Emerging Technologies, Regional Scorecards: e-Business in Asia: Emerging Technologies, Regional Scorecards: e-Business in Asia Dr. Madanmohan Rao Consultant, 4Cplus; Editor, INOMY Bangalore, INDIA madan@inomy.com, madan@4Cplus.com


The Eight Cs of the Digital Economy: The Eight Cs of the Digital Economy Connectivity Content Community Commerce Capacity Culture Cooperation Capital


Generations of Internet Technologies : Generations of Internet Technologies Generation I: Mainframe (one machine, many users) Generation II: Workstations, PCs (one machine, one user) Generation III: Consumer electronics, embedded devices (many machines, one user)


Consumer Devices : Consumer Devices PDAs, laptops, cellphones, headsets, cordless phones, MP3 players, joysticks, fingerprint scanners, medical instruments, point of sale (POS) scanners, DVDs, pen computers, wireless modems, digital still cameras, Webcams, e-books, TV set-top boxes, fridges, microwave ovens….


Applications : Applications Sharing of home videos via the Net Monitoring alarm systems in offices Instrumentation for industrial applications Monitoring of goods in supply chains Inventory updates for mobile sales forces Support information for field technicians Wireless Internet access in hotel rooms Headsets for museum visitors Automated airport check-in by travelers (not any more!!)


Embedded devices: Embedded devices On-board power-sensitive design techniques Space optimization Programmable logic devices High-resolution displays System on chip (SoC) circuitry, security chips Upstream/downstream migration to ‘soft silicon’


Outlook for Asia: Outlook for Asia Web-enabled devices, wireless networks IT services, IT-enabled services ICT research and development Content + creative industries Citizen empowerment Access, development challenges


Regional Variations in m-Services: Regional Variations in m-Services US: e-mail, surfing, news, travel; comfort with credit cards; discomfort with location-based privacy. Professional use. Japan, Korea: entertainment (downloadable ring tones), email Europe: banking, email; discomfort with credit card usage


Momentum/Inertia factors: Momentum/Inertia factors U.S: familiarity with Internet commerce => less satisfied with m-interface, more accepting of m-transactions Japan: focus on entertainment, less mindful of the Internet as a point of comparison. i-mode offers a more satisfying user experience than WAP. French: satisfied with Minitel, skeptical about WAP Germany: strong identification with bank brands Swedes: more technically savvy Australia: affluent professional users (due to high handset costs)


Challenges : Challenges Standards Devices Content Commerce Business models User behaviour (usability, momentum)


Dimensions of Convergence : Dimensions of Convergence Representation (bits) Protocols (TCP/IP, Web) Channels (phone, TV) User devices (TV, PC) Functionality (PC, cellphone) Applications (email) User behaviour (messaging, surfing) Policy (broadcast, print, telecom) Consumer data (demographics, location, transaction)


Dimension of divergence : Dimension of divergence Location (car radio, clock radio) Channels (cable TV, satellite TV) User devices (cordless phone, cellphone) Entertainment modes (digital cameras, MP3 players) Size/specs (PCs, notebooks) Policy (IT, Internet) User behaviour (convenience, price)


Generations of Wireless Internet : Generations of Wireless Internet 1G Voice only 1979 2G GSM/TDMA 1992 2.5G GPRS, EDGE 2001 3G WCDMA 2001, 2002 4G 2010


The Market : The Market Wireless Internet economy: $25 billion by 2005 Wireless users: 600 million worldwide (Asia: 250 million) Internet user base: 420 million


Slide17: “Asia is beating Europe and North America in pure wireless markets, and will lead in the wireless Internet as well. The 3G world belongs to the Asian people.”   Emmanuel Sauquet, Nortel Networks


VoIP: VoIP Managed networks: corporate class Public Internet: consumer services Carrier class: international/national networks Softswitch, gateways, IP PBX, voice+data CRM


Asian Internet: 4 Episodes: Asian Internet: 4 Episodes 1960s – 1980: Computing infrastructure, Keiretsu, Chaebol, IIT/AIT/AIM/NCB 1980-1995: APNIC, early internetworks 1995-2000: Commercial Internet growth, deregulation 2001 onwards: Convergence, divergence


Scorecard 1: U.S.: Scorecard 1: U.S. Core technologies Fortune 500 companies, B2B hubs Venture capital, stock markets Technology media


Scorecard 2: Latin America: Scorecard 2: Latin America Only two languages (Spanish, Portuguese) U.S. and Spanish players Regional trading blocs Collective consciousness Community access centres Cultural products (music), sports (football)


Scorecard 3: Europe: Scorecard 3: Europe Economic integration Linguistic diversity: challenge, opportunity Interactive TV Large markets (Germany, France, UK), sophisticated markets (Scandinavia) Broadband IT worker shortages


Scorecard 4: Africa & Middle East: Scorecard 4: Africa & Middle East Infrastructure challenges Regional pockets: South Africa; Kenya; Dubai, Tunisia, Egypt; Israel Common languages Cultural products (music) Diaspora populations


Scorecard 5: Asia-Pacific: Scorecard 5: Asia-Pacific Hardware, software powerhouse Digital divide; regulations Mobile Internet Global diaspora (“digital glue”) Major markets: China, India, Japan, South Korea, Australia VoIP: China, India


Asian Powerhouses : Asian Powerhouses Appliances: Taiwan, Japan, South Korea Creative content: Philippines Networks: Japan, South Korea Operators: Japan, South Korea, China Services: Singapore Software: India Online Tourism: Thailand, Nepal


The Crystal Ball : The Crystal Ball Bandwidth, satellite, fibre XML Branding Digital radio Digital divide


Slide27: “The Asia-Pacific region will ramp up Internet-enabled wireless phones before the rest of the world and is poised to become the world's mobile powerhouse. By 2010, more than 50 percent of all mobile-phone users in the world will be in the Asia-Pacific region, up from 35 percent in 2000.” ITU


Slide28: madan@inomy.com digitalnomad@hotmail.com