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INDIA : THE NEXT FIVE YEARS: 

INDIA : THE NEXT FIVE YEARS FEDERATION OF INDIAN CHAMBERS OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY PRESENTATION BY DR. AMIT MITRA SECRETARY GENERAL

INDIA: A BUOYANT ECONOMY: 

INDIA: A BUOYANT ECONOMY GDP GROWTH PICKED UP FROM 1.3% IN 1991-92 TO 7.8% IN 1996-97. THOUGH GDP GROWTH SLOWED DOWN FROM 5.8% IN 2001-02 TO 4% IN 2002-03, IT IS NOW STEPPED UP TO A RECORD 8.5% IN 2003-04 AND IS ESTIMATED TO BE 6.9% IN 2004-05. FICCI HAS WORKED OUT AN ECONOMIC AGENDA FOR BOOSTING GDP GROWTH TO 10% OVER THE NEXT FIVE YEARS

SHARE OF SERVICES SECTOR IN GDP HAS GONE UP SIGNIFICANTLY (%): 

SHARE OF SERVICES SECTOR IN GDP HAS GONE UP SIGNIFICANTLY (%)

INDIA’S DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND WILL CONTINUE TILL 2025 (% share of age groups): 

INDIA’S DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND WILL CONTINUE TILL 2025 (% share of age groups) India will remain a young nation with the median age going up from 21 in 2000 to 26 in 2025

POVERTY LEVEL HAS DECLINED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE NINETIES: 

POVERTY LEVEL HAS DECLINED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE NINETIES

ONLY GERMANY AND JAPAN HAS LOWER INCOME INEQUALITY THAN INDIA: 

ONLY GERMANY AND JAPAN HAS LOWER INCOME INEQUALITY THAN INDIA

HIGH INCOME HOUSEHOLD GROUP IS THE FASTEST GROWING SEGMENT IN INDIA TODAY: 2001-2006: 

HIGH INCOME HOUSEHOLD GROUP IS THE FASTEST GROWING SEGMENT IN INDIA TODAY: 2001-2006

CORPORATE GROWTH AND PROFITS HAVE BEEN VERY BUOYANT: 

CORPORATE GROWTH AND PROFITS HAVE BEEN VERY BUOYANT

MORE THAN 5000 COMPANIES ARE LISTED ON THE STOCK MARKETS: 

MORE THAN 5000 COMPANIES ARE LISTED ON THE STOCK MARKETS

FOREIGN INVESTMENTS MADE BY INDIAN COMPANIES ARE ON THE RISE: 

FOREIGN INVESTMENTS MADE BY INDIAN COMPANIES ARE ON THE RISE

SHARP REDUCTION IN IMPORT TARIFFS: 

SHARP REDUCTION IN IMPORT TARIFFS

Slide12: 

WE HAVE OPENED UP THE EXTERNAL SECTOR

GLOBAL INTEGRATION OF THE INDIAN ECONOMY IN PERSPECTIVE: 

GLOBAL INTEGRATION OF THE INDIAN ECONOMY IN PERSPECTIVE

SOFTWARE EXPORTS REMAIN BUOYANT: 

SOFTWARE EXPORTS REMAIN BUOYANT

INDIAN FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES: YEARLY TRENDS: 

INDIAN FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES: YEARLY TRENDS 2004-05 figures are for the period till December 3, 2004

Slide16: 

ADVANTAGE INDIA-HUMAN RESOURCES Stock of over 3 million scientific & technical manpower Today India turns out more than 50,000 computer professionals and 360,000 engineering graduates each year. After US, India is home to largest pool of English speaking scientific manpower. ALL THESE SUBSTANTIALLY BOOSTS INDIA’S CAPABILITY IN SUNRISE KNOWLEDGE INDUSTRIES-Drugs & Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology, Information Technology,Space Industry,Speciality Chemicals and Petrochemicals, Entertainment Software, Engineering Products

KNOWLEDGE INDUSTRY: ENROLMENT IN GRADUATE COURSES SOAR UP: 

KNOWLEDGE INDUSTRY: ENROLMENT IN GRADUATE COURSES SOAR UP

MORE THAN 8 MILLION STUDENTS SECURE GRADUATE AND HIGHER DEGREES FROM UNIVERSITIES AND AFFLIATED COLLEGES: 

MORE THAN 8 MILLION STUDENTS SECURE GRADUATE AND HIGHER DEGREES FROM UNIVERSITIES AND AFFLIATED COLLEGES

SOFTWARE INDUSTRY: PROJECTED GROWTH : 

SOFTWARE INDUSTRY: PROJECTED GROWTH

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY: THE GROWTH DRIVERS: 

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY: THE GROWTH DRIVERS Application outsourcing revenues in 2008 to be $ 11 billion, from software installation and support $ 5 billion, from customs application development $ 4 billion, from system integration $ 4 billion. BPO currently employs 100,000 people and 50% is by transnational corporations GE capital, American Express, Standard Chartered, AOL Time Warner, HSBC, Lufthansa, McKinsey and so on. Gartner estimates that BPO revenue will go up from $ 1.2 billion in 2003 to $ 13.8 billion in 2007. Venture capital and angel investments to increase from $1 .4 billion in 2001-02 to $ 10 billion in 2007-08

INDIAN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY: 

INDIAN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY Production valued at $5.5 billion and growing at twice the global growth rate. Projections for 2010 is $ 25 billon. India’s ranks 5th in volume and accounts for 8% of value of global output. Exports touched $ 1.6 billion in 2003-04 with 15% going to USA, the most quality conscious market. At least 20 manufacturers have US FDA accreditation. The top Indian pharma companies have added drug discovery units to the research centers viz. Cipla, Dr. Reddy’s labs., Ranbaxy, Wockhardt etc. Increasing stress of biotechnology and bio-informatics for novel drug delivery system.

