree or disagree with this decision?: 

President Musharraf recently stated that exiled leaders would NOT be allowed to participate in the next election. Do you agree or disagree with this decision?

When, if at all, would you like to see Benazir Bhutto return to Pakistan ?: 

When, if at all, would you like to see Benazir Bhutto return to Pakistan ?

Would you support the following scenario: Musharraf resigns from office, a caretaker government is installed and free and fair elections are held?: 

Would you support the following scenario: Musharraf resigns from office, a caretaker government is installed and free and fair elections are held?

IRI Index II: Musharraf’s Options : 

IRI Index II: Musharraf’s Options

Two factions emerged within PML-Q. The first faction believes that the charges against the Chief Justice should be withdrawn, that Musharraf should resign from the Army and he should call elections before seeking re-election himself. The second faction is opposed to these changes. Which faction do you support?: 

Two factions emerged within PML-Q. The first faction believes that the charges against the Chief Justice should be withdrawn, that Musharraf should resign from the Army and he should call elections before seeking re-election himself. The second faction is opposed to these changes. Which faction do you support?

Which PML-Q faction do you support? (Just PML-Q Voters; n=920): 

Which PML-Q faction do you support? (Just PML-Q Voters; n=920)

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: The army should have no role in civilian government: 

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: The army should have no role in civilian government

Should President Musharraf resign as Army Chief?: 

Should President Musharraf resign as Army Chief? 62% Agree 33% Disagree

Should President Pervez Musharraf be re-elected?: 

Should President Pervez Musharraf be re-elected? 33% Support Feb 07 40% Oppose 64% Oppose 50% Support June 07

Agree or disagree: President Musharraf should stand for re-election before the current assemblies.: 

Agree or disagree: President Musharraf should stand for re-election before the current assemblies. 62% Disagree 34% Agree 48% Disagree 43% Agree Feb 07 June 07

Thinking about President Musharraf, would you support his re-election if…..?: 

Thinking about President Musharraf, would you support his re-election if…..?

Should Benazir Bhutto and Pervez Musharraf make a deal?: 

Should Benazir Bhutto and Pervez Musharraf make a deal?

Should Benazir Bhutto and Pervez Musharraf make a deal? (PPPP & PML-Q Voters; PPPP n=1,280; PML-Q n=920): 

Should Benazir Bhutto and Pervez Musharraf make a deal? (PPPP & PML-Q Voters; PPPP n=1,280; PML-Q n=920)

Would you support a deal between Musharraf and Bhutto if….? : 

Would you support a deal between Musharraf and Bhutto if….?

Would you support a deal between Musharraf & Bhutto if…? (PPPP & PML-Q Voters; PPPP n=1,280; PML-Q n=920): 

Would you support a deal between Musharraf & Bhutto if…? (PPPP & PML-Q Voters; PPPP n=1,280; PML-Q n=920)

There is talk that President Musharraf and Benazir Bhutto are going to make a deal. People are saying that if a deal is made, PML-Q and PPPP will break into factions. If this happens which faction would you support?: 

There is talk that President Musharraf and Benazir Bhutto are going to make a deal. People are saying that if a deal is made, PML-Q and PPPP will break into factions. If this happens which faction would you support?

If PML-Q & PPPP break into factions, which faction would you support? (PPPP & PML-Q Voters; PPPP n=1,280; PML-Q n=920): 

If PML-Q & PPPP break into factions, which faction would you support? (PPPP & PML-Q Voters; PPPP n=1,280; PML-Q n=920)

If the election were held next week and the following parties formed coalitions, which of these coalitions would you vote for?: 

If the election were held next week and the following parties formed coalitions, which of these coalitions would you vote for?