logging in or signing up jim kliesch 02 12 04 Cuthbert Download Post to : URL : Related Presentations : Share Add to Flag Embed Email Send to Blogs and Networks Add to Channel Uploaded from authorPOINTLite Insert YouTube videos in PowerPont slides with aS Desktop Copy embed code: (To copy code, click on the text box) Embed: URL: Thumbnail: WordPress Embed Customize Embed The presentation is successfully added In Your Favorites. Views: 85 Category: Entertainment License: All Rights Reserved Like it (0) Dislike it (0) Added: November 16, 2007 This Presentation is Public Favorites: 0 Presentation Description No description available. Comments Posting comment... Premium member Presentation Transcript Getting the Green Light: An Environmental Assessment of Today’s Passenger Vehicles: Getting the Green Light: An Environmental Assessment of Today’s Passenger Vehicles James Kliesch American Council for an Energy-Efficient EconomyTopical Overview: Topical Overview Why should we be concerned? What makes a vehicle green/mean? How “green” has changed (or not) over the last five years Top stories of 2004 Crystal ball: what lies aheadWhy be concerned?: Why be concerned? Every 2 seconds in this country, a new vehicle is purchased Every other one of those is a light duty truck (pickup, minivan, SUV), typically with higher tailpipe emissions and lower fuel economy U.S. passenger vehicles consume ~125 billion gallons of gasoline each year.Vehicle miles traveled (VMT) continue to grow: Vehicle miles traveled (VMT) continue to growHow do you address consumption & emissions?: How do you address consumption & emissions? One way: promote the manufacture and purchase of clean, efficient vehicles.ACEEE’s Green Book®: ACEEE’s Green Book® Consumer guide, produced annually since Feb 1998 7th edition (model year ‘04) released 2/10/04 Available at www.GreenerCars.comGreenerCars.com: GreenerCars.com Three main aspects to the website: Popular Tables (Greenest, Meanest, Best-in-Class) General consumer info on vehicles and the environment, how to buy green, etc. Database of all MY2000-2004 vehicles/configurations (approx. 6,200 listings), and their “Green Scores”What Determines a Vehicle’s Green-ness?: What Determines a Vehicle’s Green-ness? Fuel Economy Affects overall GHG emissions, plus non-regulated tailpipe pollutants (ex. SOx, N2O) Affects upstream emissions Tailpipe Emissions A vehicle’s emission standard specifies quantity of CO, HC, NOx, PM emitted Embodied Emissions (to lesser degree)Emission Standard Primer: Emission Standard Primer California LEV I ULEV I LEV II ULEV II SULEV II PZEV Federal Tier 2 bin 11 Tier 2 bin 10 … Tier 2 bin 5 ... Tier 2 bin 2 Tier 2 bin 1Select Tier 1 and Tier 2 Full Useful Life Exhaust Emission Standards: Select Tier 1 and Tier 2 Full Useful Life Exhaust Emission StandardsGreen Vehicles Have...: Green Vehicles Have... High Fuel Economy Low Tailpipe Emissions Generally, what are those today? Hybrid-electric vehicles Fuel efficient gasoline vehicles that meet stringent emission standards CNG vehicles Mean Vehicles Have...: Mean Vehicles Have... Low Fuel Economy Bare-minimum Tailpipe Emissions Generally, what are those today? Large SUVs Large pickup trucks Performance-oriented sports cars Diesels (interesting case, because high FE) Slide13: What a difference a half-decade makes... Greenest Vehicles Model Years 2000 & 2004: Greenest Vehicles Model Years 2000 & 2004 Model Year 2000 GM EV1 Nissan Altra EV Honda Civic GX Honda Insight Toyota RAV4 EV Toyota Camry CNG Ford Electric Ranger Chevy Metro Toyota Echo Nissan Sentra CA Mitsubishi Mirage Honda Civic HX Model Year 2004 Honda Civic GX Honda Insight Toyota