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Slide1: 

Labor Trends in Northwest Wisconsin

Slide2: 

In the last 20 years the population increased 6% and the labor force expanded 25%. The northwest population is growing primarily from new residents who move to the area. The population in NW Wisconsin is projected to increase 7% by 2020 … but the labor force will increase only 3 - 4%. By 2020, 23 percent of the population will be over the age of 65. Population and Labor Force

Historic and Projected Population and Labor Force: 

Historic and Projected Population and Labor Force Source: WI Dept of Admin, Demographic Services, DWD Local Area Unemployment Statistics, OEA

Components of population change in Northwest Wisconsin: 2000 - 2005: 

Components of population change in Northwest Wisconsin: 2000 - 2005

NW Wisconsin Population & Labor Force by Age in 2000: 

NW Wisconsin Population & Labor Force by Age in 2000 = 89,700 Source: US Census 2000 =143,026

Slide6: 

Labor Force Participation in 2000 Wisconsin = 69.1% United States = 63.9% Source: US Census Bureau, Census 2000

Labor Force Participation by Age Group: 

Labor Force Participation by Age Group Source: Census 2000

NW Wisconsin Population & Labor Force by Age in 2015: 

NW Wisconsin Population & Labor Force by Age in 2015 = 97,600 Source: special tabulation using Census 2000 & WI Demographic Services population projections = 158,450 62%

Labor Force Distribution by Age: 

Labor Force Distribution by Age 89,700 98,500 92,700

Slide10: 

Civilian Non-institutional Population Not in the labor force 16+ years old = labor force age population Under 16 years old Not interested in work Civilian Labor Force Working or looking for work

Current Population Survey - CPS: 

Current Population Survey - CPS Conducted nationwide by Census Bureau every month during the week that includes the 12th day Includes 60,000 households nationwide/1,450 in Wisconsin (same household for a 1 yr period) Survey determines who is: Employed - Worked full or part time for pay or profit Includes 15 hrs of unpaid work for family-run business Temporarily absent from work because of illness vacation bad weather industrial dispute Multiple jobholders are counted only once Unemployed - Did not work at all during the survey week AND Made specific active efforts to find work in the last 4 weeks Were available for work (unless temporarily ill but otherwise employed) Reflects seasonally job holders who enter the labor force in spring & depart in the fall Not in the labor force Retirees Choose to stay at home Students (not working) Marginally attached to labor force looked for work in last 12 months (but not in the last 4 weeks) discouraged job seekers

Slide12: 

Employed Not in labor force Unemployed

Labor Force, Employment & Jobs: 

Labor Force, Employment & Jobs Source: WI DWD, Bureau of Workforce Information

Slide14: 

An average of 92,840 residents in NW Wisconsin were employed in 2005, including self-employed, farmers, owner/operators, and job-holders. There was an average of 74,200 jobs in 2005 - a new high – in NW Wisconsin. Female workers out-number male workers in NW Wisconsin: 50.6 vs 49.4% 43% of the workers in NW Wisconsin are aged 45 years or over. 60% of all workers with a Bachelor’s degree or more are aged 45 years or over. Labor Force and Jobs

Nonfarm Jobs Added 1980-1990 Northwest Wisconsin: 

Nonfarm Jobs Added 1980-1990 Northwest Wisconsin Source: DWD, Small County Employment Estimates, 2006 Total = 7,920 Transportation, Comm, Utilities -510 Government -120

Nonfarm Jobs Added 1990-2000 Northwest Wisconsin: 

Nonfarm Jobs Added 1990-2000 Northwest Wisconsin Source: DWD, Small County Employment Estimates, 2006 Total = 14,511

Nonfarm Jobs Added in 2005 Northwest Wisconsin: 

Nonfarm Jobs Added in 2005 Northwest Wisconsin Source: DWD, Small County Employment Estimates, 2006 Total = 700

Total nonfarm jobs in Northwest Wisconsin: 

