Presentation Transcript
Future Vision of Aeronautical Products and Technology: Commercial Airplanes: Future Vision of Aeronautical Products and Technology: Commercial Airplanes Dr. Michael Romanowski
Vice President, Civil Aviation
June 8, 2005
What Drives Our Industry?: What Drives Our Industry? Safety New Technologies 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Liberalization Has Led To More Frequencies And Non-stops: Liberalization Has Led To More Frequencies And Non-stops . 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Slide4: 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference Regional Jets Continue Trend to Increased Point to Point Service
Slide5: Turboprops ≤ 34 seats Turboprops > 34 seats
Last new order (for 10) Nov ‘97 Regional Jets Regional Jets Have Entered the Fleet in Large Numbers 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Slide6: The Introduction of Very Light Jets/Air Taxis is a Logical Extension of Conventional Point to Point Service Concentric Circles represent VLJ ranges as indicated 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Aviation System Capacity: Aviation System Capacity Air travel growth has been met by increased frequencies and non-stops, not by increased airplane size. 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference 325
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75 Air Travel Growth 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Average Airplane Size Non-stop Markets Frequency Growth Index 1980=100
Airline and Industry Strategies: Airline and Industry Strategies 25,000
airplanes 2.0 trillion
delivery dollars* *In year 2003 dollars Airlines Will Need 25,000 New Airplanes* 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference *Additional Estimates Call for Thousands of VLJ’s/Air Taxi
Advanced Technology Contributions to Airplane Efficiencies: Advanced Technology Contributions to Airplane Efficiencies Systems Materials Aerodynamics Engines 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Advanced Systems Technologies Span the Product Lines: Advanced Systems Technologies Span the Product Lines Common Core
Open Systems Architecture Advanced
Flight Controls More Electric Systems Architecture Wireless IFE Integrated Health Management e-Enabled
Systems 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Slide11: Regulatory System Must Allow the Easy Insertion of New Safety Enhancements 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Additional Regulatory and Infrastructure Issues: Additional Regulatory and Infrastructure Issues System capacity— must transform the system to accommodate growth
Global business environment
Noise & emissions expectations 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Expectations Will Continue to Drive Quieter Aircraft: 4001041404 ï´€ Source MS Mappoint, (c) Microsoft, Inc. 85 dBA contours
3,000 nmi mission London Heathrow Future noise footprint stays in the airport property Expectations Will Continue to Drive Quieter Aircraft Typical noise footprints extends well beyond airport property 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference
Summary: Summary Trends towards increased use of point to point service across commercial product lines
Capacity will need to increase
Technology bringing new capabilities and safety improvements
Regulatory systems must keep pace with developments 2005 Europe/U.S. International Aviation Safety Conference