Prius Honda Civic Hybrid Toyota Echo Nissan Sentra Honda Civic HX Mazda 3 Toyota Corolla Hyundai Elantra Scion xA Honda CivicSlide15: Then again... Meanest Vehicles Model Years 2000 & 2004: Meanest Vehicles Model Years 2000 & 2004 Model Year 2000 Chevy Suburban Dodge Ram 2500 Ferrari Maranello Chevy Silverado Ford Excursion Dodge B2500 Van Chevy K2500 Pickup Cadillac Escalade GMC Yukon Denali Toyota Land Cruiser Ferrari 456M Land Rover Range Rover Model Year 2004 Volkswagen Touareg Land Rover Range Rover Ford Excursion Dodge Ram 1500 Lexus LX 470 Toyota Land Cruiser Hummer H2 GMC Yukon XL K2500 Chevy Suburban K2500 Toyota Sequoia Lamborghini Murcielago Land Rover Discovery Ser. IITop Stories of Model Year 2004: Top Stories of Model Year 2004 (1) Federal Tier 2 and California LEV II tailpipe emission standards go into effect. Greater #’s of SULEVs & PZEVs -- cleanest emissions levels of gasoline vehicles ever On the whole, modest improvement federally, although standout models existIncreasing Number of SULEV and PZEV Nameplates: Increasing Number of SULEV and PZEV NameplatesTop Stories of Model Year 2004: Top Stories of Model Year 2004 (2) Hybrids continue to be a big story New Toyota Prius, now midsize car, gets 3rd highest overall score, and highest rating of gasoline powered sedans (meets PZEV/Tier 2 bin 3 emissions; FE: 60/51) Mild hybrid GMC Sierra Hybrid/Chevy Silverado Hybrid (FE: 19 mpg hybrid vs. 17 mpg conventional)The Growth of Hybrid-Electric Vehicles: The Growth of Hybrid-Electric Vehicles MY2000 Honda Insight MY2001 Toyota Prius MY2003 Honda Civic Hybrid MY2004 Toyota Prius (New) GM Silverado/Sierra Hybrid MY2005 and beyond high-profile hybrids Ford Escape HEV Lexus RX400H Toyota Highlander Honda Accord Saturn VUE Rumored Honda OdysseyHEV Sales Figures/Estimates: HEV Sales Figures/Estimates Today: ~40,000 annual 50% Prius 47% Civic Hybrid 3% Insight 2007: ~500,000 annual Top Stories of Model Year 2004: Top Stories of Model Year 2004 (3) Overall, FE continues to decline Most recent confirmed information shows combined car/truck fuel economy at lowest level since 1980 Due to high sales of large SUVs and pickups These market segments have been aggressively pursued by import companies (i.e., not just a Big 3 problem)Passenger Car/Truck Fuel Economy Trends (Hellman and Heavenrich 2003): Passenger Car/Truck Fuel Economy Trends (Hellman and Heavenrich 2003)Improvements in Low-Fuel Economy Vehicles are Critical: Improvements in Low-Fuel Economy Vehicles are Critical 14 mpg --> 16 mpg (a 14% improvement) Saves 134 gallons annually 35 mpg --> 51 mpg (a 46% improvement) Saves 134 gallons annuallySUVs on the Rise (J.D. Power and Assoc. 2003): SUVs on the Rise (J.D. Power and Assoc. 2003)The Changing SUV Segment (J.D. Power and Assoc. 2003): The Changing SUV Segment (J.D. Power and Assoc. 2003)Reason For Entry/Luxury SUV Growth: Crossover Vehicles: Reason For Entry/Luxury SUV Growth: Crossover VehiclesAre Crossovers Environmentally Friendly?: Are Crossovers Environmentally Friendly? Eco-friendliness depends on use: Is it a greener alternative for ski trips to mountains? Perhaps. Can you save the planet by using it to zip around town? No. Eco-friendliness depends on vehicle: Pontiac Vibe? Yes. Infiniti FX45? No.What Lies Ahead?: What Lies Ahead? Vehicle Technology Crystal Ball: Vehicle Technology Crystal Ball Near-Term (Present-2010) Continued improvement of gasoline-powered vehicles Release of new hybrid vehicles Continued deployment of an alternative technologies portfolio Room for diesel?Near-Term (Present-2010): Near-Term (Present-2010) Continued improvement of gasoline-powered vehicles Lightweight materials