Presentation Transcript
Slide1 : Health Challenge Wales: alcohol misuse Preventing Alcohol Related Violence Jonathan Shepherd FMedSci
Professor of Oral & Maxillofacial Surgery Director, Violence Research Group
SITE AND TYPE OF INJURY IN CONSECUTIVE ASSAULT VICTIMS : SITE AND TYPE OF INJURY IN CONSECUTIVE ASSAULT VICTIMS Number of Patients (n=530) Face
Other head/neck
Thorax
Abdomen
Lower limb
Upper limb
INCIDENCE OF VIOLENCE/MAXILLOFACIAL INJURY : INCIDENCE OF VIOLENCE/MAXILLOFACIAL INJURY Death rate: 28.8/100,000 population worldwide 2000. (WHO 2003)
Mean annual risk of assault injury in UK 1995-2000/10,000 population (Sivarajasingam et al 2004)
75: males
26: females
28: Southeast
100: Northwest
76,000 assault patients treated by UK Maxillofacial services in 1997. (BAOMS Face Injury Survey 1998).
Antisocial lifestyles include offending and injury (Shepherd et al 2004)
RECORDING OF VIOLENT OFFENCES BY THE POLICE : RECORDING OF VIOLENT OFFENCES BY THE POLICE Crime Surveys in Sweden, UK and US demonstrate low recording rates
Police recording varies by victim age and gender and violence location
23% of people injured in violence (hospital data) recorded by police
Slide7 : VIOLENCE IN ODENSE MUNICIPALITY 1403 (100%) victims 869 (62%) victims 327 (23%) victims 207 (15%) victims ODENSE UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL POLICE (Faergemann 2006)
Slide8 : Police recording not related statistically to Injury Severity Scores
13% of firearm violence recorded in Atlanta EDs not recorded by police
Slide10 : -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Before CCTV Control towns CCTV towns Percentage change After CCTV EFFECT OF CCTV ON POLICE VIOLENCE DETECTION
Slide11 : EFFECT OF CCTV ON A&E ASSAULT ATTENDANCE Control towns After CCTV Percentage change Before CCTV CCTV towns
Slide12 : Trends in Violence in England and Wales
Slide14 : Community Safety Partnership
CARDIFF VIOLENCE PREVENTION GROUP
Slide15 : OBJECTIVES Violence prevention
Integrated victim services
Slide16 : CRIME AND DISORDER ACT 1998 334 partnerships Persons/bodies with statutory obligations include: Health Authorities National Health Trusts POLICE REFORM ACT 2002 Local Health Boards Primary Care Trusts
Slide17 : “To improve understanding of prevalence of disease … much greater use needs to be made of primary care data. [Their] potential … to guide both national understanding and lead activity must be fully realised.” WANLESS 2004 UK Treasury Adviser
Slide19 : National/Regional measurement
ED data
Local surveillance/prevention
Slide20 : INDEPENDENT NATIONAL CORRELATES WITH ASSAULT INJURY (ED measure) Unemployment/Deprivation
Ethnic minority population
Alcohol expenditure
Lager price
Season
VIOLENCE HOTSPOTS IN 21st CENTURY CARDIFF : VIOLENCE HOTSPOTS IN 21st CENTURY CARDIFF
CHOLERA HOTSPOTS IN VICTORIAN LONDON : CHOLERA HOTSPOTS IN VICTORIAN LONDON
TARGETED POLICING : TARGETED POLICING Combined ED/Police intelligence
High visibility/covert operations
Patrols
Day-time liaison with licensees
Redeployment
Door-staff regulation/enforcement
Fast-food outlet relocation
Traffic flow/car-park improvement
EVALUATION : EVALUATION Marked decreases in assault injury in target premises
Significantly greater decrease in assault injury in premises targeted by police and ED compared with targeted policing alone (OR=0.6. 95% CI 0.37-0.97)
Marked increase in street assault in main entertainment thoroughfare
Licensed premises capacity predicted street assaults
Slide26 : Monthly Assault Attendances – Cardiff ED
VIOLENCE PREVENTION : VIOLENCE PREVENTION Primary prevention Community RCT of toughened glass
Secondary prevention Court and Clinic RCTs of alcohol misuse motivational interview
Tertiary prevention RCT of cognitive behavioural therapy to prevent post traumatic stress disorder
Slide29 : Primary Prevention: glass injury
Slide30 : Toughened glass Non-toughened glass
RCT OF TOUGHENED GLASSES : RCT OF TOUGHENED GLASSES 57 UK Bars randomised to toughened or non-toughened beer glasses.
Injury data from 1,229 bar workers.
Relative Risk: 1.5 (95% CI:1.1-2.3). Injury rate 60% higher in intervention group.
But, impact resistance of toughened glasses significantly higher: double blind trial
Conclusion: toughened glass resulted in lower injury risk.
Slide32 : Secondary Prevention RCT OF A BRIEF ALCOHOL (motivational interviewing) INTERVENTION: Victims Maxillofacial clinics
Men aged 16-35 with facial injury
7 units in 6 hours pre-injury
Slide33 : ABSTINENT DAYS Abstinent Days (± Standard Error) Baseline 3 months 12 months Control Group
Intervention Group 65 60 55 50 45 40 35
Slide34 : Re-offending at 12 months 95%CI= -0.11, +0.14 MAGISTRATES COURT RCT: Offenders
Slide35 : Injury at 12 months 95%CI= -0.23, -0.009*
Slide36 : MAGISTRATES COURT RCT: Offenders No effect on alcohol misuse
No effect on offending
Significant reduction in injury
In sum, reducing alcohol misuse may reduce victim vulnerability more than the propensity to offend
Slide37 : Tertiary Prevention: post traumatic stress
RCT: FOUR SESSION COGNITIVE BEHAVIOURAL THERAPY : RCT: FOUR SESSION COGNITIVE BEHAVIOURAL THERAPY Bisson, Shepherd, Joy, Probert & Newcombe (2004)
Slide39 : PREVENTING COMMUNITY VIOLENCE
Combining care with prevention Secondary Prevention: alcohol misuse
intervention Victim contacted to identify: Physical injury treated
Core assault data recorded and anonymised
Victim advised on police reporting Mental health needs Circumstances of assault Primary Prevention Tertiary Prevention: cognitive behavioural therapy
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