Total nonfarm jobs in Northwest Wisconsin 4,500

Nonfarm Jobs in 2005 Northwest Wisconsin: 

Nonfarm Jobs in 2005 Northwest Wisconsin Source: DWD, Small County Employment Estimates, 2006 Total = 74,230

10 Largest Industry Sectors -45% of the jobs-: 

10 Largest Industry Sectors -45% of the jobs- Ambulatory Health Care Services Food and Beverage Stores Truck Transportation Hospitals Food Manufacturing Education services Executive, Legislative, & General Government Food Services & Drinking Places Wood Product Mfg Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

Greater share of employment than in U.S. (higher location quotient): 

Greater share of employment than in U.S. (higher location quotient) Sector name LQ NW% US% Manufacturing 31 1.2 2.6% 2.2% Manufacturing 32 2.9 10.7% 3.7% Retail trade 44 1.0 9.9% 9.4% Transportation 1.5 4.1% 2.7% Arts, Entertainment, Recreation 1.3 2.2% 1.7% Accommodation & Food Service 1.1 10.6% 9.8%

Slide22: 

311 Food 312 Beverage & tobacco 314 Textile products 315 Apparel 316 Leather & related 321 Wood 322 Paper 323 Printing & support 324 Petroleum & coal 325 Chemical 326 Plastics & rubber 327 Nonmetalic mineral 481 Air 482 Rail 483 Water 484 Truck 485 Transit & ground passenger 486 Pipeline 487 Scenic & sightseeing 488 Support activities 441 Motor vehicle & parts 442 Furniture & home 443 Electronics & appliance 444 Bldg mat. & garden equip. 445 Food & beverage 446 Health & personal care 447 Gasoline 448 Clothing & accessories 711 Performing arts, spectator sports 712 Museums, historical sites 713 Amusements, gambling 721 Accommodation 722 Food & drinking

Age of Workers with Northwest Employers : 

Age of Workers with Northwest Employers Source: US Census, Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics

Age of Workers with Northwest Manufacturers: 

Source: US Census, Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Age of Workers with Northwest Manufacturers All = 4.2%

Age of Workers with Northwest Health Care Providers: 

Source: US Census, Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Age of Workers with Northwest Health Care Providers All = 7.8%

Age of Workers with Northwest Retailers: 

Source: US Census, Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Age of Workers with Northwest Retailers All = 9.3%

Age of Workers with Northwest Accommodation and Food Service: 

Source: US Census, Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Age of Workers with Northwest Accommodation and Food Service All = 15.6%

Sex of Workers with NW Employers: 

Sex of Workers with NW Employers Source: US Census, Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics

Slide29: 

88% 17% 32% >1%

Slide30: 

2004 Annual Average Wage Source: DWD, BWI, Census of Employment & Wages U. S. - $39,348 Wisconsin - $34,749

Slide31: 

Occupation Projections Employment by industry from Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Industry-occupation matrix Occupation Employment Survey identifies occupations employed in specific industries Used for monthly employment estimates Industry demand projected Hourly wages Estimate for self-employed

Occupation group distribution & wages: 

Occupation group distribution & wages

Nonfarm Jobs: Actual & Projected: 

Nonfarm Jobs: Actual & Projected

Industry projections 2002 - 2012: 

Industry projections 2002 - 2012

NW Job Growth by Industry 2002-2012 : 

NW Job Growth by Industry 2002-2012

Occupation Distribution in Northwest WI in 2002: 

Occupation Distribution in Northwest WI in 2002

Occupation Distribution in Northwest WI in 2012: 

Occupation Distribution in Northwest WI in 2012

Projected new jobs: 2002 - 2012: 

Projected new jobs: 2002 - 2012 Source: WI, Office of Economic Advisors, October 2004

16 occupations with most new jobs: 

16 occupations with most new jobs Truck Drivers, Heavy Nursing Aides Registered Nurses Cashiers Retail Salespersons Waiters/Waitresses Comb. Food Prep. (incl. fast food) Carpenters Personal & Home Care Aides Janitors & Cleaners Office Clerks/General Bartenders Maids/Housekeeping Cleaners Sales Reps, Whlsl & Mfg General & Operations Mgrs Maintenance & Repair Workers, General