use; engine operation (EGR, VVT, etc.); transmission improvements (CVT); improved OBD Seen today in Honda Civic, Nissan Sentra CA, Honda Accord PZEV, Ford Focus PZEV, othersNear-Term (Present-2010): Near-Term (Present-2010) Release of new hybrid-electric vehicles Ford Escape HEV Lexus RX400H Toyota Highlander Honda Accord Saturn VUE Others: Chevrolet Equinox (2006), Malibu (2007)Near-Term (Present-2010): Near-Term (Present-2010) Continued deployment of an alternative technologies portfolio Alt fuel vehicles, primarily in fleet use (at least initially) Electric minicars Test deployment of fuel cell vehiclesNear-Term (Present-2010): Near-Term (Present-2010) Room for diesel? Numerous questions remain about the viability of significant light duty diesel penetrationDiesel Car and Light Truck Retail Sales, 1970-2001: Diesel Car and Light Truck Retail Sales, 1970-2001 A Host of Issues Affect Diesel Prospects: A Host of Issues Affect Diesel Prospects Technology Costs Health Impacts Regulatory Constraints Fuel Quality Technical Developments Consumer AttitudesVehicle Technology Crystal Ball: Vehicle Technology Crystal Ball Mid-Term (2015-2030) Stronger presence of hybrid-electric vehicles Introduction of fuel cell vehiclesVehicle Technology Crystal Ball: Vehicle Technology Crystal Ball Far-Term (2030 and beyond) Stronger presence of fuel cell vehicles Need time to develop cell technologies and production techniques Need time to address dual-conundrum of (1) using hydrogen and dealing with storage/infrastructure, or (2) using liquid fuel (such as methanol) and dealing with processingThank You: Thank You James Kliesch American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy 1001 Connecticut Ave., NW, Suite 801 Washington, DC 20036 (202) 429-8873 jkliesch@aceee.org You do not have the permission to view this presentation. In order to view it, please contact the author of the presentation.
jim kliesch 02 12 04 Cuthbert Download Post to : URL : Related Presentations : Share Add to Flag Embed Email Send to Blogs and Networks Add to Channel Uploaded from authorPOINTLite Insert YouTube videos in PowerPont slides with aS Desktop Copy embed code: (To copy code, click on the text box) Embed: URL: Thumbnail: WordPress Embed Customize Embed The presentation is successfully added In Your Favorites. Views: 85 Category: Entertainment License: All Rights Reserved Like it (0) Dislike it (0) Added: November 16, 2007 This Presentation is Public Favorites: 0 Presentation Description No description available. Comments Posting comment... Premium member Presentation Transcript Getting the Green Light: An Environmental Assessment of Today’s Passenger Vehicles: Getting the Green Light: An Environmental Assessment of Today’s Passenger Vehicles James Kliesch American Council for an Energy-Efficient EconomyTopical Overview: Topical Overview Why should we be concerned? What makes a vehicle green/mean? How “green” has changed (or not) over the last five years Top stories of 2004 Crystal ball: what lies aheadWhy be concerned?: Why be concerned? Every 2 seconds in this country, a new vehicle is purchased Every other one of those is a light duty truck (pickup, minivan, SUV), typically with higher tailpipe emissions and lower fuel economy U.S. passenger vehicles consume ~125 billion gallons of gasoline each year.Vehicle miles traveled (VMT) continue to grow: Vehicle miles traveled (VMT) continue to growHow do you address consumption & emissions?: How do you address consumption & emissions? One way: promote the manufacture and purchase of clean, efficient vehicles.ACEEE’s Green Book®: ACEEE’s Green Book® Consumer guide, produced annually since Feb 1998 7th edition (model year ‘04) released 2/10/04 Available at www.GreenerCars.comGreenerCars.com: GreenerCars.com Three main aspects to the website: Popular Tables (Greenest, Meanest, Best-in-Class) General consumer info on vehicles and the environment, how to buy green, etc. Database of all MY2000-2004 vehicles/configurations (approx. 