logging in or signing up The Role of North Korea in Northeast Asia Arley33 Download Post to : URL : Related Presentations : Share Add to Flag Embed Email Send to Blogs and Networks Add to Channel Uploaded from authorPOINT Insert YouTube videos in PowerPont slides with aS Desktop Copy embed code: (To copy code, click on the text box) Embed: URL: Thumbnail: WordPress Embed Customize Embed The presentation is successfully added In Your Favorites. Views: 154 Category: Entertainment License: All Rights Reserved Like it (0) Dislike it (0) Added: September 11, 2007 This Presentation is Public Favorites: 0 Presentation Description No description available. Comments Posting comment... Premium member Presentation Transcript The Role of North Korea in Northeast Asia Energy Relations: The Role of North Korea in Northeast Asia Energy Relations David Dusseault Eurasia Energy Group Aleksanteri Institute 11th December 2006 Some Basic Ideas: Some Basic Ideas N. Korea’s energy situation is dire; Causes include common regional constraints as well as domestic economic strategy; and NK is a crucial actor in regional energy relations due to location andamp; potential knock on effects derived from regime’s survival strategy. The Scope of the Issue: The Scope of the Issue Energy Imbalance: Energy Imbalance Interdependency: Enabling and Constraining Conditions: Interdependency: Enabling and Constraining Conditions Physical Constraints: uneven resource distribution, finiteness of natural resources, existence of energy sector infrastructure, geography, climate, accessibility of resources; Informational Constraints: elites do not possess full information regarding their resources or how to fully maximise their benefits accrued from natural resource wealth; Financial Constraints: finite financial resources for investment and resource exploitation, commodity prices, market size; Actor-based Constraints: number of competing actors, how actors perceive their interests and how they determine to develop their interests; and Institutional Constraints: ability of state institutions to flexibly determine the rules of the game over time without marginalising actors or seeking rent. Regional Assessment: Regional Assessment Conditions: North and South Korea: Conditions: North and South Korea The Nuclear Issue in the Present Energy Context: The Nuclear Issue in the Present Energy Context Nuclear stand-off on the peninsula is tied to regime survival; NK’s regime survival strategy has been directly linked to external aid (food and energy (KEDO)); Energy can still form the basis for a flexible long term strategy to incorporate NK back into the international community. Priorities & Strategies: Regional Priorities: Catastrophic Regional Conflict Avoidance FDI, financial credits, ROK Japan loans; (Bi andamp; Multi-lateral) Regional Development aid (Bi andamp; Multi-lateral) Priorities andamp; Strategies US Priorities: Regime Change Economic Sanctions (Uni - andamp; Multi-lateral) Military 'Axis of Evil' (Sum zero) NK Priorities: Regime Survival Nuclear Threat (Sum zero) FDI, financial credits, WB loans; (Bi andamp; Multi-lateral) KEDO energy package, UNDP development aid. (Bi-andamp; Multi-lateral) ? Conclusions: Conclusions Re-think of US sum zero regime change strategy; Development of mutually beneficial, long term plan to incorporate NK into the international community; In the short term: resumption of HFO shipments and incremental easing of economic sanctions in return for negotiations over nuke issue; In the medium term: step by step programme for verifiable dissolution of nuclear programme in return for increased financial and technical assistance; In the long term: inclusion in regional based development initiatives with further cuts to conventional forces on the peninsula. You do not have the permission to view this presentation. In order to view it, please contact the author of the presentation.
The Role of North Korea in Northeast Asia Arley33 Download Post to : URL : Related Presentations : Share Add to Flag Embed Email Send to Blogs and Networks Add to Channel Uploaded from authorPOINT Insert YouTube videos in PowerPont slides with aS Desktop Copy embed code: (To copy code, click on the text box) Embed: URL: Thumbnail: WordPress Embed Customize Embed The presentation is successfully added In Your Favorites. Views: 154 Category: Entertainment License: All Rights Reserved Like it (0) Dislike it (0) Added: September 11, 2007 This Presentation is Public Favorites: 0 Presentation Description No description available. Comments Posting comment... Premium member Presentation Transcript The Role of North Korea in Northeast Asia Energy Relations: The Role of North Korea in Northeast Asia Energy Relations David Dusseault Eurasia Energy Group Aleksanteri Institute 11th December 2006 Some Basic Ideas: Some Basic Ideas N. Korea’s energy situation is dire; Causes include common regional constraints as well as domestic economic strategy; and NK is a crucial actor in regional energy relations due to location andamp; potential knock on effects derived from regime’s survival strategy. The Scope of the Issue: The Scope of the Issue Energy Imbalance: Energy Imbalance Interdependency: Enabling and Constraining Conditions: Interdependency: Enabling and Constraining Conditions Physical Constraints: uneven resource distribution, finiteness of natural resources, existence of energy sector infrastructure, geography, climate, accessibility of resources; Informational Constraints: elites do not possess full information regarding their resources or how to fully maximise their benefits accrued from natural resource wealth; Financial Constraints: finite financial resources for investment and resource exploitation, commodity prices, market size; Actor-based Constraints: number of competing actors, how actors perceive their interests and how they determine to develop their interests; and Institutional Constraints: ability of state institutions to flexibly determine the rules of the game over time without marginalising actors or seeking rent. Regional Assessment: Regional Assessment Conditions: North and South Korea: Conditions: North and South Korea The Nuclear Issue in the Present Energy Context: The Nuclear Issue in the Present Energy Context Nuclear stand-off on the peninsula is tied to regime survival; NK’s regime survival strategy has been directly linked to external aid (food and energy (KEDO)); Energy can still form the basis for a flexible long term strategy to incorporate NK back into the international community. Priorities & Strategies: Regional Priorities: Catastrophic Regional Conflict Avoidance FDI, financial credits, ROK Japan loans; (Bi andamp; Multi-lateral) Regional Development aid (Bi andamp; Multi-lateral) Priorities andamp; Strategies US Priorities: Regime Change Economic Sanctions (Uni - andamp; Multi-lateral) Military 'Axis of Evil' (Sum zero) NK Priorities: Regime Survival Nuclear Threat (Sum zero) FDI, financial credits, WB loans; (Bi andamp; Multi-lateral) KEDO energy package, UNDP development aid. (Bi-andamp; Multi-lateral) ? Conclusions: Conclusions Re-think of US sum zero regime change strategy; Development of mutually beneficial, long term plan to incorporate NK into the international community; In the short term: resumption of HFO shipments and incremental easing of economic sanctions in return for negotiations over nuke issue; In the medium term: step by step programme for verifiable dissolution of nuclear programme in return for increased financial and technical assistance; In the long term: inclusion in regional based development initiatives with further cuts to conventional forces on the peninsula.