Occupations with most new jobs 2002-2012 (annual openings): 

Occupations with most new jobs 2002-2012 (annual openings)

Projected annual openings: 2002 - 2012: 

Projected annual openings: 2002 - 2012 Source: WI, Office of Economic Advisors, October 2004

16 occupation with most openings: 

16 occupation with most openings Cashiers Waiters/Waitresses Retail Salespersons Truck Drivers, Heavy/Tractor-Trailer Comb. Food Prep. Including fast food Nursing Aides Registered Nurses Bartenders Carpenters Office Clerks/General Laborers-Freight, Stock, Material Movers: Hand Personal & Home Care Aides Janitors/Cleaners Maids/Housekeeping Cleaners Sales Reps, Whlsl/Mfg Elementary School Teachers, not Special Ed

Occupations with most annual openings 2002-2012: 

Occupations with most annual openings 2002-2012

16 Occupations with greatest % increase: 

16 Occupations with greatest % increase Home Health Aides Personal Care Aides Social/Human Service Assistants Registered Nurses Preschool Teachers Electricians Receptionists & Information Clerks Bus Drivers, School Child Care Workers Counter and Rental Clerks Plumbers, Pipefitters, Steamfitters Hairdressers/Cosmetologists Carpenters Truck Drivers, Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Nursing Aides Child/Family/School Social Workers

Jobs added annually by occupations with fastest growth: 

Jobs added annually by occupations with fastest growth

Distribution of jobs by training: 2012: 

Distribution of jobs by training: 2012 Source: WI DWD, Office of Economic Advisors, Employment Projections

Distribution of jobs by training: 2012: 

Distribution of jobs by training: 2012 Source: WI DWD, Office of Economic Advisors, Employment Projections

Projected Job Openings by Training 2002 - 2012: 

Projected Job Openings by Training 2002 - 2012 Source: WI DWD, OEA, Employment Projections, 2002-2012

NW Education by Age Group: 

NW Education by Age Group Source: US Census 2000

Percent with education or training beyond high school: 2000: 

Percent with education or training beyond high school: 2000 Wisconsin = 50.5% United States = 51.8% Source: Census 2000, SF3, PCT-25

Top occupations (by sex) with post-secondary ed.: 

Top occupations (by sex) with post-secondary ed. Elementary/middle school teacher Registered nurse Secretary Bookkeeper/acct. clerk Nurse/home aide Accountant/auditor Office clerk Cashier Customer service rep. Retail salesperson 1st-line suprv/mgr. retail Carpenter Driver/sales worker Elem./middle schl. teacher Manager 1st-line suprv. prod. wrkr. Janitor/bldg. cleaner Farmer/rancher Auto service tech/mech. Secondary schl. teacher

Percent with Bachelor’s degree and more: 2000: 

Percent with Bachelor’s degree and more: 2000 Wisconsin = 22.4% United States = 24.4% Source: Census 2000, SF3, PCT-25

Top occupations (by sex) with Bachelor’s degree or more: 

Top occupations (by sex) with Bachelor’s degree or more Elementary/middle teacher Registered nurse Secondary teacher Postsecondary teacher Social worker Accountant/auditor Secretary/Adm. assist. Counselor Special ed. teacher Med/hlth service mgr. Elementary/middle teacher Secondary teacher Lawyer Manager Education administrator Postsecondary teacher Clergy Physician/surgeon Accountant/auditor 1st-line suprv/mgr. retail

Beverly Gehrke Labor Market Analyst Dept. of Workforce Development 715-634-5289 Beverly.Gehrke@dwd.state.wi.us www.dwd.state.wi.us/oea: 

Beverly Gehrke Labor Market Analyst Dept. of Workforce Development 715-634-5289 Beverly.Gehrke@dwd.state.wi.us www.dwd.state.wi.us/oea