6,200 listings), and their “Green Scores”What Determines a Vehicle’s Green-ness?: What Determines a Vehicle’s Green-ness? Fuel Economy Affects overall GHG emissions, plus non-regulated tailpipe pollutants (ex. SOx, N2O) Affects upstream emissions Tailpipe Emissions A vehicle’s emission standard specifies quantity of CO, HC, NOx, PM emitted Embodied Emissions (to lesser degree)Emission Standard Primer: Emission Standard Primer California LEV I ULEV I LEV II ULEV II SULEV II PZEV Federal Tier 2 bin 11 Tier 2 bin 10 … Tier 2 bin 5 ... Tier 2 bin 2 Tier 2 bin 1Select Tier 1 and Tier 2 Full Useful Life Exhaust Emission Standards: Select Tier 1 and Tier 2 Full Useful Life Exhaust Emission StandardsGreen Vehicles Have...: Green Vehicles Have... High Fuel Economy Low Tailpipe Emissions Generally, what are those today? Hybrid-electric vehicles Fuel efficient gasoline vehicles that meet stringent emission standards CNG vehicles Mean Vehicles Have...: Mean Vehicles Have... Low Fuel Economy Bare-minimum Tailpipe Emissions Generally, what are those today? Large SUVs Large pickup trucks Performance-oriented sports cars Diesels (interesting case, because high FE) Slide13: What a difference a half-decade makes... Greenest Vehicles Model Years 2000 & 2004: Greenest Vehicles Model Years 2000 & 2004 Model Year 2000 GM EV1 Nissan Altra EV Honda Civic GX Honda Insight Toyota RAV4 EV Toyota Camry CNG Ford Electric Ranger Chevy Metro Toyota Echo Nissan Sentra CA Mitsubishi Mirage Honda Civic HX Model Year 2004 Honda Civic GX Honda Insight Toyota Prius Honda Civic Hybrid Toyota Echo Nissan Sentra Honda Civic HX Mazda 3 Toyota Corolla Hyundai Elantra Scion xA Honda CivicSlide15: Then again... Meanest Vehicles Model Years 2000 & 2004: Meanest Vehicles Model Years 2000 & 2004 Model Year 2000 Chevy Suburban Dodge Ram 2500 Ferrari Maranello Chevy Silverado Ford Excursion Dodge B2500 Van Chevy K2500 Pickup Cadillac Escalade GMC Yukon Denali Toyota Land Cruiser Ferrari 456M Land Rover Range Rover Model Year 2004 Volkswagen Touareg Land Rover Range Rover Ford Excursion Dodge Ram 1500 Lexus LX 470 Toyota Land Cruiser Hummer H2 GMC Yukon XL K2500 Chevy Suburban K2500 Toyota Sequoia Lamborghini Murcielago Land Rover Discovery Ser. IITop Stories of Model Year 2004: Top Stories of Model Year 2004 (1) Federal Tier 2 and California LEV II tailpipe emission standards go into effect. Greater #’s of SULEVs & PZEVs -- cleanest emissions levels of gasoline vehicles ever On the whole, modest improvement federally, although standout models existIncreasing Number of SULEV and PZEV Nameplates: Increasing Number of SULEV and PZEV NameplatesTop Stories of Model Year 2004: Top Stories of Model Year 2004 (2) Hybrids continue to be a big story New Toyota Prius, now midsize car, gets 3rd highest overall score, and highest rating of gasoline powered sedans (meets PZEV/Tier 2 bin 3 emissions; FE: 60/51) Mild hybrid GMC Sierra Hybrid/Chevy Silverado Hybrid (FE: 19 mpg hybrid vs. 17 mpg conventional)The Growth of Hybrid-Electric Vehicles: The Growth of Hybrid-Electric Vehicles MY2000 Honda Insight MY2001 Toyota Prius MY2003 Honda Civic Hybrid MY2004 Toyota Prius (New) GM Silverado/Sierra Hybrid MY2005 and beyond high-profile hybrids Ford Escape HEV Lexus RX400H Toyota Highlander Honda Accord Saturn VUE Rumored Honda OdysseyHEV Sales