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Slide1: 

More on the A-Word Credit: Anthony Aguirre, Martin Rees, Frank Wilczek Blame: Max Tegmark

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dse

Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom Four gradual discoveries: The Universe is much larger than once imagined The Universe can be well described mathematically In most theories, we can’t observe everything that exists There are selection effects

Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom How big is our Universe?

Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom Four gradual discoveries: The Universe is much larger than once imagined The Universe can be well described mathematically In most theories, we can’t observe everything that exists There are selection effects - probability that a random point in our observable universe is near the surface of a planet ~ 10-43

Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom If we want to test a mathematical theory predicting a larger universe than we can observe, then we’re forced to compute anthropic selection effects. That this is hard isn’t Alex Vilenkin’s fault! So we shouldn’t vent our frustrations on those who try to work on the problem..

Cmbgg OmOl: 

Cmbgg OmOl The Standard Model Lagrangian (From T.D. Gutierrez) L=

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Cmbgg OmOl Standard model parameters: Cosmology Particle physics Required Optional

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Cmbgg OmOl How measure? Standard model parameters: Cosmology Particle physics Required Optional Why these values?

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wmap movie

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(Graphics from Gary Hinshaw/WMAP team)

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Fluctuation generator Fluctuation amplifier (Graphics from Gary Hinshaw/WMAP team) Hot Dense Smooth Cool Rarefied Clumpy Brief History of the Universe

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MATTER BUDGET INITIAL CONDITIONS (Q) Required Optional tot

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OUR TOOLS

Smorgasbord: 

Smorgasbord

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Measuring clustering

History: 

History CMB Foreground-cleaned WMAP map from Tegmark, de Oliveira-Costa andamp; Hamilton, astro-ph/0302496

Boomzoom: 

Boom zoom z = 1000

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Boom zoom z = 2.4 Mathis, Lemson, Springel, Kauffmann, White andamp; Dekel 2001

Boomzoom: 

Boom zoom z = 0.8 Mathis, Lemson, Springel, Kauffmann, White andamp; Dekel 2001

Boomzoom: 

Boom zoom Mathis, Lemson, Springel, Kauffmann, White andamp; Dekel 2001 z = 0

1parmovies: 

1par movies LSS

1parmovies: 

1par movies LSS Clusters Tegmark andamp; Zaldarriaga, astro-ph/0207047 + updates

1parmovies: 

1par movies LSS Clusters CMB Tegmark andamp; Zaldarriaga, astro-ph/0207047 + updates

1parmovies: 

1par movies Ly LSS Clusters Tegmark andamp; Zaldarriaga, astro-ph/0207047 + updates CMB

1parmovies: 

1par movies Ly LSS Clusters Lensing Tegmark andamp; Zaldarriaga, astro-ph/0207047 + updates CMB

1parmovies: 

1par movies Lya LSS Clusters Lensing Tegmark andamp; Zaldarriaga, astro-ph/0207047 + updates CMB

Slide30: 

But the best is yet to come… Precision, 21cm tomography, …

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Cosmological data Fundamental theory Cosmological Parameters Nature of dark matter? Nature of dark energy? Nature of early Universe? Why these particular values?

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PREDICTING

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PREDICTING It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future. Yogi Berra

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Cmbgg OmOl Parameter status?

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Cmbgg OmOl Parameter status? Environmental Environmental Fundamental? Fundamental?

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Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom What are the 4 multiverse levels like? Same effective laws of physics, different initial conditions Same fundamental laws of physics, different effective laws Nothing qualitatively new Different fundamental laws of physics

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Cmbgg OmOl What determines the constants of nature? What do the constants of nature determine? Most of our paper Motivates B Certified 100% philosophy free!

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Cmbgg OmOl Three little numbers:

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Cmbgg OmOl R~ /mp M~ mp Weisskopf 1975 Carr andamp; Rees 1979

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Cmbgg OmOl R~ 1/1/21/2mp2 M~ 3/23/2 /mp2

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Cmbgg OmOl R~1/mp21/2 M~ 3/2 /mp2 Weisskopf 1975 Carr andamp; Rees 1979

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Cmbgg OmOl R~ /mp3/23/4 M~ 3/4 /mp1/2 Carr andamp; Rees 1979

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Cmbgg OmOl R~ /mp3/23/4 M~ 3/4 /mp1/2 Carr andamp; Rees 1979

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Cmbgg OmOl M~ /mp2 Weisskopf 1975 Carr andamp; Rees 1979

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Cmbgg OmOl R~ 3 /mp33/2 M~ 5 /mp31/2 Carr andamp; Rees 1979

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Cmbgg OmOl R~ /mp5 M~ /mp5 Carr andamp; Rees 1979

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Cmbgg OmOl Based on Carr andamp; Rees 1979, Barrow andamp; Tipler 1986 Inside black hole Below quantum limit

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Cmbgg OmOl Based on Carr andamp; Rees 1979, Barrow andamp; Tipler 1986 Inside black hole Below quantum limit Fine-tuning? NO!

Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom MT 1998, gr-qc/9704009, Ann. Phys., 270, 1-51

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Cmbgg OmOl Most spectacular fine tuning known outside cosmology is arguably in nuclear physics

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Cmbgg OmOl Agrawal, Barr, Donoghue andamp; Seckel 1998, PRL, 80, 1822 v/v0andlt;0.5: protons (uud) decay into neutrons (udd) v/v0andlt;0.8: diproton andamp; dineutron v/v0=1: we are here v/v0andgt;2: deuterium unstable v/v0andgt;5: neutrons (udd) unstable even in nuclei v/v0andgt;103: protons (uud) decay to ++ (uuu) Effect of Higgs VEV v=246 GeV: Savas will return to this!

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Cmbgg OmOl Jeltema andamp; Sher, hep-ph/9905494 carbon carbon carbon oxygen oxygen oxygen 20 Msun 5 Msun 1.3 Msun +  8Be 8Be+  12C 12C+  16O C andamp; O yield given by one parameter that depends on , mu/QCD, md/QCD : Oberhummer, Csoto andamp; Schlattl, astro-ph/0007178, Science, 289, 88

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Cmbgg OmOl 4 effective spatial dimensions: no stable orbits, no stable atoms (Ehrenfest 1917; Tangherlini 1963) MT 1997, gr-qc/9702052, Class. Quant. Grav., 14, L69-75

Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom MT 1997, gr-qc/9702052, Class. Quant. Grav., 14, L69-75

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Cmbgg OmOl HOW TEST/RULE OUT A THEORY? A theory is tested by confronting its prediction f(p) with the observed parameter vector pobs Prediction f(p)  fprior(p) fselec(p) Some fast-and-loose anthropic arguments ignore this factor

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Cmbgg OmOl HOW TEST/RULE OUT A THEORY? A theory is tested by confronting its prediction f(p) with the observed parameter vector pobs Prediction f(p)  fprior(p) fselec(p) Some fast-and-loose anthropic arguments ignore this factor Some papers ignore this factor Neither term is optional!

`: 

` V() 1 2

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Cmbgg OmOl * 2nd term: involves astrophysics, not biology, since we’re not made of dark matter Challenge: find an example where both terms can be computed. Case study: axion dark matter * 1st term: Prior: analytically computable

Boomzoom: 

Boom zoom Mathis, Lemson, Springel, Kauffmann, White andamp; Dekel 2001 z = 0

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Cmbgg OmOl Measured value=4eV

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Cmbgg OmOl DARK MATTER CONCLUSIONS: Axions theory appears viable If WIMPs contribute up cosmologically relevant dark matter density, then natural to have two dark matters! So any LHC SUSY hints need precision followup, perhaps with linear accelerator Work needed on both terms fprior(p) andamp; fselec(p) Wish list 1: fprior(p) from inflation, landscape Wish list 2: fselec(p) from chemistry andamp; nuclear physics

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Cmbgg OmOl Debating what to choose? There’s no choice! A theory is tested by confronting its prediction f(p) with the observed parameter vector pobs Prediction f(p)  fprior(p) fselec(p) Some fast-and-loose anthropic arguments ignore this factor Some papers ignore this factor No need to choose between traditional and anthropic calculations - neither is optional!

Slide74: 


Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom Bottom line: Taking anthropic selection effects is not optional when confronting a theory with observation Parallel universes are not a theory but a prediction of certain falsifiable theories (cf. black hole interiors) Critique of anthropic reasoning has largely shifted from 'It makes no sense and I don’t like it' to 'I don’t like it' I think it’s good that many people disagree with my views!

Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom Beware anthropic principle taken to the Epicurean extreme: 'The Universe must be such that we like it'

Big Bang Zoom: 

Big Bang Zoom Even if we can’t predict everything, the universe still isn’t so bad!