Introduction to Comparative Politics: Introduction to Comparative Politics Lecture #14
Building a New Russian State
Agenda for today: Agenda for today Russia after Communism
Yeltsin’s Challenges
Constitutional Design
Yeltsin to Putin
The Putin presidency
Russia: The World’s Largest State: Russia: The World’s Largest State Territory
6.6 Million square miles - almost twice the US
Population
145 Million (half of the US)
Most rapid decline of any major state (death rate = 2 x birth rate)
Multinational, though less so than the USSR (Russians 80%+)
Religion
Orthodox 72%
Muslim 6%
Catholic 2%
Protestant 1%
Jewish < 1%
Legacy of an atheist state
Economy
Current GNP per capita: $ 4,000.
Declining 1991-98, increasing 1998-
Labor force: 14% Agriculture, 23% Service
Yeltsin’s Challenges: Yeltsin’s Challenges 1. Keeping Russia Together
Sovereignty Movements in Chechnia, Tatarstan, Sahka Republic
Federalism, Bilateral Agreements with State Governors, Force (in Chechnia)
2. Preventing a Return to Communism
Seizure of CPSU Property
Dissolution of Congress of People’s Deputies 1993
Cooptation of Managers, Directors
3. Economic Stagnation and Government Indebtedness
1991-98 Recession: 50% Contraction, Worse Than U.S. Great Depression
Economic Output 2001: Equal to the Netherlands
Privatization: Advantageous Sales To Managers, Banks (Crony Capitalism)
1991-2001: Private Sector Grows From 5% To 70%
Foreign Capital Deterred By Corruption, Crime
4. Poverty and Social Problems
40% Official Poverty Rate; Moscow Boom, Rural Bust
Death Rate Twice the Birth Rate
Declining Life Expectancy (Especially For Men: 65 to 58)
5. Creating A Rule of Law
Constitutional Court
Strengthening Individual Liberties
Problems: Corruption, Yeltsin’s Extra-Constitutional Rule
Russian Constitution: Russian Constitution FEDERALISM
89 Subjects, Of Which 21 Republics (More Autonomous)
Powers Negotiated Bilaterally With President
Governors represented In Federation Council
PRESIDENTIAL GOVERNMENT
Popular Election By Majority, Double-Ballot Vote
4-Year Term, Two-Term Limit
Eligibility: 35 Years Minimum (As For U. S. President)
Appoints Prime Minister, Cabinet, Constitutional Court
May Dissolve Parliament (Restrictions)
Presidential Administration (Foreign Policy, Defense, Federalism)
Powers: Legislative Veto, Decree
Russian Political Institutions: Russian Political Institutions EXECUTIVE BRANCH
Prime Minister (Head Of Government): Mikhail Fradkov
Leads Cabinet, Makes Most Cabinet Appointments
Most Cabinet Members Not Parliamentarians Or Partisans
Appointed By President, Approved By And Accountable To Duma
BICAMERAL PARLIAMENT: FEDERAL ASSEMBLY
Duma: 450 Members, Directly Elected
Mixed Electoral System: 1/2 Pr, 1/2 Smdp
Initiates Legislation and can hold cabinet accountable
Federation Council: 178 Members
Indirectly Appointed By Regional Leaders (2 Per Region)
Must Approve Appointments and is involved in Federal, Foreign, And Security Policy
CONSTITUTIONAL COURT
Judicial Review
19 Members, Appointed By President, Confirmed By Fed. Council
Independent But Reluctant To Challenge President
Russian Political Parties: Russian Political Parties Very low level of trust in parties and politicians
CPSU only legal party in the USSR until 1990 (Article 6 of Const.)
Lost property in 1991, continued operation in post-Soviet society
Main Russian party on the left after 1991
Other parties loosely organized and volatile
Democratic, pro-market reformers (“right”)
Nationalists (Liberal Democrats, which are neither)
Presidential parties (“center-right”)
Independent deputies, often with ties to regional politicians
The Yeltsin Years: The Yeltsin Years January-October 1992: Economic “shock therapy,” Privatization
April 1993: Referendum on Yeltsin's Presidency (59% approve)
September-October 1993: Yeltsin Dissolves Congress of People's Deputies; Violent confrontation at "White House" (Parliament Bldg.)
December 12, 1993: New Russian Constitution adopted in Referendum; Duma Elections
December 1994: Russian Troops Enter Chechnia to Suppress Rebels
June-July 1996: Yeltsin Wins Presidential Election on Second Ballot, Defeating Communist Candidate Ziuganov
August 1998: Economic Crisis: Russian Government Defaults on Loans and Devalues Ruble; Economic Recovery Then Begins
December 31,1999: Yeltsin resigns and hand-picks Prime Minister Vladimir Putin as his successor
Yeltsin’s Legacy: Yeltsin’s Legacy Largely constitutional rule after 1993
“Revolving door” of prime ministers
Accommodation with regional governors, acceptance of local corruption
Massive move toward capitalist economy
Iffy privatization policies, crony capitalism
Reliance on “oligarchs”
Reliance on close circles of friends and family
Frequent illness in later years of presidency
Slide11: Vladimir Putin
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Vladimir Putin
1952-
Vladimir Putin: Vladimir Putin New generation: 21 years younger than Yeltsin/Gorbachev
Humble background in Leningrad
Lawyer
Recruited to KGB in 1975
Held political office in St. Petersburg
Recruited by Yeltsin in 1996
Prime Minister 1999
Hand-picked successor to Yeltsin 1999
The Putin Presidency, 2000-: The Putin Presidency, 2000- March 2000: Vladimir Putin Elected President on First Ballot against Ziuganov
Confrontation with governors, attempt to centralize authority
Direct election of governors rescinded
Confrontation with “oligarchs”
Yukos scandal, prosecution of Khodorkovsky and Berezovsky
August 2000: Kursk submarine accident
2003: Putin’s supporters win overwhelming parliamentary election victory
March 2004: Putin reelected with 71% of the vote
September 2004: Beslan school terrorist attack
Putin as “latter-day Andropov”