Figures/Estimates: HEV Sales Figures/Estimates Today: ~40,000 annual 50% Prius 47% Civic Hybrid 3% Insight 2007: ~500,000 annual Top Stories of Model Year 2004: Top Stories of Model Year 2004 (3) Overall, FE continues to decline Most recent confirmed information shows combined car/truck fuel economy at lowest level since 1980 Due to high sales of large SUVs and pickups These market segments have been aggressively pursued by import companies (i.e., not just a Big 3 problem)Passenger Car/Truck Fuel Economy Trends (Hellman and Heavenrich 2003): Passenger Car/Truck Fuel Economy Trends (Hellman and Heavenrich 2003)Improvements in Low-Fuel Economy Vehicles are Critical: Improvements in Low-Fuel Economy Vehicles are Critical 14 mpg --> 16 mpg (a 14% improvement) Saves 134 gallons annually 35 mpg --> 51 mpg (a 46% improvement) Saves 134 gallons annuallySUVs on the Rise (J.D. Power and Assoc. 2003): SUVs on the Rise (J.D. Power and Assoc. 2003)The Changing SUV Segment (J.D. Power and Assoc. 2003): The Changing SUV Segment (J.D. Power and Assoc. 2003)Reason For Entry/Luxury SUV Growth: Crossover Vehicles: Reason For Entry/Luxury SUV Growth: Crossover VehiclesAre Crossovers Environmentally Friendly?: Are Crossovers Environmentally Friendly? Eco-friendliness depends on use: Is it a greener alternative for ski trips to mountains? Perhaps. Can you save the planet by using it to zip around town? No. Eco-friendliness depends on vehicle: Pontiac Vibe? Yes. Infiniti FX45? No.What Lies Ahead?: What Lies Ahead? Vehicle Technology Crystal Ball: Vehicle Technology Crystal Ball Near-Term (Present-2010) Continued improvement of gasoline-powered vehicles Release of new hybrid vehicles Continued deployment of an alternative technologies portfolio Room for diesel?Near-Term (Present-2010): Near-Term (Present-2010) Continued improvement of gasoline-powered vehicles Lightweight materials use; engine operation (EGR, VVT, etc.); transmission improvements (CVT); improved OBD Seen today in Honda Civic, Nissan Sentra CA, Honda Accord PZEV, Ford Focus PZEV, othersNear-Term (Present-2010): Near-Term (Present-2010) Release of new hybrid-electric vehicles Ford Escape HEV Lexus RX400H Toyota Highlander Honda Accord Saturn VUE Others: Chevrolet Equinox (2006), Malibu (2007)Near-Term (Present-2010): Near-Term (Present-2010) Continued deployment of an alternative technologies portfolio Alt fuel vehicles, primarily in fleet use (at least initially) Electric minicars Test deployment of fuel cell vehiclesNear-Term (Present-2010): Near-Term (Present-2010) Room for diesel? Numerous questions remain about the viability of significant light duty diesel penetrationDiesel Car and Light Truck Retail Sales, 1970-2001: Diesel Car and Light Truck Retail Sales, 1970-2001 A Host of Issues Affect Diesel Prospects: A Host of Issues Affect Diesel Prospects Technology Costs Health Impacts Regulatory Constraints Fuel Quality Technical Developments Consumer AttitudesVehicle Technology Crystal Ball: Vehicle Technology Crystal Ball Mid-Term (2015-2030) Stronger presence of hybrid-electric vehicles Introduction of fuel cell vehiclesVehicle Technology Crystal Ball: Vehicle Technology Crystal Ball Far-Term (2030 and beyond) Stronger presence of fuel cell vehicles Need time to develop cell technologies and production techniques Need time to address dual-conundrum of (1) using hydrogen and dealing with storage/infrastructure, or (2) using liquid fuel (such as methanol) and dealing with processingThank You: Thank You James Kliesch American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy 1001 Connecticut Ave., NW, Suite 801 Washington, DC 20036 (202) 429-8873 jkliesch@aceee.org