Presentation Transcript
DerivativesIntroduction : Derivatives Introduction Professor André Farber
Solvay Business School
Université Libre de Bruxelles
1.Introduction: 1.Introduction Outline of this session
Course outline
Derivatives
Forward contracts
Options contracts
The derivatives markets
Futures contracts
Slide3: Reference:
John HULL Options, Futures and Other Derivatives, Sixth edition, Pearson Prentice Hall 2006
or
John HULL Options, Futures and Other Derivatives, Fifth edition, Prentice Hall 2003
Copies of my slides will be available on my website: www.ulb.ac.be/cours/solvay/farber
Grades:
Cases: 30%
Final exam: 70%
Course outline: Course outline
Derivatives: Derivatives A derivative is an instrument whose value depends on the value of other more basic underlying variables
2 main families:
Forward, Futures, Swaps
Options
= DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS
value depends on some underlying asset
Forward contract: Definition: Forward contract: Definition Contract whereby parties are committed:
to buy (sell)
an underlying asset
at some future date (maturity)
at a delivery price (forward price) set in advance
The forward price for a contract is the delivery price that would be applicable to the contract if were negotiated today (i.e., it is the delivery price that would make the contract worth exactly zero)
The forward price may be different for contracts of different maturities
Buying forward = "LONG" position
Selling forward = "SHORT" position
When contract initiated: No cash flow
Obligation to transact
Forward contract: example: Forward contract: example Underlying asset: Gold
Spot price: $380 / troy ounce
Maturity: 6-month
Size of contract: 100 troy ounces (2,835 grams)
Forward price: $390 / troy ounce
Profit/Loss at maturity ST ST Gain/Loss 390 390 Gain/Loss Long Short
Derivatives Markets: Derivatives Markets Exchange traded
Traditionally exchanges have used the open-outcry system, but increasingly they are switching to electronic trading
Contracts are standard there is virtually no credit risk
Over-the-counter (OTC)
A computer- and telephone-linked network of dealers at financial institutions, corporations, and fund managers
Contracts can be non-standard and there is some small amount of credit risk
Europe
Eurex:http://www.eurexchange.com/
Liffe: http://www.liffe.com
Matif : http://www.matif.fr United States
Chicago Board of Trade http: //www.cbot.com
Evolution of global market: Evolution of global market
Global Market Size: Global Market Size Source: BIS Quarterly Review, June 2006 – www.bis.org
Why use derivatives?: Why use derivatives? To hedge risks
To speculate (take a view on the future direction of the market)
To lock in an arbitrage profit
To change the nature of a liability
To change the nature of an investment without incurring the costs of selling one portfolio and buying another
Forward contract: Cash flows: Forward contract: Cash flows Notations
ST Price of underlying asset at maturity
Ft Forward price (delivery price) set at time t
Forward contract: Locking in the result before maturity: Forward contract: Locking in the result before maturity Enter a new forward contract in opposite direction.
Ex: at time t1 : long forward at forward price F1
At time t2 (
Futures contract: Definition: Futures contract: Definition Institutionalized forward contract with daily settlement of gains and losses
Forward contract
Buy  long
sell  short
Standardized
Maturity, Face value of contract
Traded on an organized exchange
Clearing house
Daily settlement of gains and losses (Marked to market)
Example: Gold futures
Trading unit: 100 troy ounces (2,835 grams)
July 3, 2002
Futures: Daily settlement and the clearing house: Futures: Daily settlement and the clearing house In a forward contract:
Buyer and seller face each other during the life of the contract
Gains and losses are realized when the contract expires
Credit risk
BUYER  SELLER
In a futures contract
Gains and losses are realized daily (Marking to market)
The clearinghouse garantees contract performance : steps in to take a position opposite each party
BUYER  CH  SELLER
Futures: Margin requirements: Futures: Margin requirements INITIAL MARGIN : deposit to put up in a margin account
MAINTENANCE MARGIN : minimum level of the margin account
MARKING TO MARKET : balance in margin account adjusted daily
Equivalent to writing a new futures contract every day at new futures price
(Remember how to close of position on a forward)
Note: timing of cash flows different
+ Size x (Ft+1 -Ft) -Size x (Ft+1 -Ft) LONG(buyer) SHORT(seller) Time Margin IM MM
Valuing forward contracts: Key ideas: Valuing forward contracts: Key ideas Two different ways to own a unit of the underlying asset at maturity:
1.Buy spot (SPOT PRICE: S0) and borrow
=> Interest and inventory costs
2. Buy forward (AT FORWARD PRICE F0)
VALUATION PRINCIPLE: NO ARBITRAGE
In perfect markets, no free lunch: the 2 methods should cost the same.
You can think of a derivative as a mixture of its constituent underliers, much as a cake is a mixture of eggs, flour and milk in carefully specified proportions. The derivative’s model provide a recipe for the mixture, one whose ingredients’ quantity vary with time. Emanuel Derman, Market and models, Risk July 2001
Discount factors and interest rates: Discount factors and interest rates Review: Present value of Ct
PV(Ct) = Ct × Discount factor
With annual compounding:
Discount factor = 1 / (1+r)t
With continuous compounding:
Discount factor = 1 / ert = e-rt
Forward contract valuation : No income on underlying asset: Forward contract valuation : No income on underlying asset Example: Gold (provides no income + no storage cost)
Current spot price S0 = $300/oz
Interest rate (with continuous compounding) r = 5%
Time until delivery (maturity of forward contract) T = 1
Forward price F0 ?
Strategy 2: buy spot and borrow Buy spot Borrow Strategy 1: buy forward
Forward price and value of forward contract: Forward price and value of forward contract Forward price:
Remember: the forward price is the delivery price which sets the value of a forward contract equal to zero.
Value of forward contract with delivery price K
You can check that f = 0 for K = S0 e r T
Arbitrage: Arbitrage If F0 ≠S0 e rT : arbitrage opportunity
Cash and carry arbitrage if: F0 > S0 e rT
Borrow S0, buy spot and sell forward at forward price F0
Reverse cash and carry arbitrage if S0 e rT > F0
Short asset, invest and buy forward at forward price F0
Arbitrage: examples: Arbitrage: examples Gold – S0 = 300, r = 5%, T = 1 S0 erT = 315. 38
If forward price = 320
Buy spot -300 +S1
Borrow +300 -315.38
Sell forward 0 +320 – S1
Total 0 + 4.62
If forward price = 310
Sell spot +300 -S1
Invest -300 +315.38
Buy forward 0 S1 – 310
Total 0 + 5.38