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Slide 1: 

???? ???????? ?????? ???????? ???????

Slide 2: 

?????????????????????????,??????????????????????????8???????;????????????,???????????????????,???????????,?????????????????? ???????,???????????,?????????????????????????????????????????????,??????????????????????????????….?????????????????????????????????????????????????,??????????????

Slide 3: 

?????????????????,????????????????,?????????????????????????????????????????????,???????????????,??????????????,????????????,???????????????????????50??????????????,???????????????!

Slide 4: 

?????????:???????????????, ?????????????,?????????;? ?????,??????????????????,? ?????????,???????????????? ????? Jennifer Trainer,Michio kaku ??(1982), ?????,????? -?????????

Slide 5: 

??: ???????????????? ???????? ???????; ??????? ?????????????? ??????????? ???: ??????; ??, ???? ?????????????? ??????????? ??????????????: ???: ?-235 (0.7%), ????: ?-233, ?-239

Slide 6: 

?-1????-16???????; ????8????????????? ?????????? ?????? 10,000 ?

Slide 7: 

??????????????????????????????????????;?-56???????????,????? ????????????????????

Slide 8: 

?????????????

Slide 9: 

?????-235?????????????:???????-235?,???-236???????-236?????????????????????,?????????,?????????????,????????? ?? ?-235

Slide 10: 

1???????? 960 ??-???? 1?????????16000?????? ???????

Slide 11: 

???

Slide 12: 

?-238 + ??? ???? ???? ?????-239???? ? (Uranium); Uranus (???) ? (Neptunium); Neptune (???) ? (Plutonium): Pluto (???)

Slide 15: 

? ? ? ? ? ???? ??? ? ? ? ? ? ??

Slide 16: 

?????????

Slide 17: 

?????? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?? ???? ??? ??? 1040 psi 286oC 1040 psi 278oC ? ? ? ??? ???? ???:? ?????????

Slide 18: 

???????: - ?????,????? - ????????? - ?????,???? - ?????????????“?????” - ??????,?????????????? - ???????? - ??????????? - ???????? - ????,?????????? - ??????????????? - ??????? - ???????? - ?????

Slide 19: 

??????????????????? ??:?/?

Slide 20: 

?? 0.0255? 3.82% ?? 0.1700? 25.53% ?? 0.1179? 17.71% ???? 0.1431? 21.50% ?? 0.1177? 17.68% ?? 0.0916? 13.76% (??????0.6658?,????????????) 91??????????

Slide 22: 

??????????(94??????)

Slide 23: 

???????????(1900-2004)

Slide 24: 

??????????(1960-2004)

Slide 25: 

????????2.4?

Slide 26: 

??91-94???????

Slide 27: 

??????,???????????????

Slide 28: 

????

Slide 30: 

????:Richard Wolfson, ‘Nuclear Choices: A Citizen’s Guide to Nuclear Technology’, The MIT Press,1993.

Slide 31: 

????:Richard Wolfson, ‘Nuclear Choices: A Citizen’s Guide to Nuclear Technology’, The MIT Press,1993.

Slide 32: 

??????: ?? - 60?; ?? – 30 ?; ?? - ? ????????? ??????????????????????,?????????,??????1.3?;???????????????,???????,???????????, 93???????,????????5.0?? ????????????????????????????????323~340?????? ??????: ????- 2385 ???; ????: 478??? ???? – 292 ???

Slide 33: 

billion kilowatt-hours ???????(2003)

Slide 34: 

???????? (2003) Source: International Atomic Energy Agency

Slide 37: 

2002????????? 16.1% ?? ?? ?? ?? ??? 16.1% 14.1% 13.9% 25.4% 31.91 11.97% ?? ?? ?? ?? 22.91% 3.83% 8.99% 33.88% 5.07% ?? ?? ???? ???? ??? 1659.01 ?? ??? 14.4% ???? 13.34% ????

Slide 38: 

??????????? ????(??) ??(%)

Slide 39: 

?????????? ???(??) ??(%)

Slide 41: 

????????: CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, SF6

Slide 42: 

?????

Slide 43: 

??????????? ?????????????????? ??????????? ??????????? ??????????? ???????????

Slide 44: 

????????0.3%,?????0.06%, ???????????1%? 1990????????????????? 1.6????????,?????????83%?????15%???????2%????????????? 1.13 ???,?????????0.5%,? 159 ?????27;???????5.54 ?,?126?????35? 2000?????????????????2.30???,????0.96%,?????22?;????????10.3?/?;????????10%,?????,?????23?? 2003???????????????????11.4% ??2.56????