Slide22: 

More than 900 companies in traditional biotech products. At least 45 companies in modern biotechnology Consumption in 1999 was $1.78 billion and projected to go to $4.27 billion by 2010 Research and development costs for bio tech products in India is less than half the $500-1000 million cost in the developed countries Opportunities exists for fresh investments of $ 1.5-2 billion in the Indian biotech sector in next 5-7 years BIOTECHNOLOGY: INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN INDIA

THE FAST GROWING TELECOM NETWORK (MILLION): 

THE FAST GROWING TELECOM NETWORK (MILLION) * April-December THE CELLULAR NETWORK IS NOW LARGER THAN THE FIXED LINE NETWORK

GROWTH OF CONSUMER SPENDING ON COMMUNICATIONS: 

GROWTH OF CONSUMER SPENDING ON COMMUNICATIONS

TELECOM INVESTMENT SCENARIO: 

TELECOM INVESTMENT SCENARIO Monthly addition of mobile telephones almost touched 2 million in December 2004. Call rates declined by 36.6 % in 2004. Last five years the telecom market grew at an annual rate of 22.6%. Vast potential exists as tele density was only 8.62% 2004 The composite foreign holding in the telecom sector has been now raised to 74%. Telecom industry revenues tol be $ 13 billion by 2007; investment requirements is $ 22 billion; of which $ 8 billion is for fixed lines, $ 10 billion for cellular, $ 2 billion for domestic network etc

BUOYANCY IN THE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY: 

BUOYANCY IN THE AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY India is the fifth largest passenger car market and second largest small car market in the world Auto majors in India include General Motors, Ford, Mercedes, Mitsubishi, Toyota, Honda, Hyundai, Volkswagen, Suzuki, Hyundai, Daewoo, Peugeot, Fiat McKinsey projects auto ancillary production to go from $ 6.7 billion in 2003-04 to $ 40 billion by 2014-15 (CAGR 17.6%) and exports from $ 1 billion to $ 25 billion (CAGR 34%). Share of exports will go up from 15% to 63% of total production.

PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT COST FOR A SPECIAL UTILITY VEHICLES IN INDIA WAS HARDLY 10% OF THE COSTS IN THE UNITED STATES. : 

PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT COST FOR A SPECIAL UTILITY VEHICLES IN INDIA WAS HARDLY 10% OF THE COSTS IN THE UNITED STATES.

GROWTH OF AUTOMOBILE EXPORTS: 

GROWTH OF AUTOMOBILE EXPORTS

INDIAN CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRY: 

INDIAN CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRY Characterized by a wide range of products; a legacy of the earlier import substitution policy. Contributes 9-12% of value added in manufacturing sector and production valued at $ 25 billion in 2003-04. Exports of capital goods was $ 4.8 billion and imports was at $ 17.1 billion in 2003-04. Production projected to go to $ 32 billion in 2007 and $ 51billion by 2012 and exports to $ 6 billion and $ 15 billion respectively. Share of capital goods exports in domestic production is go up from 5% in 2001 to 20% in 2007 and further to 30% by 2012

INDIAN CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRY: THE GROWTH POTENTIAL: 

INDIAN CAPITAL GOODS INDUSTRY: THE GROWTH POTENTIAL

MORE THAN A 100 GLOBAL COMPANIES OUTSOURCE R& D FACILITIES FROM INDIA INCLUDING-------: 

MORE THAN A 100 GLOBAL COMPANIES OUTSOURCE R& D FACILITIES FROM INDIA INCLUDING-------

GLOBAL COMPANIES OUTSOURCING INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS FROM INDIA INCLUDE  : 

GLOBAL COMPANIES OUTSOURCING INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTS FROM INDIA INCLUDE  

INDIA SCORES HIGHEST IN LOCATIONAL ADVANTAGES FOR BUSINESS PROCESS OUTSOURCING : ATKEARNEY: 

INDIA SCORES HIGHEST IN LOCATIONAL ADVANTAGES FOR BUSINESS PROCESS OUTSOURCING : ATKEARNEY

FICCI’s FDI Survey Findings in 2004 indicate: 

FICCI’s FDI Survey Findings in 2004 indicate 77% of the foreign companies are making profits in their Indian operations. A further 9% are breaking even. Nearly three fourths are able to meet or surpass their profitability targets 86% of the foreign companies have plans for expansion of their Indian operations.   73% of the foreign companies rated India as neutral to positive as an investment destination.   An impressive 93% of the foreign companies perceive opportunities for further FDI in their own industry.

A T KEARNEY FDI CONFIDENCE INDEX 2004: 

A T KEARNEY FDI CONFIDENCE INDEX 2004

Slide36: 

TO CONCLUDE INDIA IS GOING THROUGH AN EPOCHAL TRANSFORMATION TO BECOME ONE OF THE FASTEST GROWING EMERGING ECONOMIES. WE ARE BRACING UP TO FACE THE GLOBAL CHALLENGES IN THE NEW ECONOMY. WE ARE MORE OPTIMISTIC THAN EVER BEFORE. FURTHER POLICY REFORMS IN THE INFRASTRUCTURE SECTOR AND THE LABOR MARKETS AND IMPROVED GOVERNANCE WILL HELP PUSH US UP TO A HIGHER GROWTH PATH.