Slide 45: 

??????????????????????????????????????? :???????????1990?? 1.6??,???2002?3.52??(??????),12????2.2?,?????????;??????10????????????20??

Slide 47: 

?????????????: ????? ?????????????? ?20?,??????(GDP)? 2.47 ???????? 10.21 ?????,???4.1?;?????????? 3 ?,????????????? ????????????????

Slide 49: 

?????????????: ????? ?????????? ??20????????????,??????:???????????????5???,????90% ??? ??2005 ~ 2010 ????????????????????3,700???,?2003?????????? 14.4%? 1986?2003?,???????????50% ???63.4%??????43% ??34.2%,????????????2.6?? 2003??????????63.4%,????????????

Slide 51: 

?????????????: ????? ???????? 1998?????????????????????: 1. 1997?2010?:????1.2% ??,???????88.75????/????? (1991???) ???102.9????/?????;????????????16%? 2. 2010?2020?:????1.0% ??,????????????113.72????/?????;????????????28%? ??????2004?????????19.3% ??????

Slide 53: 

?????????????: ????? ?????????? ?????????????? ???????????? ?????????????? ?????????????????????? ??????????????????

Slide 54: 

2004?????????

Slide 55: 

17.6% ?? ?? ?? ?? ??? 14.9% 13.0% 10.2% 23.4% 34.60 11.29% ?? ?? ?? ?? 20.93% 3.60% 6.00% 32.30% 7.17% ?? ?? ???? ???? ??? 1812.45 ?? ??? 20.9% ???? 18.7% ???? ?? 0.01% ?? 0.01% 2004?????????

Slide 56: 

??????????????????????? 2004????????(190.7??),?1986??20%,???????? ?????????

Slide 57: 

?????????????????

Slide 58: 

???????????????? ??????«????????»?????,???2020?????????????????650??(???????10%);????250?????150??????100????????55?????????95??;????????? 6% ?????,????275??,???????????????33.5%? ?????????????? 181?/????,?????????89?/????,??????79 ?/????? ????2020???????????????50%,??????????21%;???????????20%,?????????2%;2020?????????????175??,???????63.6%???????????? 1/6,????????61.2%,?2020????????????109??,???????38.5%?

Slide 59: 

???????????????? 2004????665???????,?9?????;???????????????343 ??,???19%??????????????????2.33?/?,????????????????2.49?/?;????80% ?????,?????????50% ?,?????????????3.25?/?? ?????????????,????????????3?(?????13??)??????3?(?????16.9??)?????????1.5 ~ 3.7 ????,??????????,???????? 5 ?;????,?????????????????8?,????????????? ????????????????45?;?????????20~30?,;??????12~18???????,??????12~18??????????

Slide 60: 

????????? ????????????????

Slide 61: 

2003???????21%???,????0.5%?CO2

Slide 62: 

???????????????????????

Slide 63: 

???????????????????

Slide 64: 

???????????????? ????????????:???????????????????,????????,??????????????????????,???????????????????????,???2010??????????????????????,??????????????,???????439.4??,???????????9?????????????????,???30??????????40????60?,????????1/3??????????(??????????),????????????????????

Slide 65: 

???????????????? ???????,2002 ??????????19.2%,??????31.2%;??2003 ??????????28%,??????40.2%?????????????????????«?????»?????????????????????,???????????????????2001???????????????????? (??/10???)????54.50 ?54.25,?????61.67;?????13.5%???????????GDP(??/10???)?????,????106 ? 83;??????????,??????;???????????????(??/?)?????,??? 10.3 ?9.4?????,2003????????????40.2%,????? 21.5%?

Slide 66: 

???????????????? 2004?????????????????????????????,?????:?????????3 - 5?????????,???1995????????????????????????,?????«?????»?????? ?????????,1999?????????????1/3,??????????10%?30??,???????20???CO2??? ?????????????? (2005?4?22~23?)?,???????????????????????:?????????????,?????,?????????????? (If nuclear power is excluded from the solution, there is no solution)??

Slide 67: 

? ? ????????????,?????????????????????????????,????;??????,?????????,???????????????,???????????????????????,??????Takeo Hiranuma?????????,???????????????,??????,????,??97%???????;??????????????????????,??2020??,?????????95%??;??????????????????????????????????????????????

Slide 68: 

But ! ? !

Slide 69: 

Thank You Very Much for Your Attention

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